On January 12, 2009, in the first dismissal motion ruling among the many subprime and credit crisis-related securities lawsuits pending in the Southern District of New York, Judge Shira Scheindlin granted the defendants’ motion to dismiss in the Centerline Holding Company securities case, with leave to amend. A copy of the opinion can be found here.

 

Background

As detailed more fully here, the plaintiff’s complaint basically alleges that the company and four individual defendants concealed from the investing public that they were structuring a sale of the company’s $2.8 billion portfolio of tax-exempt mortgage revenue bonds to a third party. When the company announced the sale, it also announced that it would be cutting its dividend from $1.68 per share to only 60 cents a share.

 

The company also disclosed at the same time that it had entered into a related party transaction with a company controlled by its Chairman, Stephen Ross, and its Managing Trustee, Jeff Blau, whereby this separate company agreed to provide Centerline with $131 million in financing in exchange for 12.2 million shares of newly-issued convertible stock that will pay an 11% dividend.

 

Upon the announcement of this news, the company’s share price declined 25% and the lawsuits followed.

 

The Motion to Dismiss Ruling

The defendants moved to dismiss the complaint on the ground that the plaintiff had not adequately pled scienter. Judge Scheindlin agreed. Specifically, she concluded that the plaintiff had neither alleged sufficient facts showing that defendants had the motive and opportunity to commit fraud nor adequately pled that defendants acted with recklessness.

 

The plaintiff had alleged that defendants Ross and Blau were motivated to "engineer" the related party transaction to increase their voting control of the company from 17% to almost 30%; to be paid an 11% coupon rate, "thereby diverting a material portion of the Company’s income to insiders…to the great detriment of shareholders"; and to have the opportunity to nominate an individual trustee.

 

Judge Scheindlin said that these allegations "do not explain why Ross and Blau would have wanted to fraudulently conceal the news" of their investment or of the bond portfolio sale. She also said that "if they had any motive, it would have been to disclose information about the bond sale and dividend cut sooner," since their preferred shares are only convertible at $10.75 a share, yet after the announcement of the bond sale, the company’s share price declined to $7.70 a share.

 

The court noted that if Ross and Blau had wanted a "sweetheart" deal, "the would have been motivated to cause information related to the sale of the bond portfolio and dividend cut to be disclosed sooner so that they could have negotiated a lower conversion price."

 

Judge Scheindlin also found insufficient the allegations that the other two individual defendants were motivated by reason of their high salaries, bonus compensation, equity awards or continued employment.

 

Judge Scheindlin also held that the plaintiff had not alleged facts sufficient to establish conscious misbehavior or recklessness. Specifically, she noted that "the Complaint does not allege any facts to show that defendants knew they should have disclosed information of the transactions prior to the date of the announcement, but recklessly failed to do so."

 

The defendants cited an SEC rule (promulgated in implement Section 409 of the Sarbanes Oxley Act) specifying that companies are required to disclose material definitive agreements within four business days of entry into the agreement, and argued that the plaintiff had not alleged that the company had failed to comply with the rule. The plaintiff argued that whether the defendants complied with the SEC’s rule, the company had failed to disclose information about the pending sale information about the pending sale and dividend cut while the company was making other disclosures on those topics, which made those other disclosures "false, inaccurate, incomplete or misleading."

 

Judge Scheindlin said that even if it were assumed that the statements were misleading, the defendants’ compliance with the SEC’s rule "suggests that Lead Plaintiff has failed to show defendants acted recklessly in omitting such information." She added that defendants conduct cannot be described as "highly unreasonable" when "it is arguable that they did not have a duty to disclose such information before they actually did."

 

Because she found that the plaintiff had not presented facts to make the Section 10 claims "plausible," Judge Scheindlin dismissed the claims, but she allowed plaintiff 30 days in which to file an Amended Complaint.

 

Discussion

The significance of Judge Scheindlin’s opinion is that it is the first dismissal motion ruling in a subprime and credit crisis-related case in the Southern District of New York. A very large number of the subprime and credit crisis-related securities lawsuits overall have been filed in the S.D.N.Y because the financial services industry is concentrated there. By my count, as many as 54 of the 101 subprime and credit crisis-related securities lawsuits that were filed in 2008 were filed in the Southern District of New York.

 

However, any inferences about the other cases that might be drawn from Judge Scheindlin’s grant of the dismissal motion in the Centerline case probably need to be heavily discounted because the opinion depends so heavily on case-specific allegations and the specifics of the transaction involved. For that reason the case may offer relatively little insight into the prospects for other cases pending in the S.D.N.Y., except to the extent that it illumines the legal standards that will be applied to scienter issues in other cases.

 

In any event, the ruling was without prejudice, and it remains to be seen whether or not the plaintiffs will be able to amend their pleadings sufficiently to survive a renewed motion to dismiss.

 

Those readers who may have had the thought, as I did, while reading about this case that the allegations really lend themselves more to a derivative lawsuit alleging breaches of the duty of loyalty and care will want to know that there was a separate derivative lawsuit filed in the S.D.N.Y. against Centerline, as nominal defendants, as well as certain of its directors and officers. A copy of the derivative complaint can be found here.

 

I have added the recent Centerline opinion to my table of subprime and credit crisis-related securities lawsuit dismissals, dismissal motion denials and settlements, which can be accessed here.

 

Another 2009 Credit Crisis Lawsuit: In their January 14, 2009 press release (here), plaintiffs’ lawyers announced their initiation of a securities class action lawsuit in the Western District of Washington on behalf of investors who purchased certain WaMu Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates. The Complaint (which can be found here) was filed against the various series of certificates, as well as Washington Mutual bank, WaMu Acceptance Corporation, and certain individuals.

 

According to the press release, the complaint alleges that the "defendants made material misstatements and omissions in connection with the offerings regarding the collateral underlying the certificates."

 

The new WaMu case is already the third subprime and credit crisis-related lawsuit filed so far in 2009. Because I thought that some readers might like to separately track the 2009 credit crisis securities lawsuits, I have created a separate spreadsheet (that can be accessed here) on which I will separately track the 2009 credit crisis cases. I will update the spreadsheet as new credit crisis cases are filed.

 

The addition of the WaMu case brings the total number of subprime and credit-crisis related securities lawsuits that have been filed since 2007 to 144. My list of all of the subprime and credit crisis securities cases can be accessed here.

 

Special thanks to Adam Savett of the Securities Litigation Watch for providing a copy of the WaMu complaint.

 

More about Social Networking: In a recent post, I revealed my New Year’s resolution to become more familiar with and involved in the various professional social networking sites, including LinkedIn and Twitter. The prior post elicited a promising initial response, but because I suspect that many readers may not have seen my prior note, I am reprising the message here.

 

Many readers may be interested to know that between the times when I enter new blog posts, I often add quick notes and links on Twitter. My Twitter site can be accessed here. It is relatively simple to register.

 

I also remain interested in trying to better develop my LinkedIn network. The LinkedIn button in the right hand margin above will take you to my LinkedIn profile. I am interested in trying to bring readers of this blog into my LinkedIn network, so please let me know if you would like to "connect." I am still learning what I might be able to accomplish with the network, but I proceeding on the theory that the only way to figure it out is to plunge in and try to make it work.

 

We are barely into the New Year, but all signs are that two of the critical securities litigation trends of 2008 – the subprime/credit crisis related litigation wave and the Madoff-related litigation wave – remain significant factors and apparently will continue to drive new lawsuit filings as we head into 2009, as the recent lawsuit filings discussed below suggest.

 

The New RBS Lawsuit

First, with respect to the credit crisis litigation, on January 12, 2009, plaintiffs’ lawyers issued a press release (here) stating that they had initiated a securities class action lawsuit in the Southern District of New York on behalf of purchasers of Series S American Depositary Shares (ADSs) of the Royal Bank of Scotland Group and related entities and certain directors and officers. The complaint also names as defendants the offering underwriters that conducted the June 2007 offering of the shares.

 

The Complaint (which can be found here) alleges misrepresentations and omissions in the offering documents, which incorporated the Company’s 2004, 2005 and 2006 financial statements. The Complaint alleges that the company "ultimately announced huge multi-billion pound impairment charges associated with its exposure to debt securities, including mortgage-related securities tied to the U.S. real estate markets, causing the price of RBS’s Series S ADSs issued in the Offering to decline." The ADSs, which were originally offered at $25/share, now trade around $10/share.

 

According to the Complaint, the offering documents omitted that:

 

(a) defendants’ portfolio of debt securities was impaired to a much larger extent than the Company had disclosed; (b) defendants failed to properly record losses for impaired assets; (c) the Company’s internal controls were inadequate to prevent the Company from improperly reporting its debt securities; (d) the Company’s participation in the consortium which acquired ABN AMRO would have disastrous results on the Company’s capital position and overall operations; and (e) the Company’s capital base was not adequate enough to withstand the significant deterioration in the subprime market and, as a result, RBS would be forced to raise significant amounts of additional capital.

 

RBS is actually the second company from the ill-fated consortium that was the "successful" bidder in the ABN AMRO buyout to get dragged into U.S. securities litigation.

 

As I noted here, another consortium member, Fortis, was also hit with a securities class action lawsuit in October 2008. As I noted in that prior post, "it is one more of those amazing things about the current circumstances that, despite the size of the ABN AMRO calamity, it is effectively just background noise in the larger cataclysm." (An abridge version of the ABN AMRO debacle can be found here.) Both RBS and Fortis have also been the recipients of massive bailout efforts from their respective governments.

 

The ABN AMRO losses to RBS continue to amount. For example, on January 12, 2009, Bloomberg reported (here) that, as a result of loans RBS acquired as part of the ABN AMRO deal, RBS is the biggest lender to bankrupt U.S. chemical maker Lyondell Chemical Co., and may face losses on its $3.47 billion of loans. The loans were part of the $20.5 billion raised to finance Bassell AF’s 2007 leveraged buyout of Lyondell.

 

More Madoff Litigation

According to their release (here), on January 12, 2009, plaintiff’s counsel initiated another Madoff-related securities class action lawsuit in the Southern District of New York on behalf of investors in the Herald USA Fund, Herald Luxemburg Fund, Primeo Select Funds, and Thema International Funds, against the Funds, Medici Bank, Bank Austria Creditianstait, Unicredit S.A., Pioneer Alternative Investments, HSBC Holdings plc and Ernst & Young LLP, as well as Medici Bank’s founder Sonja Kohn and its former CEO Peter Scheithauer. A copy of the complaint in the case can be found here.

 

Austrian regulators took control of Bank Medici after the bank revealed that it had invested as much as $3.2 billion in funds managed by Bernard Madoff and his firm. Bank of Medici is 25% owned by Unicredit. As reported here, one of the Bank’s largest customers was Unicredit’s Pioneer Investments, which invested as much as €805 with the Funds. Further background can be found here.

 

According to the press release, the Complaint alleges defendants caused the Funds "to concentrate almost 100% of their investment capital with entities that participated in the massive, fraudulent scheme perpetrated" by Madoff and his firm.

 

Run the Numbers: With the addition of the RBS case, the total number of subprime and credit crisis-related securities lawsuits going back to 2007 now stands at 143, of which two have been filed already in 2009. My updated tally of the subprime and credit crisis-related cases can be accessed here.

 

The new lawsuit on behalf of the Bank Medici Funds investors brings the total of Madoff-related securities class action lawsuits to eight, as reflected on my running tally of the cases, which can be accessed here.

 

Keeping Count: In my analysis (here) of the recently released Cornerstone/Stanford Clearinghouse report regarding the 2008 securities litigation, I noted that the report’s count of new 210 securities lawsuit filings through December 15, 2008 contrasted with my own count of 224 securities lawsuits through December 31, 2008. As I noted in my analysis, the additional lawsuits filed between December 15 and December 31 were critically important in understanding fully 2008 filing trends, as they significantly affect relative and absolute filing numbers during the year.

 

The Stanford Law School Securities Class Action Clearinghouse website has now updated its count through year’s end, bringing their 2008 tally to 226. The Stanford website can be accessed here.

 

On further review of their figures, my account appropriately should be adjusted from 224 to 226.

 

Investors whose fortunes were tied to Bernard Madoff and his firm have already been counting (and mourning) their losses. But for the insurers that provided coverage for financial firms targeted in the Madoff-related litigation, the losses have only just begun to accumulate.

 

How high the insurance losses ultimately may run remains to be seen, but early estimates suggest that that the insurance losses, even just for defense expenses, could be significant.

 

A January 9, 2008 Bloomberg article (here) reports that Madoff-related claims "may cost insurers who cover financial institutions more than $1 billion as they pay legal costs for investment managers who gave client money to Madoff." Indeed one respected industry participant is quoted as saying that a total of $1 billion "feels a little low to me."
 

 

The losses could well affect not only D&O insurers, but also insurers offering"error and omissions" E&O insurance. For many of the kinds of investment firms involved in these cases so far, the type of insurance protection they would most likely purchase provides both coverages within a single package.

 

The article correctly points out that how large the insurance losses ultimately turn out to be depends on how many of the Madoff "feeder funds" and other litigation targets actually have purchased these kinds of insurance. As one observer quoted in the article notes, hedge funds and other investment vehicles "often don’t buy coverage."

 

There are a variety of other factors that also could affect the total cost to insurers of the Madoff-related claims. The first is the question of who is insured under the policies. In many of these Madoff-related lawsuits (a complete list of which can be accessed here), the plaintiffs have named a laundry list of related defendants, often including not only investment managers and advisors, but also investment funds, offshore entities, and a squadron of associated individuals.

 

These claims are going to stress-test the insurance policies involved. The policyholders will find out how well put together the policies were, in light of the entities’ related structures and operations. There may well be instances where the entire family of advisors, managers and funds were not fully yoked together under the coverage umbrella.

 

But an even more important set of issues that potentially could affect the scope of insurance losses are the potential coverage defenses the carriers may seek to assert. In particular, insurers will be looking closely to see whether the allegations raised in these lawsuits trigger one of more of the standard conduct exclusions, particularly the personal profit and the fraud exclusions.

 

The conduct exclusions typically are written on an after adjudication basis, meaning that the only apply to preclude coverage only after an adjudicated determination that the prohibited conduct actually took place (as I recently noted in my discussion of the potential coverage insurance issues arising in connection with the Satyam scandal, here).

 

Moreover, at this point the fraud involved appears to involve misconduct of Madoff himself, rather than the feeder funds, although obviously investigators are probing the potential complicity of a wide variety and number of persons associated with Madoff.

 

The personal profit exclusion may prove to be the more relevant. A typical exclusion precludes coverage for loss "based upon, arising from, or in consequence of … an Insured having gained any profit, remuneration or advantage to which such Insured as not legally entitled, if a judgment or final adjudication in any proceeding establishes the gaining of such remuneration or advantage."

 

Investors have already claimed that the feeder funds inappropriately exacted management fees or other compensation without conducting appropriate due diligence or otherwise earning their fees. However, an adjudicated determination of these allegations would be required for the profit exclusion to preclude coverage.

 

Although there is currently no reported reason to suggest that the "feeder funds" were aware of Madoff’s scheme, insurers will also be looking closely at who know what and when, looking for possible bases to rescind coverage based on alleged misrepresentations in the policy application.

 

Yet another factor that could restrict the total insurance losses is the limitation on the amount of insurance potentially involved. In my experience, many investment advisory firms and hedge funds buy relatively lower limits of insurance coverage. Thus, in many cases, the available insurance involved could be relatively slight and could quickly be exhausted by defense costs alone. As a result, a portion of the potential defense expense and the amount of some settlements could wind up being uninsured.

 

I suspect that as a result of the Madoff-related events, many investment advisory firms, hedge funds and other financial firms will now need far less persuading of the value of this type of insurance or that more than just minimal limits could well be advised. Unfortunately, for the firms acquiring this insight for the first time now, this type of coverage could well become much more expensive even if otherwise available.

 

As noted in a December 31, 2008 publication of the Lloyd’s insurance market entitled "Madoff Scandal Poses Challenges for Directors" (here), the "sheer scale of the fallout from Madoff could seriously affect the financial insurance market’s dynamics, affecting the availability and cost of both professional indemnity and directors and officers coverage." The article quotes one source as stating with respect to this type of coverage that "prices are going to increase and cover will be restricted."

 

More Madoff Lawsuits: Meanwhile, the Madoff-related lawsuits continue to flood in. For example, on January 8, 2009, Pacific West Health Medical Center, Inc. Employees Retirement Trust sued Fairfield Greenwich Group and related entities and individuals in the Southern District of New York on behalf of all persons who purchased shares of the Fairfield Sentry funds, alleging that the defendants breached their fiduciary duties. The defendants are also accused of negligence, unjust enrichment and breach of contract.

 

A copy of the Pacific West complaint can be found here. A copy of a January 9, 2009 Bloomberg article describing the complaint can be found here.

 

It also looks as if overseas investors are about to get involved in Madoff litigation, which may be unsurprising give that, as the Financial Times reports (here), as much as half of the Madoff losses have been borne by non-U.S. investors.

 

According to a January 8, 2009 Reuters story (here), investment activist group Deminor is readying to sue UBS, HSBC, Hyposwiss and others in courts in Luxembourg and Ireland in connection with the Madoff scandal. The charge is that the defendant banks acts as depositories for sponsored funds that invested clients’ money in Madoff-related vehicles. The allegation is that the depository banks were responsible for the sponsored funds and negligently failed to check what was inside the clients’ portfolios.

 

According to an earlier Financial Times article (here), UBS at least sought to exculpate itself from any responsibility for clients’ assets through the subscription documents it used.

 

In any event, I have updated my running tally of the Madoff-related litigation, which can be accessed here.

 

Special thanks to David Demurjian for the link to the Bloomberg article, and to a loyal reader who prefers anonymity for the Reuters and Financial Times articles.

 

Can Madoff Losses Be Recovered?: In addition to all of the factors noted above that could diminish the aggregate Madoff-related insurance losses, there is also the question whether the investors’ claims are meritorious. That is, do the claimants actually have a legitimate basis upon which to try to recover their losses from the Madoff "feeder funds" and others?

 

These questions will be addressed in a webinar entitled "Madoff Litigation: Can the Lost Billions Be Recovered?" to be hosted by Securities Docket on January 14, 2009 at 2:00 P.M. The speakers include Gerald Silk of the Bernstein Litowitz firm, Brad Friedman of Milberg LLP, and Fred Dunbar of NERA Economic Consulting. Further background regarding the webinar can be found here. Registration for the webinar can be accessed here.

 

A replay of a prior Securities Docket webinar entitled "2008: A Year in Review" can be accessed here. (I was one of the speakers at this prior session.)

 

"Hitler Previews the Cubs’ Winter Meeting": This video is in questionable taste, contains foul language, and is very very funny, at least for those having some acquaintance with the Chicago Cubs. (The humor is more accessible if, for example, you know who Kerry Wood is.) Special thanks to a loyal reader for sending along a link to this video.

 

https://youtube.com/watch?v=Rs7OagOu8ok%26hl%3Den%26fs%3D1

Seventh Circuit Weighs In on State Court ’33 Act Jurisdiction and Removal: A January 5, 2009 Seventh Circuit decision in the Katz v. Gerardi case (here) may make it more difficult for plaintiffs to pursue ’33 Act litigation in state court, at least in the Seventh Circuit — and possibly elsewhere, too.

 

As I detailed in a recent post (here), plaintiffs’ lawyers have proven keenly interested in pursing subprime and credit crisis-related litigation in state court, apparently for forum shopping type reasons. Defendants generally have sought to remove these cases to federal court, relying, among other things on the Class Action Fairness Act of 2005 (CAFA) and the Securities Litigation Uniform Standards Act of 1998 (SLUSA).

 

However, this past summer, the Ninth Circuit held in the Luther v. Countrywide case that the nonremoval provision in Section 22 of the ’33 Act (which provides concurrent state and federal court jurisdiction for ’33 Act cases) effectively trumps the more recently enacted SLUSA and CAFA because it more specifically relates to securities lawsuits. My discussion of the Luther v. Countrywide case can be found here.

 

An October decision in the Second Circuit in the New Jersey Carpenters’ Fund v. Harborview Mortgage case had refused to remand to state court a ’33 Act case, as is more fully discussed on the 10b-5 Daily blog (here). The Harborview decision was primarily based on the fact that the underlying securities lawsuit did not involve "covered securities" for which SLUSA created an explicit removal exception; because the exception did not apply, the case could appropriately be removed to federal court notwithstanding the nonremoval provision in Section 22.

 

In the recent Seventh Circuit opinion, Judge Frank Easterbrook wrote that the provisions of the more recently enacted statutes, particularly CAFA, trump Section 22. Judge Easterbrook expressly rejected Luther v. Countrywide’s conclusion that the more specific securities statute prevailed. However, Judge Easterbrook’s opinion, like the Second Circuit opinion in Harborview, also depended in part on the fact that the investment instruments involved are not "covered securities" (i.e., do not trade on a national exchange), and therefore did not come within one of CAFA’s removal exceptions.

 

In addition, Judge Easterbrook’s opinion does seem to have been influenced significantly by the fact that the plaintiff in the case was really a seller of the investments involved, rather than a buyer, and therefore lacked a legal basis to assert a ’33 Act claim. Although the opinion nevertheless examined the removal/jurisdictional issues as if the plaintiff had a legal right to assert the claim, the opinion’s starting point arguably influenced the outcome of its analysis.

 

In any event, the Seventh Circuit’s recent opinion, together with the Second Circuit’s Harborview opinion, clearly could create substantial jurisdictional hurdles (at least outside the Ninth Circuit) for the numerous plaintiffs now seeking to pursue ’33 Act claims in state court. Many (if not all) of the various subprime and credit crisis-related cases filed in state court related to investment instruments that are not traded on national exchanges and therefore are not "covered securities." Accordingly, contrary to the title of one of my prior posts, Section 11 cases may not be "coming soon to a state court near you" after all.

 

A January 12, 2009 Law.com article discussing the Seventh Circuit opinion can be found here.

 

Collins & Aikman Defendants Criminal Charges Dropped: On January 9, 2009, prosecutors dropped securities fraud and other criminal charges against former Collins & Aikman CEO David Stockman and three others. As reported in the January 10, 2009 Wall Street Journal (here), the U.S. Attorney’s office said further prosecution "wouldn’t be in the ‘interests of justice’ following a renewed assessment of the case."

 

While the individuals involved undoubtedly are relieved to have the prosecutorial threat removed, the government’s action comes only after the now-defunct company’s directors and officers insurance was entirely exhausted by defense fees, as I discussed at length in a prior post (here). Unfortunately for these individuals, they continue to face SEC enforcement proceedings as well as civil litigation (about which refer here), now without any further insurance available to fund their defense in these proceedings, not to mention any settlements or judgments that may follow.

 

A criminal prosecution has such an enormous potential to cause harm. On the one hand, it is commendable that the government was willing to reassess the case and to drop it before any further harm was done. On the other hand, even though the prosecution is over, it has done material damage to the individuals who were unfortunate to be subject to a prosecution that lacked an adequate basis. It is extremely regrettable when the government uses its enormous power when it is unwarranted. In this instance the government can drop the case and walk away without so much as an apology, but the unfortunate consequences of an unjustified prosecution continue for the individuals involved.

 

University of Denver law professor Jay Brown has extensively covered the Collins & Aikman criminal prosecution on the Race to the Bottom blog (here), including in particular his discussion (here) of how the criminal prosecution exhausted the company’s D&O insurance. The SEC Actions blog has a good summary description (here) of the criminal case and raises the question whether the SEC will proceed with the civil enforcement proceeding in light of the discontinuance of the criminal case. All of the key pleadings in the criminal case can be found on the University of Denver Law School’s corporate governance website, here.

 

2008 Delaware Case Law in Review: Francis Pileggi of the Delaware Corporate and Commercial Litigation Blog has released the2008 installment of his annual review of key Delaware opinions. Pileggi’s report, which is must reading for anyone who wants an overview of important legal developments in Delaware’s court’s during 2008, is entitled "Selected Key Corporate and Commercial Delaware Decisions in 2008" and can be accessed here.

 

As the details about the Satyam Computer Services scandal have emerged and the U.S. securities lawsuits have begun to flood in, questions have also arisen about Satyam’s D&O insurance. At least some of the questions are answered in a January 8, 2009 article in The Economic Times (India’s largest financial daily) entitled "Satyam Scam Triggers Biggest D&O Claim" (here).

 

According to the article, Satyam carries a $75 million D&O insurance program led by Tata AIG, which is a joint venture of Tata Group and American International Group. The article also states that the Satyam claim "could trigger one of the largest Directors and Officers insurance claims in India."

 

Of course, knowing the limits of liability under Satyam’s insurance program does not necessarily tell you how much insurance ultimately will be available to defend and indemnify Satyam and its directors and officers. In a case where the company’s Chairman has publicly admitted fraud, the applicable terms and conditions will be absolutely critical. I discuss below a couple of issues that seem likely to arise.

 

The Fraud Exclusion

Without knowing more about the specific terms applicable under Satyam’s D&O insurance program, it is difficult to say anything with certainty. However, at least in the U.S., D&O insurance policies do not cover fraudulent, criminal or intentional misconduct.

 

But, again in the U.S., these exclusions typically do not kick in until there has been an "adjudication." Even though Satyam’s Chairman has admitted cooking the books, he has not (yet) been convicted of anything, so to the extent the policy’s exclusions have an "adjudication" requirement, the exclusions would not apply, at least in the interim.

 

Moreover, a well-constructed U.S. policy would also contain a "severability of exclusions" provision so that even if an exclusion would apply to preclude coverage based on the Chairman’s misconduct, it would not apply to others who were uninvolved in the conduct. Of course, many questions are now being asked about who else at Satyam might have been involved in the fraudulent accounting. The Chairman’s letter sought to establish that other board members were unaware of the fraud.

 

A prior post discussing the "adjudicated fraud" exclusion can be found here. A separate post discussing an interim decision in the Refco matter and relating to the interaction of the exclusion and the funding of defense costs can be found here.

 

Application Misrepresentations?

Another insurance issue that likely will be raised is the question of policy rescission. Given the magnitude of the fraud and the apparent length of time during which it was going on, the question may be asked whether the policy was procured through misrepresentations in the application process.

 

Under the typical current D&O policy in the U.S., application misrepresentations can serve as a basis on which the carrier can rescind the policy only as to persons with knowledge of the misrepresentations and as to persons to whom that knowledge is imputed. A well-constructed U.S. policy will limit "imputation" so that innocent persons do not risk rescission of their coverage because of another’s misrepresentation. The imputation language used in Satyam’s policy could well be critical.

 

A prior post discussing D&O insurance policy rescission issues can be found here (refer especially to my "final thoughts" toward the end of the post).

 

I welcome any insight readers can provide about the provision of the typical D&O insurance policy in the Indian market, as well as any additional information anyone can supply about the Satyam program, particularly any additional carriers involved.

 

Very special thanks to loyal reader Aruno Rajaratnam for providing a copy of The Economic Times article as well as other information about Satyam.

 

Global Accounting Outlook = Bleak: Fitch’s Ratings has issued a January 8, 2009 report entitled "Accounting and Financial Reporting: 2009 Global Outlook" (available here, registration required) with some very interesting observations about the year ahead for public company accountants. As the report states in its opening line, "these are indeed interesting times for accounting."

 

Among other things, the report notes the following with respect to the "going concern" questions that many companies and their accountants will face as the companies prepare their year-end 2008 financial statements:

 

The sharp decline in global debt and equity securities values and a very difficult credit environment have presented a unique set of chllenges to the interpretation and implementation of some pervasive accounting issues. An immediate question facing some companies preparing their full-year 2008 financial statements, is how best to justify a "going concern" basis, given the doubts some have about their abiltiy to refinance. Management statements on this issue should be required reading for investors and analysts. The determination of impairment charges on debt securities and the lack of clear-cut rules on the subject have pitted some issuers against their auditors. This is a particularly sensitive issue because profitability and regulatory capital adequacy are at state for many financial institutions.

 

Obviously, insurance companies are among the companies for whom the determination of impairment charges will be particularly sensitive. And among others who will want to read companies’ managers’ statements on the "going concern" issue, in addition to investors and analysts, are D&O underwriters.

 

A news article describing the Fitch report can be found here. Special thanks to a loyal reader for sending along the news article and a link to the report.

 

I encourage those that questioned my inclusion of FCPA issues in my list of top ten 2008 development to refer to the January 5, 2009 memo from the Gibson Dunn law firm entitled "2008 Year-End FCPA Update" (here).

 

As the memo puts it, 2008 was ‘by any measure …a monster year in Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (‘FCPA’) enforcement." The memo goes on to note that "2008 saw the FCPA’s enforcement regime mature like never before," adding that "there were no unimportant FCPA enforcement actions this year."

 

The memo highlights several enforcement trends. First, with particular emphasis on the recent massive Siemens FCPA fine, the report notes the trend toward escalating corporate financial penalties.

 

The memo reports that the Siemens fine eclipsed the prior record FCPA fine by nearly twenty times; in fact, the memo notes, the Siemens fine substantially exceeds "the aggregate of every dollar collected by the U.S. government in connection with FCPA settlements over the statute’s thirty-one year history." The memo also emphasizes the staggering costs that Siemens incurred in connection with the investigation. The memo notes that the company’s investigation and corporate remediation costs exceeded $1 billion.

 

To show that "enormous foreign prior settlements are certain not to be a fluke of 2008," the memo cites ABB’s recent announcement that it has reserved $850 million for potential costs associated with the continuing investigation of alleged improper practices.

 

The memo also addresses a theme I have frequently sounded (most recently here), that FCPA enforcement actions increasingly are accompanied by follow-on civil litigation. The memo notes that FCPA investigations increasingly have "spurred a variety of collateral civil suits, including securities fraud actions, shareholder derivative suits, and lawsuits initiated by foreign governments or business partners." Companies "can no longer assume that making peace with DOJ and the SEC will end the pain associated with their alleged FCPA violations."

 

With respect to securities litigation following on after FCPA investigations, the memo notes that "in recent years, courts have been trending towards finding that plaintiffs adequately alleged false or misleading statements, thereby meeting the heightened pleading standard under the PSLRA." However, as I noted in a recent post (here), the Ninth Circuit in the InVision Technologies case made it clear that "there are limits on the types of allegations that will meet this threshold."

 

The memo also reproduces an interesting bar graph showing the foreign jurisdictions having the "dubious distinction of being the most-referenced setting for FCPA allegations." Among the top countries are Nigeria, Iraq, China, Vietnam and Ecuador.

 

The memo, which is detailed and interesting, identifies a number of other important trends, including the increased internationalization of foreign anti-corruption endorsement.

 

Answer: Less Than One Day: In my January 7, 2009 post (here) regarding the accounting scandal dramatically disclosed at the Indian technology company Satyam Computer Services, I raised the question of how long it would take for plaintiffs’ lawyer to initiate a securities class action lawsuit against the company in a U.S. court.

 

The answer is – less than a single day.

 

Even before the close of business on January 7, plaintiffs’ lawyers announced (here) that they had filed a securities class action lawsuit in the Southern District of New York on behalf of purchasers of the company’s ADRs (which are traded, or at least were traded, on the NYSE) against the company and certain of its directors and officers. A copy of one of the Satyam complaints that has been filed can be found here.

 

The well of scandal is an ever-flowing stream, providing the plaintiffs’ bar with a constantly replenished source of new litigation targets. So much for the notion that the pool of potential securities litigation defendants is "fished out."

 

New Year’s Resolution: Some people resolve lose more weight, other people resolve to get more exercise. Even though I need to spend more time fooling around with technology like I need a hole in my head, my New Year’s resolution is to try to get more plugged into the new social media.

 

Along those lines, you will note that I have added a button in the right hand sidebar that links to my LinkedIn profile. I encourage everyone to check out my profile by clicking on the button. I would also like to strongly encourage other readers that are active on LinkedIn to "connect" with me. I am still trying to figure out what the site will lead to, but at least if readers of this blog start connecting we can try to work through it together.

 

In addition, I have recently signed up for Twitter. Again, I am still feeling my way along with the new technology, but I will say that I have used Twitter several times over the past couple of days to alert "followers" (in effect, subscribers) to developments before I had a chance to get a post up on my blog. For example, as soon as I saw the link to Cornerstone’s year end report, I posted a "tweet" on Twitter. I also added a "tweet" about the new Satyam lawsuit as soon as I learned about it. I encourage readers who may also be active on Twitter to sign up for future updates.

 

Finally, I welcome readers’ thoughts and comments on these new media. As I said, I am still trying to figure all of this out, and I am particularly interested in thoughts and comments about how best to take advantage of these new technologies.

 

Because of the dramatic events in the financial and credit markets, 2008 will undoubtedly go down in history as a dark and difficult year. 2008 was a challenging year for bloggers, too. So much happened of such significance that trying to find the time to comment and the words to express it all were almost overwhelming blogging challenges.

 

But dramatic headline events do not always make the best blog posts, because high profile events are exhaustively reported in the mainstream media. The blog posts that stand out in retrospect are those that analyze a specific detail of larger events reported elsewhere; that draw connections between otherwise disparate events; or that highlight developments that otherwise would be lost in the noise.

 

I have set out below my own list of The D&O Diary’s Top Ten Blog Posts of 2008. I have used a simple standard in determining which posts to include; I listed posts that stand up best to re-reading now. The Top Ten posts are presented chronologically.

 

1. "CDO Squared" Securities Lawsuit Hits MBIA (January 13, 2008): MBIA is only one of several bond insurers to get caught up in the subprime litigation wave. But the lawsuit against MBIA arose at a time when all of us were still just becoming acquainted with some of the complex financial instruments that have caused so much trouble.

 

This post attempted to explore the then-unfamiliar CDO-squared instruments, incorporating into the exercise both a detailed study of Warren Buffett’s condemnation of derivative securities as "financial weapons of mass destruction," as well as a reflection of the possible lessons for the current crisis from the near-collapse of Long Term Capital Management ten years earlier.

 

Little did I suspect at the time how relevant my observations about derivative securities or the lessons of LTCM would become later in 2008. (As an aside, I must note how instructive I found it to reread now all of January 2008’s posts. What an astonishing year 2008 was.)

 

2. Auction Rate Securities: The Next Subprime Litigation Wave? (February 13, 2008): This post commented on "a developing breakdown in an obscure corner of the credit market involving debt instruments called ‘auction rate securities.’" The post accurately foresaw the coming wave of auction rate securities litigation, which according to my tally involved at least 21 companies in new securities lawsuits during 2008. (My subprime and credit crisis-related litigation tally, which includes auction rate securities litigation, can be found here.)

 

Litigation involving auction rate securities remained one of the top securities litigation stories throughout 2008 (as reflected here, for example), and the lawsuits were a significant factor in the upsurge in new securities filings in 2008. My complete overview of the 2008 securities filings can be found here.

 

3. A Single "Toxic" CDO, A Multitude of Subprime Lawsuits (March 9, 2008): So many of 2008’s dramatic events were so large and their effects were so sweeping that they defy easy comprehension. An alternative way to try to understand what happened is to look at a single investment vehicle – in this case, a collateralized debt obligation (CDO) called "Mantoloking" – and examine the difficulties and litigation that has followed in its wake.

 

The extent and magnitude of the problems from just this one investment structure (among other things, it played a role in Bear Stearns’ demise) helps put some context around the problems now besetting the global financial marketplace.

 

4. D&O Insurance: Defense Expense and Limits Adequacy (June 2, 2008): Every now and then a set of circumstances come along that helps illustrate one of the perennial problems in D&O insurance. In this instance, the case involved was the criminal prosecution arising from the collapse of Collins & Aikman. The particular problem involved was the possibility that defense costs alone threatened to exhaust the company’s entire $50 million insurance program before the criminal case even went to trial.

 

As discussed in the post, the increasing possibility that defense costs could deplete or exhaust available insurance undermines traditional notions of limits adequacy and underscores the importance of issues involving program structure as part of the insurance acquisition process.

 

5. Section 11 Lawsuits: Coming Soon to a State Court Near You (July 21, 2008): One of the more interesting (yet little noted) features of the subprime and credit crisis-related litigation wave has been the frequency with which plaintiffs’ lawyers in reliance on the ’33 Act’s concurrent jurisdiction have chosen to file Section 11 lawsuits in state court rather than federal court.

 

As I speculated elsewhere (refer here), these state court lawsuits arguably represent an involved form of forum shopping. They also may represent an attempted end run around the PSLRA’s procedural requirements. But whatever the motivation may be, the plaintiffs’ bar has shown a heightened interest in proceeding in state court and have even has some success in opposing removal to federal court.

 

In the general hubbub of the current financial turmoil, this litigation development has not attracted nearly as much attention as it deserves. The anomalous phenomenon of federal class action litigation going forward – in significant volume – in state court represents a trend that deserves greater attention. As I have noted in this blog post, some "recalibration" may be required.

 

6. A Closer Look at the Fed’s $85 Billion AIG Bailout (September 17, 2008): Both the significance and consequences of the AIG bailout are still emerging, as reflected in Carol Loomis’s December 24, 2008 Fortune article (here). But in rereading a blog post written in the immediate aftermath of the first announcement of the AIG bailout, it appears that many of the continuing questions were immediately apparent.

 

7. WaMu: A Thrift Falls in the Forest: (September 28, 2008): It is one measure of the massive scale of this fall’s events that the largest bank failure in U.S. history is almost a footnote to the year’s events. Even though WaMu’s failure may be overshadowed by other events, that does not mean that the event lacks significance. Indeed, many of the consequences of WaMu’s collapse still have yet to emerge.

 

Moreover, WaMu was only one of 25 bank failures in the U.S. during 2008. Though overshadowed by other more dramatic events, these bank failures portend further difficulties in 2009.

 

8. More Damn Things to Worry About (September 30, 2008): So many things happened so quickly in September 2008 that we were all left wondering: what else could go wrong? This post embodies sheer frustration we felt at the time and the depth of the concern about what may lie ahead. Many of the specific fears expressed have indeed come to pass. Though written quickly and at a very late hour, the post withstands scrutiny now.

 

9. Reading the New Buffett Bio (October 8, 2008): In the midst of this Fall’s financial crisis, it was a reassuring pleasure to read about Warren Buffett’s life. I enjoyed Alice Schroeder’s new biography of Buffett, and I enjoyed writing about her book. Writing a book review is something of a departure for this blog, but it stands out perhaps for that very reason. Given everything that was happening at the time, it was a relief just to read a book.

 

10. The Evolving Credit Crisis Litigation Wave (December 3, 2008): As we head into 2009, it is critically important to understand that as 2008 progressed, not only did the credit crisis itself evolve into something much more extensive and dangerous, but so too did the related litigation wave. In an earlier post (here), I speculated that the litigation wave might have reached an "inflection point." Further lawsuit filings confirmed that the litigation wave has spread beyond the financial sector.

 

Because this litigation wave is likely to continue to spread in the weeks and months ahead, this development represents an important and noteworthy trend for the New Year.

 

And Finally: In addition to my favorite blog posts, I also had a favorite video of the year, the viral video Where the Hell is Matt? I not only smile every time I watch this video, I like it a little bit more with each viewing. YouTube reports that the video has been viewed over 16 million times. Matt’s website (here) reports that the video was shot in 42 countries and took 14 months to videotape and edit.

 

https://youtube.com/watch?v=zlfKdbWwruY%26hl%3Den%26fs%3D1

2009 has barely just begun but the year’s first corporate scandal, which has quickly been dubbed the "Indian Enron," has already arrived. Your radar might not have picked this one up yet, but you may want to take a quick look at today’s news involving Indian information technology company Satyam Computer Services, Ltd.

 

As reported in articles on Bloomberg (here) and the New York Times website (here), Satyam’s Chairman, Ramalinga Raju, has sent a January 7, 2009 letter of resignation to the company’s Board of Directors, with copies the Bombay stock exchanges, in which he reveals, as the Times puts it, that "the company’s financial position had been massively inflated during the company’s expansion from a handful of employees into an outsourcing giant with 53,000 employees and operations in 66 countries."

 

It appears that as much as 53.6 billion rupees (or about $1.04 billion) in cash that the company reported as of the end of the second quarter that ended in September, was nonexistent. The company’s reported second quarter revenue was actually 21 billion rupees, rather than the reported 27 billion rupees.

 

The Chairman’s letter, which can be found here, is an absolutely extraordinary document.

 

With "deep regret and a tremendous burden," the Chairman details the specific balance sheet accounts that were inflated due to "non-existent cash." The letter further explains how the balance sheet "gap" came to exist – it is, the Chairman reports, "purely on account of inflated profits over a period of the last several years."

 

The letter states matter-of-factly that "what started as a marginal gap between the actual operating profit and one reflected in the books of accounts continued to grow over the years. It has attained unmanageable proportions as the size of the company operations grew." The letter goes on to describe how the company strained to maintain the gap over time." The letter further describes the company’s attempts to work out of its dilemma by merging with other companies, which the letter describes as the "last attempt to fill the fictitious assets with real ones." (The mergers fell through.)

 

It was, the letter says "like riding a tiger without knowing how to get off without being eaten."

 

In an apparent bid to exculpate himself, the Chairman notes that neither he nor the company’s Managing Director (or their spouses) sold any shares, nor have the taken "one rupee/dollar from the company" and they have not "benefitted in financial terms on account of the inflated results."

 

The Chairman graciously emphasizes that none of the past or present board members "had any knowledge of the situation in which the company is placed." After identifying each of these individuals by name, he states that none of them "were aware of the real situation as against the books of accounts."

 

The letter concludes with a description of the corrective actions the company will now take, an apology, and the Chairman’s resignation.

 

The company, whose name means "truth" in Sanskrit, trades its shares on the Bombay stock exchange and also has American Depository Receipts that trade on the New York Stock Exchange. Its shares also trade on the Euronext exchange.As of the close of trading on January 6, 2009, the company had a market capitalization of over $3 billion. However, the shares plunged 77% in trading on the Bombay exchange today.

 

The Times reports that the company is audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers.

 

According to a January 7, 2009 commentary on the Wall Street Journal’s website (here), Satyam’s scandal is already being called "India’s Enron." Perhaps that comparison was inevitable, but I think the scandal, particularly the Chairman’s extraordinary letter of confession, has overtones of the Madoff affair.

 

How long do you suppose it will be before a securities class action lawsuit is initiated in the U.S.?

 

UPDATE: The answer to this question is: less than one day. Plaintiffs’ lawyers January 7, 2009 press release about their newly filed securities lawsuits agasint Satyam and certain of its directors and officers on behalf of purchasers of the American ADRs can be found here. The case was filed in the Southern District of New York.

FURTHER UPDATE: A copy of one of the Satyam complaints can be found here.

 

Special thanks to a loyal reader for supplying a copy of the Chairman’s letter.

 

In recent posts discussing year-end trends, my observations included predictions that credit crisis related lawsuits would continue in 2009 and that increased levels of bank failures could lead to further "dead bank" litigation. As it turns out, 2009’s first-filed securities class action lawsuit appears to reflect both of these projected trends.

 

According to the plaintiffs’ attorneys’ January 6, 2009 press release (here), they have filed a securities class action lawsuit in the Central District of California alleging that PFF Bancorp and certain of its directors and officers issued false and misleading statements about the company’s financial condition and business practices in violation of the federal securities laws. Until the bank’s closure, PFF operated a community bank located in Pomona, California.

 

As the FDIC reported (here), on November 21, 2008, banking regulators closed PFF and its assets were transferred to U.S. Bankcorp. PFF is one of the twenty-five U.S. banks that failed during 2008. (The FDIC’s complete list of the failed banks can be found here.)

 

The only defendants named in the complaint (which can be found here) are the company’s former CEO and former CFO. According to the press release, the Complaint alleges that the defendants "concealed" the bank’s "improper lending to borrowers with little ability to repay the amount loaned and failed to inform investors of the impact of changes in the real estate market in San Bernardino and Riverside Counties."

 

Specifically, and according to the press release, the Complaint alleges that the defendants concealed that:

 

(a) PFF’s assets contained hundreds of millions of dollars worth of impaired and risky securities, many of which were backed by real estate that was rapidly dropping in value; (b) prior to and during the Class Period, PFF had been extremely aggressive in generating loans, including being heavily involved in offering Home Equity Lines of Credit ("HELOCs"), which would be enormously problematic if the value of residential real estate did not continue to increase; (c) defendants failed to properly account for PFF’s real estate loans, failing to reflect impairment in the loans; (d) PFF’s business prospects were much worse than represented due to problems in the Inland Empire market, which was a key focus of PFF’s business; and (e) PFF had not adequately reserved for loan losses on HELOCs and on other real estate-related assets.

 

In prior posts, I have speculated (most recently here) that the growing number of failed banks could lead to a wave of failed bank litigation. I also recently projected (here) the likelihood that credit crisis related litigation wave will continue in 2009. One case is obviously no basis from which to generalize, but it does at least indicate that the forces on which I based my speculations are at least at work.

 

The likely operation of these factors, as well as the Madoff litigation and the general turbulent conditions in the financial marketplace, are among the reasons that that 2009 could be a very active year for securities litigation.

 

The year has barely begun and the horizon is still wide open, but from my perspective we seemed to have picked up right where we left off.

 

In any event, I have added the PFF Bancorp case to my running tally of the subprime and credit crisis-related lawsuits, which can be accessed here. With the addition of the first-filed case of 2009 to the list, the number of subprime and credit crisis-related lawsuit filed during the period 2007 through 2009 now stands at 142.

 

On January 6, 2008, Cornerstone Research and the Stanford Law School Securities Class Action Clearinghouse released their report on the 2008 securities class action lawsuit filings entitled "2008: A Year in Review." The Report can be found here and the accompanying press release can be found here.

 

According to the Cornerstone Report, through December 15, 2008, there were 210 securities class action lawsuits filed in 2008, which represents an 18% increase over 2007 and an 80% increase over 2006. The Report also found that the 2008 filing levels represented a 9% increase over the average annual filing level of 192 for the 11 years ending in December 2007.

 

As discussed below, the Report’s analysis of the 2008 filing levels is consistent with my own previously released analysis, which can be found here.

 

Cornerstone’s release of its annual securities litigation report is a much-anticipated event, and this year’s Report does not disappoint. It contains a veritable treasure trove of detailed observations, including a multitude of complex comments about the magnitude of financial losses involved in securities cases over time. The Report also has a host of other detailed comments about the specifics of the 2008 filings.

 

The Report merits a thorough and comprehensive reading. I briefly summarize the Report’s findings below and follow with my own comments.

 

The Cornerstone Report’s Findings

The Report observes that the period of heightened filing activity began in the second half of 2007. The 317 filings during the last 18 months represent a 71 percent increase over the 185 filings during the preceding 18-month period.

 

The Report finds that the 2008 filing activity was "dominated by a wave of litigation against firms in the financial sector" and that "litigation against firms closest to the on-going subprime/liquidity."

 

The 2008 Report introduces a truly nifty innovation called the Securities Litigation Heat Map, which graphically shows how concentrated the 2008 securities filing activity was in the financial sector. Among other things, the Map shows that nearly a third of all large financial firms were named defendants in a securities class action in 2008.

 

The Heat Map also shows how over the years different sectors have been variously targeted in securities lawsuits.

 

The Heat Maps confirm what practitioners in this area have long known, which is the litigation activity is strongly driven by sectors slides and contagion effects, as a result of which over time industry alone has proven to be a very poor predictor of likely future securities litigation activity. Simply put, the plaintiffs lawyers simply move on to then next hot trend.

 

The Report also includes the annual analysis of what it calls Disclosure Dollar Losses (that is, market capitalization losses at the end of each class period). The Report finds that these losses for 2008 class actions totaled $227 billion, which is 48 percent more than 2007 and 75 percent more than the annual average for the 11 years ending in 2007, and also represents the highest level since 2000.

 

In its review of the status of database cases, the Report finds that of resolved cases, 41 percent were dismissed and 59 were settled. The majority of cases were resolved after the first ruling on the motion to dismiss but before the rulings on summary judgments. For class actions filed between 1996 and 2002 and resolved by the end of 2008, the median time to resolution was 33 months, the median time to settlement was 37 months, and the median time to dismissal was 25 months. The Report also concludes that class action with higher shareholder losses take longer to resolve.

 

The Report also notes that the percentage of cases involving Section 11 claims increased to its highest level in 2008. The Report also noted that with respect to alleged violations of GAAP, there has been a shift from allegations related to income line statements to allegations related to balance sheet components. The Report also notes that seven of the 192 companies named in class actions in 2008 subsequently filed for bankruptcy, compared to two out of 172 in 2007 (although five of the 2007 companies filed for bankruptcy in 2008).

 

The Number of 2008 Filings

The Report’s tally of 210 new securities filings through December 15, 2008 is essentially consistent with my own report’s conclusion (refer here) that there were 224 new securities lawsuits through December 31, 2008, as there were 13 new securities lawsuits filed after December 15 and before December 31. The 13 additional lawsuits I included in my tally but that were omitted from the Cornerstone Report account for virtually all of the difference between the two analyses.

 

The arrival of 13 new securities lawsuits in the last two weeks of the year is unusual, as December is usually a slower month for new filings. The late December influx was largely but not exclusively due to the flood of Madoff- related litigation.

 

Cornerstone’s Report’s cutoff at December 15 is significant in other respects as well. For example, the Report states that lawsuit filings dipped in the second half of the year, and even relies on the supposed second half decline as one of the grounds on which it suggests that financial sector securities lawsuit filings may diminish in 2009. The Report also devotes a great deal of effort to trying to reconcile this supposed second half decline with observations regarding stock market volatility.

 

However, when all of the lawsuits filed through year end are included, it turns out that filings actually increased in the second half of the year. Not only that, but as I pointed out in my report on the 2008 filings, the securities lawsuit filing levels in the fourth quarter 2008 and in December 2008 represent, respectively, the highest quarterly and monthly totals in over five years.

 

Projected 2009 Filing Trends

The Report contains no predictions regarding likely overall 2009 filing levels, but the accompanying press release quotes Stanford Law Professor Joseph Grundfest to the effect that securities litigation against the financial sector may decline in 2009 because "virtually all the major financial services firms have already been sued," as a result of which "the pool of major financial services defendants might be getting fished out." In support of this conclusion, the Report among other things cites the fact that of the 15 largest financial services companies by market capitalization at the beginning of 2007, 12 of them have already been sued.

 

Professor Grundfest does not actually predict that overall securities lawsuit filings will decline in 2009; however, in the press release, he is quoted as saying that, because all of the major financial institutions have already been sued, "the supply of new defendants might be drying up." He also suggests that "litigation activity against the financial sector may decline next year," and in the Report adds that "it is unclear as to whether the wave of litigation will extend significantly beyond the larges financial firms in the near future."

 

My own view is that 2009 could well be a very active year for securities litigation. This view is based in part on the surge of litigation in the latter part of 2008, which shows every sign of continuing. The fact that there were thirty new securities class action lawsuits in December 2008, including ten new credit crisis-related lawsuits, strongly suggests that plaintiffs’ lawyers are finding no shortage of targets.

 

In addition, the credit crisis litigation wave long ago ceased to be just about the large financial institutions, if indeed it ever was just about that. As time has gone by, the wave has continued to spread and evolve. One attribute of this evolution is that as 2008 progressed, the credit crisis litigation has extended far beyond the financial services sector, as I noted most recently here.

 

In other words, the plaintiffs’ lawyers may or may not find new targets in the financial sector. (Although I strongly suspect that as a result of the Madoff scandal the plaintiffs’ lawyers will find innumerable new financial sector targets, but that is a separate issue.) The likeliest scenario, borne out by filing patterns that are already emerging, is that the plaintiffs will simply move on to other sectors, as they have numerous times in the past.

 

I note parenthetically that the probable movement of the litigation to a new sector is graphically foreshadowed by the Cornerstone Report’s Securities Litigation Heat Maps, which vividly show how quickly plaintiffs’ lawyers have moved from sector to sector in the past.

 

All of which I believe suggests that the heightened filing levels show every likelihood of continuing into 2009. Indeed, given the strong likelihood of additional Madoff victim litigation, as well as the likely continued spread of the credit crisis litigation wave outside the financial sector, the likeliest possibility is that 2009 will be a very active year for securities litigation.

 

The WSJ.com Law Blog has a January 5, 2009 post (here) discussing the 2008 securities lawsuit filings and quoting both from the Cornerstone Report and from my analysis of the 2008 filings.