2008 was a remarkably eventful year, from the dramatic events that rocked the financial markets to the Presidential election that resulted in a change in national leadership. Virtually all of the significant events during 2008 also had an impact on the world of D&O insurance, one way or another. In all likelihood, significant developments will continue to emerge during 2009, with further implications for the D&O marketplace.

 

In a year as eventful as 2008, selecting as the most significant events is a challenging task. But with an eye toward the developments of greatest significance for the D&O industry, I have prepared the following list of the top ten stories of 2008.

 

1. Credit Crisis Becomes Global Financial Calamity: What began in 2007 as a subprime meltdown had by early 2008 become a credit crisis, which in turn evolved during Fall 2008 into a full blown global financial disaster.

 

Within the space of just a few short weeks, the government took control of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; the FDIC took over Washington Mutual, in the largest U.S. bank failure ever; Lehman Brothers collapsed, in the largest U.S. bankruptcy ever; Bank of America agreed to acquire Merrill Lynch in a government brokered deal; the government undertook a massive bailout of AIG; Congress enacted a colossal $700 billion bailout package; and Wells Fargo agreed to acquire Wachovia. And those events came after a raft of prior financial shocks, including the collapse of Bear Stearns, the seizure of the auction rate securities market, and the disintegration of U.S. residential real estate market.

 

Any one of these events on its own would be significant. Taken collectively these events represent an enormous upheaval, the full ramifications and consequences of which will only emerge over the months and years to come.

 

And those are just the headlines. In other developments reported "below the fold," companies around the world have grappled with a general business downturn, wrestled with the threat of their own insolvency or that of their customers or suppliers, and basically tried to maintain their ground in an increasingly hostile financial environment.

 

All of these developments have enormous potential significance, much of it yet to unfold. These events have not only fueled litigation, but they have also presented D&O underwriters with a dramatically altered underwriting environment. The perils involve not only the challenge of underwriting financially troubled companies, but also the trial of underwriting in the context of rapidly changing (and deteriorating) conditions in the financial and credit markets.

 

During 2008, the world became significantly more dangerous for D&O underwriters. All signs suggest the current perilous conditions will continue into 2009, and perhaps beyond.

 

2. Financial Market Disruptions Hit Major Insurers: The turmoil in the financial markets also battered three insurers that are major players in the D&O marketplace. AIG’s woes required an enormous government bailout. XL and Hartford both faced differing degrees of turbulence due to write-downs in their respective investment portfolios.

 

Each of one of these insurers is dealing with their own unique set of circumstances. Rating agencies have noted and responded to these developments. Insurance buyers remain anxious and wary. The implications of these developments, both for each of these insurers and for the marketplace as a whole, remain to be seen. At a minimum, these events have disrupted the D&O insurance marketplace and introduced a significant element of uncertainty. The disruptive impact from these developments is likely to continue to affect the D&O industry throughout 2009.

 

3. Subprime and Credit Crisis Litigation Wave Rolls On: The subprime litigation wave that began in 2007 continued to surge in 2008, as there were 101 new subprime and credit-crisis related securities lawsuits filed during 2008, bringing the two-year total to 141. My running tally of the subprime and credit crisis-related securities lawsuits can be accessed here.

 

As time has passed, the litigation wave has continued to evolve; for example, the 2008 subprime and credit crisis-related litigation included as many as 21 auction rate securities lawsuits all of which were filed in the earlier part of 2008. Later in the year, a string of lawsuits initiated by holders of preferred or subordinated securities emerged (as discussed here).

 

In February 2009, the subprime and credit crisis-related litigation wave will enter its third year, but the phenomenon shows no signs of abating. The credit crisis-related securities lawsuits continued to accumulate throughout 2008. Of the 101 subprime and credit crisis-related lawsuits filed in 2008, 45 were filed in the second half of the year, including ten in December alone.

 

The credit crisis lawsuit filings remained high as the year ended, suggesting that significant credit crisis litigation activity will continue well into 2009 and perhaps beyond.

 

4. Credit Crisis Litigation Spreads Beyond the Financial Sector: As massive as the subprime and credit crisis-related litigation wave has been, it had until recently been concentrated in the financial sector. But as 2008 wore on, and largely as a result of the dramatic events in the global financial markets during September and October 2008, the litigation wave spread beyond the financial sector.

 

The companies that have become involved in this extended litigation wave include, for example, those that had significant exposure to Lehman Brothers or other companies that collapsed this fall. (Refer here and here for discussion of these "new wave" credit crisis lawsuits). In addition, companies that have been drawn in include companies that made wrong way bets on commodities or currencies (about which refer here).

 

These developments suggest that the credit crisis-related litigation wave may have entered a dangerous new phase, as I discuss at greater length here. These developments also underscore the challenges for D&O underwriters in the current environment.

 

My complete rundown of all 2008 securities litigation can be found here.

 

5. Bank Failures Surge: Led by the FDIC’s assumption of control of Washington Mutual in the largest bank failure in U.S. history, bank failures surged in 2008. According to the FDIC’s website (here), there were 25 bank failures in 2008, the highest annual total since 1994, at the end of the last era of failed banks. Perhaps even more significantly, the pace of bank closures increased as the year progressed; 21 of the 2008 bank closures took place in the second half of 2008, 12 of them in the fourth quarter.

 

In many ways, other financial events have overshadowed this sudden surge in bank failures. Indeed, as I noted here, the WaMu failure, the largest in U.S. history, has largely been relegated to yesterday’s news pile. But the timing and pace of the bank closures during 2008 suggests that there are likely to be further bank failures ahead, carrying with it the threat of associated "dead bank" litigation, a possibility I previously discussed here.

 

6. Madoff Scandal Triggers Litigation Torrent: The revelation of the massive Ponzi scheme involving Bernard Madoff and his firm has triggered a wave of litigation as aggrieved investors scrambled to try to recoup their losses. The first Madoff-related lawsuits targeted Madoff and his firm. But given the unlikelihood of a significant recovery there, investors have quickly moved on to other targets. A running tally of the Madoff investor litigation can be accessed here.

 

The primary Madoff-related litigation targets are the so-called "feeder funds" that invested with Madoff on their clients behalf. Recent blog posts discussing these "feeder funds" lawsuits can be found here and here. Given the magnitude of the investor losses and the depth of investor outrage, these lawsuits are likely to continue to accrue for some time to come. Press reports (for example, here) suggest that lawyers are gearing up for a litigation onslaught.

 

7. Presidential Election Signals Changes: I don’t know whether you heard, but there was an election in November. The coming changes in the White House as well as the increased Democratic majority in Congress could signal significant future legislative and other developments.

 

The arrival of the new administration will likely mean a change in direction for judicial appointments. A more interesting question is whether the Democratic control of Congress and the White House could lead to legislative changes in the securities laws. As discussed at the PLUS International Conference in November (about which refer here), the current financial turmoil could be used as a justification for legislative reform efforts – for example, an attempt to overturn Central Bank and Stoneridge.

 

At a minimum, the coming changes in the leadership at the SEC, together with a different leadership interpretation of the meaning and value of regulation, could lead to a changed environment for the enforcement of the securities laws.

 

8. Largest-Ever Fine Underscores the Growing Significance of the FCPA: For some time now (most recently here), I have been writing about the growing importance of Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) enforcement activity and associated civil litigation. The FCPA mounting significance was dramatically underscored recently when Siemens agreed to pay an $800 million fine.

 

The Siemens fine is the largest ever, dwarfing the previous record fine, paid by Baker Hughes, of $44 million (about which refer here). The outcome of the Siemens investigation is merely the latest development in a long chain of events highlighting the growing importance of the FCPA.

 

As I have previously noted (refer here), one of the usual accompaniments of an FCPA investigation is follow-on civil litigation. As the threat of FCPA-related exposure continues to grow, the threat of follow-on civil litigation will also increase.

 

The FCPA Blog has a detailed overview of 2008 FCPA enforcement activity here.

 

9. Defense Expense Tests Limits Adequacy: Companies ensnared in high stakes litigation may find themselves confronting an unexpected new challenge – the increasing likelihood that defense costs alone could exhaust the entire amount of available D&O insurance coverage. This threat was unfortuntately realized in connection with the Collins & Aikman bankruptcy and related criminal proceeding (about which refer here), where accumulated defense expense exhausted the company’s entire $50 million D&O insurance, before the criminal case even went to trial.

 

The possibility that escalating defense expense could entirely deplete available insurance presents a frightening prospect for individuals involved in a serious D&O claim, and also raises troubling questions about traditional notions of limits adequacy. In addition, the possibility of total limits exhaustion as the result of the requirements of multiple claims and multiple insureds underscores the need for insurance buyers to consider alternative insurance structures (such as, for example, separate insurance for an individual or a group of individuals) to ensure that segregated funds remain available in the event of a catastrophic claim.

 

10. Indemnity Developments Trigger Additional Insurance Structure Concerns: In the Schoon v. Troy case (about which refer here), the Delaware Chancery Court held that a board of directors properly could eliminate former directors’ advancement rights retroactively. The possibility that former directors could lose their rights to advancement or indemnification comes as unwelcome news to many directors.

 

This case development, like the development about limits adequacy noted above, highlights the need to address program structure as part of the insurance acquisition process. In general, directors and officers have become more concerned about the availability of insurance protection when they need it most. As a result, interest in a wider variety of auxiliary insurance structures has increased. These structures can include new insurance solutions designed for the needs of retiring directors.

 

In a year as eventful as 2008, reasonable minds could differ about what events deserve to be included in any Top Ten list. I am very interested in readers’ views about the top stories, particularly those who feel that other events deserved to be included on the list.

 

More "Top" Lists: Making year-end lists seems to be a nearly universal phenomenon, and Top Ten lists abound. Time Magazine simplified things by creating "The Top Ten of Everything of 2008," which can be found here.

 

Then  there are always the lists of the "Bottom Ten," like Business Week’s list of the Ten Worst Predictions About 2008 (here). Fortune has a list (here) of the "dumbest" business decisions of 2008, but given the kind of year 2008 was, a list of just ten was not enough – the magazine’s targets 21 business decisions as "dumbest."

 

Perhaps the most entertaining "Top" list is VideoGum’s list of the Top Viral Videos of 2008, which can be viewed below. (Viewer discretion is advised as some persons may find some of the content offensive.)

http://videogum.com/v/5l6uI1VbM4ULw

 

PLUS D&O Symposium: Readers will also want to be sure to register for the annual PLUS D&O Symposium, which will be held on February 25 and 26, 2009, at the Marriott Marquis Hotel in New York. Information about the Symposium, including registration instructions, can be found here.

 

The Symposium will feature an all-star cast, including keynote speakers Madeline Albright and NY Insurance Department Superintendant Eric Dinallo. Wilson Sonsini partner Boris Feldman will once again be moderating the annual panel on securities litigation developments. The schedule also includes a panel on Bankruptcies and Bailouts, with panelists including VJ Dowling of Dowling & Partners Securities and David Bradford of Advisen.

 

The conference will also include a replay of the excellent video, "The Rise and Fall of Bill Lerach" (a movie trailer for which can be found here). Stanford Law Professor Joseph Grundfest will lead a panel discussion of the video. The video was shown at the PLUS International Conference in November 2008 and received rave reviews.

 

Readers with any questions about the Symposium should feel free to drop me a note or give me a call.

 

Over the holidays, I added two blog posts that readers may find particularly interesting. To make sure that readers returning to their desks after the holidays do not overlook them, I have highlighted the two posts below, with links.

 

The List: Madoff Investor and Feeder Fund Litigation (December 26, 2008): This post is the access point to a table of Madoff Investor and Feeder Fund litigation. I have updated the litigation table numerous times since the initial publication, as several readers have helpfully provided relevant additional links and documents.

 

 

I will continue to update the table as new Madoff litigation arises. Readers are strongly encouraged to let me know of any new or additional information necessary to keep the table accurate and up to date.

 

 

A Closer Look at the 2008 Securities Lawsuits (January 2, 2009): As part of an annual feature on this blog, I reviewed last year’s securities lawsuit filings. As detailed in greater length in the post, the 224 new securities filings in 2008 represents the highest annual filing total since 2004.

 

 

The post also discusses the possible impact of the 2008 securities filing activity on the D&O insurance marketplace.

 

 

2008 Year in Review: On January 6, 2008, at 2:00 p.m. EST, I will be participating in a free webcast sponsored by the Securities Docket (here) entitled “2008 Year in Review: Securities Litigation and SEC Enforcement.”

 

 

The webcast will be moderated by Bruce Carton of the Securities Docket, and will feature several of my fellow bloggers, including Francine McKenna of the re: The Auditors blog (here); Tom Gorman of the SEC Actions blog (here); and Walter Olson of the Point of Law blog (here). Additional information about the webcast can be found here.

 

 

In a development that attracted little notice at the time, on December 10, 2008, the parties to the subprime-related securities lawsuit pending in the Northern District of California against Luminent Mortgage Capital and certain of its directors and officers filed a Stipulation of Settlement (here), in which the defendants agreed to pay $8 million to settle the case.

 

As far as I am aware, the Luminent settlement is only the second of the subprime-related securities lawsuits in which the parties have reached a settlement.

 

As discussed at greater length here, the plaintiffs had alleged that in certain public statements in July 2007, the defendants has misrepresented Luminent’s liquidity, the quality of its mortgage backed securities (MBS) portfolio, and the safety of its dividend for the second quarter of 2007, payable August 8, 2007.

 

 

The plaintiffs’ Amended Complaint (here) alleged that the defendants failed to disclose margin calls on the company’s MBS portfolio, a write-down on its portfolio and significant exposure to subprime debt that negatively impacted the company’s liquidity. The company’s share price dropped over 75% after the company announced on August 6, 2007 that it was cancelling payment of the second quarter dividend.

 

 

As reflected in the Stipulation of Settlement, the parties reached an agreement to settle the case while the defendants’ motion to dismiss was pending. The settlement followed the parties’ agreement to attempt to resolve the case through court-appointed mediation. The settlement is subject to court approval. The settlement also includes defendants’ agreement to pay $100,000 administrative costs. The parties agree that plaintiffs’ counsel may apply for and receive a fee award of up to 25% of the settlement amount.

 

 

Though the Stipulation of Settlement was not filed with the court until December 10, it is dated September 10, 2008. On September 5, 2008, Luminent and its subsidiaries had filed for bankruptcy protection in the District of Maryland Bankruptcy Court. On October 3, 2008, Luminent filed a motion in the bankruptcy court to lift the automatic stay to permit the securities lawsuits settlement to be consummated and to approve the settlement as in the best interests of the debtor. On December 2, 2008, the bankruptcy court approved Luminent’s application and authorized the parties to proceed with the settlement.

 

 

The Luminent settlement follows the only other subprime-related securities lawsuit settlement of which I am aware, the $4.85 million WSB Financial Group settlement (about which refer here). I have added the Luminent settlement to my running table of subprime and credit crisis-related securities lawsuit settlements, dismissals and dismissal denials, which can be accessed here.

 

 

Special thanks to Adam Savett of the Securities Litigation Watch blog (here) for providing a copy of the Stipulation of Settlement. 

As other commentators previously have noted (refer here), the pace of securities lawsuit filings increased significantly in 2008 compared to recent years. According to my tally, there were 224 new securities lawsuits filed in 2008. The 2008 total represents a 30% increase over the 172 securities lawsuits filed in 2007, and an 88% increase over the 119 securities lawsuits filed in 2006.

 

The 2008 filing total also represents the highest annual filing total since 2004. All signs seem to indicate that the heightened filing levels will continue into 2009.

 

My 2008 securities lawsuit filing tally reflects a lower number than the figures NERA Economic Consulting recently published (refer here), and in that regard I urge readers to refer to my comments below about the particular complications associated with "counting" securities lawsuits in 2008.

 

Overall Observations

The most significant factor in this year’s heightened securities litigation filing activity was the number of subprime and credit crisis-related securities lawsuit filings. Of the 224 new securities cases filed in 2008, 101 were subprime or credit crisis-related. As reflected on my running tally of subprime and credit crisis-related securities lawsuits, which can be accessed here, there have been 141 total of these cases filed overall during 2007 and 2008 combined.

 

One factor that increased the number of subprime-related lawsuit filings in 2008 was the influx of auction rate securities lawsuit filings (about which refer here). There were 21 of these auction rate securities lawsuits filed in 2008, largely in the first half of the year.

 

Another factor that increased the 2008 filings was the influx of Madoff-related litigation during December 2008. My running tally of the Madoff lawsuits can be found here. Investors have initiated Madoff-related securities class action lawsuits against at least seven distinct investment groups, and every sign is that this litigation will continue to flood in during the early weeks and months of 2009.

 

2008 Filings by SIC Code

The predominance of the subprime and credit crisis-related litigation during 2008 is borne out in the profile of the companies that were sued in securities lawsuits during the year. Though the companies targeted represent over 90 different Standard Industrial Classifications (SIC) Codes, fully 99 of the lawsuits hit companies with SIC Codes in the 6000 series (Finance, Insurance and Real Estate), including 19 in SIC Code 6021 (National Commercial Banks) and 20 in SIC Code 6211 (Security Brokers and Dealers).

 

There were a number of securities lawsuit defendants entities in 2008 that have no SIC Code designated. These defendants include mutual funds, private investment firms and other entities. By my count, there were as many as 23 new lawsuits filed in 2008 against entities that lack an SIC designation. In most cases, these entities are involved in investment or financial services-related businesses, which even further underscores the fact that much of the securities litigation activity in 2008 was concentrated in the financial sector.

 

But while securities suits against companies in the financial sector were a predominant factor in the 2008 securities lawsuits filings, there were other SIC Code categories that also saw significant litigation activity, including SIC Code 3674 (Semiconductors) which also saw ten filings; SIC Code 2834 (Pharmaceutical Preparations) which saw nine lawsuit filings; and SIC Code 3845 (Electromedical and Electrotherapeutic Apparatus) which had five.

 

In addition, while the credit crisis lawsuits hit the financial sector hard, the credit crisis litigation wave spread outside the financial sector as the year progressed and the financial turmoil spread. As I noted here, and as a result of the dramatic events in the financial markets during September and October 2008, a number of companies outside the financial sector were hit with credit crisis-related lawsuits, particularly those with exposure to Lehman Brothers, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, or those that made wrong-way bets on currencies or commodities.

 

State and Court Distribution of Filings and Defendants

The concentration of cases in the financial sector also affected the geographic distribution of the 2008 case filings. Though securities lawsuits were filed in 48 different federal district courts (as well as several state courts), 97 of the 224 securities filings in 2008 were filed in the Southern District of New York. The federal district with the second highest number of new lawsuit filings was the Northern District of California, where 12 new securities lawsuits were filed. Other districts with a significant number of filings include the District of Massachusetts (10), and the Central District of California (9).

 

Another factor contributing to the significant number of filings in the Southern District of New York was the number of lawsuits filed there against foreign-domiciled companies. Overall, there were 34 foreign companies sued in securities lawsuits in 2008, all but five of which were initiated in the Southern District of New York. The 34 foreign companies sued represented 17 different countries, with the largest number from Canada (8), China (5) and Switzerland (4).

 

The domestic U.S. companies hit with securities lawsuits were based in 31 different states, and the District of Columbia. The state with the largest number of new securities lawsuits was New York (42), followed by California (23), Massachusetts (13) and Ohio (10).

 

The Pace of Filings and Likely Future Trends

The pace of new lawsuit filings increased during the year, with 105 during the first half and 119 in the second half. The fact that the fourth quarter, with 67 new filings, was the most active quarter during the year, together with the fact that there were a significant number of filings (30) in December (typically a quiet month for securities lawsuit filings), suggests that the heightened level of securities filings will continue into 2009. Indeed, the filings in the fourth quarter of 2008 and during December 2008 represent, respectively, the highest quarterly and monthly totals in more than five years.

 

My conclusion that the increased securities litigation activity levels will continue in 2009 is reinforced by the likelihood that the credit crisis litigation wave will continue to spread outside the financial sector in 2009.

 

Some Comments about "Counting": One reason for the wide disparity in the various published versions of the 2008 securities lawsuit filings is that the seemingly simple task of counting lawsuits was particularly complicated during 2008.

 

One complication is that some companies were sued multiple different times by different sets of claimants, on different legal theories, or with respect to different sets of circumstances. For example, one historically unusual phenomenon that recurred during 2008 was the initiation of new securities lawsuits initiated by preferred shareholders or subordinate securities holders (about which refer here). The multiplication of lawsuits involving different claimants or different legal theories but related defendants raised a continuing series of questions whether or not a new action does or does not represent a separate lawsuit that should be separately counted.

 

This question whether or not a separate complaint represents a new lawsuit was particularly complicated with respect to the Madoff-related litigation that flooded in during the final weeks of December. As reflected in my running tally of these lawsuits, which can be accessed here, there have already been multiple lawsuits against related Madoff-feeder funds. Reasonable minds might well differ as to whether or not a particular complaint represents an entirely new lawsuit or simply a related or duplicate complaint.

 

Another attribute of this multiplicity of lawsuit filings is that the number of new lawsuits filed may be significantly different than the number of companies sued, as some companies were sued multiple times in multiple different lawsuits. As a result, there may be a certain amount of double counting associated with some of the lawsuit tallies or some of the analysis of lawsuit filings.

 

Yet another factor complicating the counting is that during 2008 plaintiffs initiated a number of securities class action lawsuits in state court (about which I previously commented here). In many instances these lawsuits are difficult simply to find. The inclusion of these cases, and the uncertainty around their numbers, could significantly affect the overall lawsuit tally.

 

As has been increasingly the case in recent years, it has become progressively more difficult simply to maintain definitional clarity about what exactly is being counted. To clarify what I have been tracking, I try to count class action lawsuits that allege violations of the federal securities laws. That said, I have excluded certain lawsuits that other reasonable minds might include. For example, I generally exclude merger objection lawsuits. In addition, I generally exclude lawsuits in which the securities allegation is simply that the defendants failed to register securities. On the other hand, I include lawsuits even if the defendant entity is not a publicly traded entity (for example, if the defendant is a private equity fund or a hedge fund.)

 

Because of these definitional issues, it is almost inevitable that various tallies of the 2008 securities lawsuits will differ.

 

UPDATE: The WSJ.com Law Blog has a January 5, 2009 post (here) regarding the 2008 securiteis class action filings. The Law Blog entry links to this post and includes comments from a number of commentators and practitioners in the field.

 

Impact on D&O Pricing?: The uptick in securities lawsuit filings in 2008 might well be expected to have an upward impact on D&O pricing, and indeed it may yet have that effect. But particular features of the 2008 filings might moderate that expected effect.

 

First, the concentration of the filings in the financial sector means that the impact from the heightened filing levels is not widespread throughout the D&O industry. D&O carriers are not yet experiencing the impact of the filing levels across their entire portfolio, and carriers that do not have significant financial industry exposure may not yet be experiencing elevated claims activity, although that likely will change as the credit crisis litigation wave spreads outside the financial sector.

 

Second, even with respect to the heightened activity levels, the impact is muted somewhat by the multiple different lawsuit filings against the same companies. The D&O impact from the third, fourth or fifth new lawsuit against the same company may not increase the aggregate losses to which insurance applies. Because the number of companies sued is less than the number of new lawsuits initiated, the aggregate claims frequency level is less than the overall filing levels might indicate.

 

Third, many of the defendant entities are not publicly traded companies. As I noted above, many of the defendant entities in new 2008 lawsuits were mutual funds, investment partnerships, hedge funds, or other investment vehicles. The incidence of litigation against these types of entities would have only an indirect impact at most on the market for public company D&O insurance.

 

Fourth, a significant amount of the securities litigation activity in 2008 involved claims likelier to create errors and omissions (E&O) insurance losses, rather than D&O losses. For example, the Madoff-related litigation and the auction rate securities litigation may or may not produce D&O insurance losses, but may well produce significant E&O losses. The spread of losses to other insurance lines could dilute the overall impact from the 2008 litigation on the D&O carriers.

 

Fifth, most of these cases are still in their earliest stages, and it will be some time yet before the losses begin to accrue. Until loss payments begin to mount, D&O pricing is unlikely to make dramatic changes (at least as a result of securities filing activity levels).

 

All of that said, the increase in litigation activity in 2008, together with the disruption involving market leader AIG and other leading carriers, as well as the prospect for continued significant litigation activity in 2009, are likely to create uncertain conditions in the D&O marketplace and could lead to increased carrier caution as 2009 progresses. Indeed, Advisen, a leading industry observer, is predicting that a hard market for insurance will develop toward the end of 2009 (about which refer here).

 

2008: The Year in Review: Readers interested in learning more about the 2008 securities litigation trends will want to the January 6, 2009 webcast sponsored by Securities Docket.

 

I will be participating in this free webcast, which will begin at 2 pm EST, along with a number of my esteemed fellow bloggers, including the Securities Docket’s own Bruce Carton; Walter Olson of the Point of Law blog; Tom Gorman of the SEC Actions blog; Francine McKenna of the Re: The Auditors blog; and Lyle Roberts of the 10b-5 Daily blog. Further information about the podcast can be found here.

 

THE TABLE OF CASES LINKED BELOW WAS LAST UPDATED ON September 28,  2010.

All signs are that the collapse of Bernard Madoff’s Ponzi scheme will produce a flood of litigation. By my count, there have already been at least seven federal securities class action lawsuits against Madoff, his firm, or the "feeder firms" that invested their clients’ funds with Madoff. There have also been a number of state court lawsuits as well.

 

It is already difficult to keep track of the lawsuits that have been filed. In all likelihood, there will be extensive additional litigation against other feeder funds and other third party defendants, which will make it even more difficult to keep track.

 

In order to monitor the Madoff-related litigation in a more orderly way, I have created a table of the lawsuits that have been filed to date.

 

The table can be found here.

 

I believe the table is complete, but I welcome any additional or clarifying information that readers may wish to bring to my attention.

 

I will update the table as new or different lawsuits emerge. Readers are strongly encouraged to let me know about any additional litigation I may have missed or to provide me with any information necessary to make the table more accurate.

 

UPDATE: A regularly updated list of all Madoff investor litigation, including in particular Madoff "feeder fund" litigation, can be accessed here.

As further proof that the losses associated with the Madoff fraud scheme will trigger a wave of litigation, on December 23, 2008, plaintiffs’ lawyers initiated a lawsuit in the Southern District of New York on behalf of investors in the FM Low Volatility Fund, against Family Management Corporation ( the Fund’s general partner and manager) and certain of FMC’s directors and officers; three "fund of funds" in which FMC invested investor funds (Andover, Beacon and Maxam); and the Funds’ auditor.

 

The complaint, which can be found here, alleges violations of the federal securities laws and related stated and common law violations, and also asserts derivative breach of fiduciary duties on behalf of the Funds.

 

According to the plaintiffs’ lawyers’ December 24, 2008 press release (here), FMC

 

concentrated more than half of the Fund’s investment capital with at least three funds of funds ("FOFs") — Andover, Beacon and Maxam — that, in turn, all heavily invested in entities managed by Bernard Madoff ("Madoff") or Madoff-related entities. Investors who entrusted their savings to FMC suffered millions in damages as a result of Madoff’s fraudulent scheme.
 

 

The complaint further alleges that the defendants failed to perform requisite "due diligence" and "knew or should have known" about Madoff’s Ponzi scheme.

 

The plaintiffs’ also allege that FMC and its defendant directors and officers issued misleading offering documents that

 

falsely stated that FMC would not invest more than 35% of the Fund’s net asset value with any one investment vehicle, but, in reality, more than 60% of the Fund’s assets were funneled through three FOFs – Defendants Andover, Beacon and Maxam – and invested in Madoff-related entities. The Offering Memorandum also falsely stated that FMC would (i) endeavor to verify the integrity of each manager of a FOF in which the Fund was invested; (ii) attempt to monitor the performance of each manager; and (iii) request detailed information regarding the historical performance and investment strategy of each of the selected investments for the Fund. Plaintiffs allege that Defendants, with no or inadequate due diligence or oversight, abdicated their responsibilities and entrusted the Fund’s assets to Madoff-run investment vehicles.

 

Even More Madoff Investor Litigation: In earlier post (here), I noted the class action lawsuit that had been filed against Tremont Group Holdings, certain of its directors and officers, and its corporate parents, on behalf of investors in the American Masters Prime Fund, whose assets Tremont managed and that had suffered losses due to Tremont’s investment of those funds with Bernard Madoff and his firm.

 

On December 23, 2008, plaintiffs filed a similar but separate lawsuit against Tremont and related entities, but on behalf of the class of investors in the Rye Funds, who also claim that they lost their investment due to Tremont’s investment with Madoff and his firm. The Rye Funds complaint also includes as a defendant Tremont’s auditor, KPMG. A copy of the Rye Funds’ investors’ complaint can be found here. A copy of the plaintiffs’ lawyers December 23 press release can be found here.

 

In addition, according to a December 24, 2008 Bloomberg article (here), New York University has initiated a New York state court lawsuit against J. Ezra Merkin, Gabriel Capital, and Ariel Fund, in which it alleges that $24 million of endowment investments due to the defendants’ investment of the assets with Madoff and his firm. A copy of the NYU lawsuit complaint can be found here.

 

An earlier class action lawsuit that previously had been filed against Gabriel and related defendants can be found here.

 

Special thank to Adam Savett of the Securities Litigation Watch (here) for providing a copy of the Rye Funds Complaint.

 

Keeping Track: By my tally, the Family Management Corporation case is at least the seventh federal class action lawsuit filed in the wake of the revelation of the Madoff fraud. Of these, six of these seven are directed against so-called "feeder funds," the seventh directly against Madoff and his firm. In addition, there are several other state court lawsuits, including the one identified above and the earlier lawsuit filed against the Fairfield Greenwich fund firm (about which refer here).

 

If the early returns are any indication, there could be a flood of litigation yet to come. Of course it remains to be seen whether or to what extent any of these claims succeed. But in the meantime, indications are that these Madoff-related lawsuits will continue to mount.

 

In the latest ruling on a motion to dismiss in a subprime-related securities lawsuit, on December 22, 2008, Judge Legrome Davis of the Eastern District of Pennsylvania granted in part and denied in part defendants’ motion to dismiss the suit that plaintiffs’ filed in August 2007 against RAIT Financial Trust and certain of its officers and trustees. The opinion can be found here.

 

Judge Davis’s ruling largely denied defendants’ motions, other than with respect to the plaintiffs’ ’33 Act claims concerning the company’s July 2007 secondary offering, which were dismissed due to the plaintiffs’ lack of standing. Otherwise, Judge Davis ruled in plaintiffs favor. The plaintiffs’ remaining ’33 Act claims and all of the plaintiffs’ ’34 Act claims will now go forward.

 

Background

RAIT is a real estate investment trust providing debt financing to home builders, mortgage lenders and other real estate companies. As more fully set forth here, plaintiffs’ complaint relates to the July 30, 2007 failure of American Home Mortgage to make a payment due under certain trust preferred securities, resulting in a net equity exposure to RAIT of at least $95 million. Shortly thereafter, the company disclosed that it had $373 million of similar exposures. The plaintiffs allege that the defendants failed to disclose its exposure to these types of investments and failed to reserve adequately for the risk of nonpayment or default.

 

The plaintiffs’ complaint asserts claims under both the ’33 Act and the ’34 Act. The defendants in the ’33 Act claims include the offering underwriters that facilitated RAIT’s January 2007 common stock offering and July 2007 preferred stock offering, as well as the company’s auditor, Grant Thornton. The defendants’ moved to dismiss.

 

The December 22 Opinion

First, the court dismissed the ’33 Act claims relating to the July 2007 preferred stock offering due to lack of standing, because none of the named plaintiffs purchased securities traceable to the offering.

 

However, the court denied the defendants’ motion to dismiss the ’33 Act claims raised in connection with the January 2007 offering. Judge Davis found that the plaintiffs had adequately alleged falsity and materiality, and rejected defendants’ contentions that the plaintiffs’ arguments represented nothing more than "fraud by hindsight." Judge Davis also rejected the defendants’ contentions that the alleged misrepresentations "bespoke caution" or were "mere puffery."

 

Judge Davis also found that his rulings that the plaintiffs had adequately pled falsity and materiality applied to the plaintiffs’ ’34 Act claims as well.The defendants nevertheless sought to have the ’34 Act claims dismissed, arguing that the plaintiffs had not adequately pled scienter.

 

Judge Davis found that "despite the demanding standard of recklessness imposed in pleading a strong inference of scienter," the plaintiffs nevertheless had adequately pled scienter. His ruling depended on the "core business operations" theory, with respect to which he stated:

 

Because the alleged misstatements involved RAIT’s core business operations and because the Officer Defendants had ample reason to know of the falsity of the statements, there is a strong inference of scienter in this case.

 

Judge Davis also found that though the core business operations allegations alone were sufficient, other allegations also supported the inference of scienter, including "the sheer size of the impairment eventually taken by RAIT," which he found adds to "the imputation" that defendants "must have had some awareness that problems were brewing." Judge Davis also found that "familial and business relationships involved" in a RAIT acquisition were "relevant in our consideration of scienter."

 

Discussion

Other than the ’33 Act claims relating to the July 2007 offering (which was dismissed for lack of standing), the plaintiffs largely prevailed on the dismissal motions. Judge Davis’s ruling is significant not only because it seems to run counter to the early trend other courts arguably have established (albeit with some notable exceptions) of general skepticism toward subprime-related allegations. Judge Davis’s ruling is noteworthy in that regard for its rejection of the defendants’ "fraud by hindsight" arguments.

 

Judge Davis’s opinion is perhaps most noteworthy in its acceptance of the "core business operations" theory in concluding that the plaintiffs had adequately pled scienter. Though earlier courts had rejected this theory as inconsistent with the PSLRA’s pleading requirements, more recently courts, for example, in the Ninth Circuit (refer here) and the Seventh Circuit (refer here), have taken it up. As noted in a recent commentary by the Katten Muchin law firm entitled "Reform Act Under Attack?" (here), the core operations theory "has made a comeback in 2008," which the authors contend is inconsistent with the PSLRA’s meaning and intent.

 

Were other courts similarly willing to take up the core operations doctrine, it could substantially impact the many pending dismissal motions in various subprime-related securities lawsuits.

 

In any event, I have added the RAIT opinion to my table of subprime and credit crisis-related securities lawsuit settlements, dismissals, and dismissal denials, which can be accessed here.

 

Special thanks to a loyal reader for alerting me to the RAIT opinion.

 

In the latest of what undoubtedly will prove to be a surge of Madoff-related litigation, investors have filed two more lawsuits against investment firms that invested their clients’ money with Bernie Madoff, resulting in massive investor losses.

 

UPDATE: Please note that a regularly updated table of all Madoff investor litigation, including in particular Madoff "feeder fund" litigation, can be accessed here.

 

The Tremont Lawsuit

First, as reflected in their December 22, 2008 press release (here), plaintiffs’ lawyers have filed a securities class action lawsuit in the Southern District of New York on behalf of investors in the American Masters Broad Market Prime Fund, L.P., a Delaware limited partnership which is managed by Tremont Group Holdings, which is also the Fund’s General Partner. The defendants in the lawsuit include Tremont; Oppenheimer Acquisition Corporation, which acquired Tremont in 2001; Massachusetts Mutual Life Insurance Company, Oppenheimer’s parent; and Ernst & Young, the Fund’s auditor.

 

The complaint (which can be found here) alleges violations of the federal securities laws as well as state common law fraud, negligence and breach of fiduciary duty. The complaint also assets derivative breach of fiduciary duty claims on behalf of the Fund.

 

According to the plaintiffs’ lawyers’ press release, the complaint alleges that

 

defendant Tremont, general partner of the Fund, concentrated over half of its investment capital with entities that participated in the massive, fraudulent scheme perpetrated by Bernard Madoff ("Madoff"). Investors who entrusted their savings to Tremont have suffered millions in damages and are faced with financial ruin.
 

 

The complaint also alleges that the defendants "failed to perform the necessary due diligence that they were being compensated to perform as investment managers and fiduciaries" and that the defendants "either knew or should have known that the Fund’s assets were employed as part of a massive Ponzi scheme and took no steps in a good faith effort to prevent or remedy that situation, proximately causing billions of dollars of losses and possible complete collapse of the Fund." Oppenheimer and Mass Mutual are named defendants as controlling persons of the Fund.

 

The complaint alleges with respect to Ernst & Young that the firm was "reckless or grossly negligent" in connection with its performance of its auditing duties, and specifically that the firm failed to detect "a myriad of ‘red flags’ indicating a high risk to Tremont from concentrating its investment exposure in Madoff."

 

The complaint alleges that the defendants allowed Tremont to invest $3.3 billion, over half of its assets, with Madoff.

 

The Fairfield Lawsuit

In addition, investors have also initiated a lawsuit in New York County (New York) Supreme Court against the Fairfield Greenwich Group, the hedge fund firm that has as much as $7.5 billion invested with Madoff. A December 22, 2008 Bloomberg article describing the Fairfield lawsuit can be found here. A copy of the complaint can be found here.

 

The lawsuit, which is filed as a class action on behalf of in the Fairfield Sentry fund, names as defendants Fairfield itself; Fairfield’s founding partners, as well as two principals of a Bermuda affiliate of Fairfield. It alleges breach of fiduciary duty, negligence, and unjust enrichment.

 

According to the news reports, the complaint alleges that the fund’s managers "had an obligation to look into Madoff’s investment methods and that the team ignored the ‘red-flag warning’ that Madoff’s investment produced small, steady gains in a declining market." The article also quotes the plaintiffs’ attorney as saying that the case has been filed in state court rather than federal court so that discovery can go forward quickly.

 

The arrival of these new lawsuits, following closely in the wake of the prior Madoff-related litigation suggests that there could substantial associated litigation yet to come, particularly with respect to the so-called feeder funds that invested clients’ assets with Madoff. The press coverage certainly suggests that there will be extensive additional litigation, as reflected, for example, in the December 22, 2008 National Law Journal article entitled "Lawyers from Florida to New York Besieged by Madoff Investors" (here).

 

The Tremont lawsuit’s inclusion of Ernst & Young corroborates an article published in the December 22, 2008 New York Times entitled "In Madoff’s Wake, Scrutiny of Accounting Firms" (here), which suggests that investors suffering losses from their investments in Madoff feeder funds may attempt to target the firms’ auditors. As noted in the article, the lawsuit filed last week against Madoff feeder fund Ascot Partners (about which I wrote here) also named the fund’s auditor, BDO Seidman, as a defendant in that case.

 

Credit Crisis Litigation Issues: A November 17, 2008 paper entitled "Legal and Economic Issues is Litigation Arising from the 2007-2008 Credit Crisis" (here) written by Harvard Law Professor Allen Ferrell, and Jennifer Bethel and Gang Hu of the Babson Business School surveys the marketplace conditions behind the credit crisis litigation and reviews the legal issues that are likely to arise as the litigation goes forward.

 

The article focuses on three principles that the authors believe will be critical in the credit crisis related securities litigation (1) no fraud by hindsight; (2) truth on the market defenses; and (3) loss causation issues.

 

With respect to the truth on the market defense, for example, the authors contend that "the quality of disclosures in the mortgage backed securities registration statements (and virtually all mortgage backed securities were registered) actually improved between 2001 to 2006 (in part due to the promulgation of Regulation AB in 2004) and that it was quite clear from these registration statements that the quality of the underwriting in a number of instances had declined."

 

With respect to the "loss causation issue," the authors contend with respect to the banks that suffered massive writedowns during 2007 and 2008, that the banks"suffered substantial losses due to their ‘super senior’ positions in CDOs and various liquidity guarantees to asset backed commercial paper conduits, rather than directly on their mortgage-backed security holdings."

 

Hat tip to The Harvard Law School Corporate Governance Blog (here) for the link to the authors’ paper.

 

The initiation of a criminal investigation against a company or its directors and officers can be a watershed moment in the life of any company. In addition to the question of how it will respond, the company must also determine how it will fund the associated legal expense. It is at this critical juncture that the company confronts issues surrounding the availability and limitation of D&O insurance in connection with criminal investigations.

 

These issues are explored in a December 2008 article by Patricia Bronte of the Jenner & Block firm entitled "D&O Coverage for Corporate Criminal Investigations" (here). As Bronte notes, the availability of coverage for a criminal investigation depends upon the particular language in the applicable policy, particularly the policy’s definition of the term "claim." The critical question will be whether or not the particular circumstances presented constitute a "claim."

 

The article opens with a review of case law from an earlier era, when D&O policies did not routinely define the term "claim." However, as the article discusses, the typical D&O policy now defines the term and includes within its definition a specific reference to a "criminal proceeding," which usually is further defined as having been "commenced by the return of an indictment."

 

One of the useful things Bronte’s article does is that by reviewing the early case law, she shows how the carriers came to insert the language limiting coverage for criminal proceedings to post-indictment matters. Prior cases where carriers were compelled to fund a wide range of expenses related to investigations and other pre-indictment matters clearly led to this change.

 

However, Bronte’s article also illustrates the difficulties, from the policyholder’s perspective, of this post-indictment limitation of coverage for criminal matters. That is, "a corporation’s best hope for a favorable outcome – and sometimes the best way to avoid disaster – is to persuade the prosecutor not to file any formal criminal charges at all."

 

As a consequence of this need to try to avert indictment, the corporation can incur considerable expense pre-indictment in respond to subpoenas, addressing a grand jury investigation, or otherwise attempting to answer the investigative threat. Costs incurred in connection with these efforts represent defense expenses, whether or the investigation ultimately results in an indictment.

 

Disputes over these kinds of legal costs are among the perennial battles in the D&O claims arena. Invariably, policyholders will argue that these expenses were indispensible to their post-indictment defenses, or even that they helped avert an indictment. Further complicating these discussions is the fact that these expenses associated with the pre-indictment criminal investigation often are being incurred at the same time that the company is also incurring legal expense in connection with an SEC investigation and also separate civil litigation. These various proceedings may be covered in whole or in part under the policy.

 

Because all of these various legal matters are going forward simultaneously and usually pertain to a single set of circumstances, sorting out which legal expenses relate to which proceeding (and therefore which expenses are covered under the policy) can become a vexing problem and source of tension between the policyholder and the carrier.

 

Exacerbating these problems is the fact that among all these proceedings, the criminal matter usually looms the largest and therefore may consume the larges amount of legal effort and expense. This is particularly true if, as is often the case, the individuals involved each retain separate counsel. The potentially massive expense associated with the criminal investigation underscores why these issues can be so critical.

 

In light of these considerations, the article offers some practical suggestions. Bronte notes:

 

Brokers and risk managers should press for "claim" definitions and coverage limits that adequately protect the corporate entity from the expense of criminal investigations, which almost inevitably involve multiple teams of lawyers defending the corporation and its employees.

 

In that regard, many D&O insurers now include within the definition of the term "claim" not only a reference to post-indictment (or post-information) criminal proceedings, but also a separate explicit reference to "investigations" (including criminal investigations), usually delimited in some way around the requirement for the naming of an insured person as a target of a possible indictment. The precise wording of the definitional provisions relating to "investigations" potentially could be critical.

 

In addition, at least one major carrier now has a form that removes any reference to an indictment requirement, and instead refers simply to "criminal proceedings." The removal of the indictment requirement, together with the reference to "proceedings," at least potentially opens the door to coverage for grand jury investigations, subpoenas, and other matters. While this alternative wording is not universally or even widely available, it does present an alternative for consideration.

 

The article also notes, in connection with efforts to secure coverage for criminal proceedings that "policyholders do not advance their position if they or their brokers characterize the criminal investigation as merely a ‘potential claim.’" An alternative possibility is to refer to the matters involved as a claim, or, in the alternative, a potential claim.

 

The article correctly points out that "the high cost of defending against accusations of criminal wrongdoing is one of the reasons that corporations purchase D&O insurance." Nevertheless, the extent of coverage for criminal proceedings remains one of the perennially disputed claims issues. The further development of D&O policy wordings that better address policyholder expectations is a continuing challenge for the D&O insurance industry and one on which there are fruitful areas for further discussion.

 

More About NERA’s Year-End Securities Litigation Study: In a prior post (here), I linked to NERA Economic Consulting’s year-end report on 2008 securities litigation activity. (The report itself can be found here). In a December 19, 2008 post (here), the Securities Docket has an interesting interview with the report’s authors, my good friends Stephanie Plancich and Svetlana Starykh. Among other things, the interview quotes the authors as saying, with respect to their projections for litigation activity in 2009:

While our paper does not forecast trends into the next year, our best guess is that filing activity will remain high into 2009. As mentioned above, there have been a number of new filings in late December — traditionally a slow time for litigation activity — indicating that the rate of filings has yet to decrease.

And while the first credit crisis cases were concentrated in the financial industry, there has been an emerging trend of credit crisis- and recession-related filings emerge outside of the financial sector.

 

Ghost of Christmas Preset, 2008 Version: With apologies to Charles Dickens, I excerpt below an imagined version of his holiday classic, updated for current circumstances. We can only hope that the Ghost of Christmases Yet-to-Come bears happier tidings. 

 

And taking Scrooge by the arm, the Spirit lifted him high above the financial landscape. Below him, Scrooge could see a parade of spectacles he scarcely could have imagined: the largest bank failure ever; the largest bankruptcy ever; the largest government bailout; the collapse of the housing market and the near-collapse of the entire financial system. 

"Spirit!" said Scrooge. "Show me no more! Conduct me home. Why do you delight to torture me?"

"One Shadow More!" exclaimed the Ghost.

And below, in the mist, Scrooge could see an avuncular man. Oddly and incongruously, the man wore a baseball cap. 

"Who is that man, Spirit?" Scrooge asked.

"Those who used to think of themselves as his friends called him ‘Bernie’" the Spirit said.

"No more!" cried Scrooge. "No more, I don’t wish to see it. Show me no more!"

 

Break in the Action: I think we could all use a break. I will discontinue my regular publishing schedule for the next few days. Regular publication will resume after the New Year.

 

Securities lawsuit filings reached a six-year high in 2008, according to a year-end report released today by NERA Economic Consulting. The report, entitled "2008 Trends in Securities Class Actions" (here), was written by NERA economists Stephanie Plancich and Svetlana Starykh, and reports that through December 14, 2008, there were 255 securities class action filings, up from only 131 filings in 2006 and 195 filings in 2007. NERA’s December 18, 2008 press release regarding the report can be found here.

 

If the "atypical" cases (e.g., IPO laddering) are excluded from the comparison, the 2008 filings are "on pace to reach a 10-year high." The filings are also on pace for a 37% increase over 2007 and the highest annual increase since 2002 (the year of the corporate scandals).

 

The report attributes the "surge" in filings to the credit crisis. Of the 255 YTD filings, 110 were credit crisis related, and almost 50% of cases involved defendants in the financial sector, as compared to only 16% of cases in the 2005-06 period. (My table of the credit crisis-related securities lawsuit filings can be accessed  here.)

 

But while the financial sector saw increased litigation activity, "other sectors also saw continued filing activity." For example, though lawsuits against companies in the health technology sector declined as a percentage of all filings, the absolute number of filings against companies in the health technology sector increased, as there were 29 filings against health technology companies in 2008, compared to only 19 in 2006.

 

The 2008 filings have been concentrated in the second and ninth circuits. The second circuit filings were increased by the large number of filings in the Southern District of New York, particularly financial companies domiciled there.

 

Though the pattern of increased filing activity in 2008 is clear, "there have been no clear increasing or decreasing trends in the patter of resolutions." The report notes that median settlements have "remained relatively stable." The 2008 median settlement of $7.5 million is slightly below the 2007 median of $9.4 million, but above the 2006 median of $7.0 milllion.

 

Average settlements, which can be substantially affected by large settlements, were up in 2008 relative to 2007. The average settlement in 2008 was $38 million, up from $31 million in 2007, but well below the post-Sarbanes Oxley average from 2003 to 2008 of $45 million. (The annual average settlement has ranged from $21 million to $82 million during this six-year period.)

 

The report does observe that over time there has been an increase in the dollar value of claimed investor losses, from about $120 million ten years ago, to around $340 million during 2008. However, the ratio of median settlement to median investor losses has "stayed relatively steady in the 2-3% range over the past few years."

 

Looking forward, the report notes that there could be "two opposing factors" that could determine whether or not average or median settlements will increase in the future. On the one hand, investor losses associated with the credit crisis lawsuits in 2008 are very large, which could be "an indicator of big settlements to come." On the other hand, the credit crisis has "dramatically shrunk the size of many defendants’ pockets." Lower financial wherewithal might operate as a downward force on settlement values.

 

The report concludes that "only time will tell if the huge investor losses for credit crisis filings may put upward press on median settlements in the future, or if the financial distress faced by defendant companies may pull median settlement values down."

 

My own observations on the 2008 securities litigation activity will be detailed in my year-end analysis, which will be forthcoming after the first of the new year. UPDATE: My year end analysis can be found here. For now, I note a few things.

 

First, this has been an extraordinarily difficult year in which to just try and count the cases. For example, many litigation targets have been sued multiple times by different claimants, whether they are shareholders who acquired their shares over different time periods, or they are security holders with different classes of equity interests. Whether a new filing should or should not be "counted" has been difficult. Further complicating this has been the large number of state court filings, which are difficult just to find. I emphasize this point simply because there is going to be a significant variation in the various commentators’ year-end reports about how many filings there were this year. My own count is lower than NERA’s.

 

Second, while the 2008 filings were significantly increased by filings against companies in the financial sector, as the year has progressed and the impact of the credit crisis has become more widespread, the credit crisis-related filings have spread outside the financial sector (refer for example here).

 

Third, you may see comments elsewhere that the 2008 filings were inflated by one-time sector events, like the auction rate securities lawsuits. While this is true, the recent surge of litigation activity involving the Madoff victims demonstrates that in many ways the pace of securities litigation activity is simply a reflection of a series of supposed one-time events. The mere fact that there is an identifiable event arguably may be irrelevant to analyses of current or future filing trends.

 

Fourth, the NERA report makes no projections about what is likely to happen to the pace of filing activity in 2009. My own view is that the current active filing pace is likely to continue well into 2009 and perhaps beyond. Among other things, filing activity has been elevated over the last several weeks, which is unusual for December, historically a slow month. The continued spread of credit crisis filings outside the financial sector is likely to continue in 2009. Moreover, the impacts of the financial downturn will begin to emerge as company’s report their 2008 results and as the year progresses, which could contribute to litigation activity.

 

As I said, my own report will be forthcoming. I am very interested in hearing readers’ thoughts and reactions in the interim.

 

Special thanks to Ben Seggerson of NERA for providing me with a copy of the NERA report.