Among the many consequences of an increasingly global economy is that investor interest in pursuing claims for securities wrongdoing has become a more nearly universal phenomenon. While collective-style lawsuits largely had been restricted to claims in U.S. courts under U.S. law, a growing list of countries are adopting at least some elements of U.S.-style securities lawsuits. Several recent articles, discussed below, have examined these developments.

First, in a May 19, 2008 article entitled “Global Realm of Securities Class Actions” (here), John J. Clarke Jr. and Keara M. Gordon of the DLA Piper law firm suggest that as U.S. courts “more carefully define the limits” of subject matter jurisdiction for securities lawsuits brought by foreign investors, “a growing list of nations in Europe and elsewhere are adopting procedures akin to American-style class actions.”

The authors find that the recent case law trend suggests “some reluctance by U.S. federal courts to assert jurisdiction over claims of securities fraud” brought by or on behalf of foreign investors who bought their shares in foreign-domiciled companies on foreign exchanges (so-called “f-cubed” litigants, about whom I have previously written here and here). At the same time, the authors note, “a number of nations have adopted procedural mechanisms similar to U.S. class actions in several respects.” The authors specifically examine developments in Australia, Canada, England and Wales, Germany and The Netherlands.

Second, an April 25, 2008 article by Sandeep Savla of Dewey & LeBoeuf entitled “Securities Class Actions in London” (here) suggests that “companies listed on a London exchange must prepare for a wave of securities lawsuits that will increasingly be instituted in England.” Savla cites three reasons why he predicts increasing numbers of English securities lawsuits:

1. A recent English judicial decision in which the court held that a third-party could buy a litigation claim, continue to pursue and fund the litigation and retain any damages awarded. Savla suggest that this decision will incent hedge funds and others to buy and sell securities claims and then litigate the cases for a profit.

2. Apart from acquiring an entire claim, third-parties can now, as a result of other English case law developments, fund litigation in exchange for an opportunity to share in litigation proceeds. Savla believes that private equity firms, hedge funds and other financial firms will be interested in funding litigation in exchange for a large cut of the damages, and that the availability of this funding will remove some of the litigation disincentives of the English “loser pays” attorneys’ fee principles.

3. New statutory liability of misstatements and enhanced rights to bring derivative claims under the Companies Act of 2006 will, Savla asserts, “spur class actions and derivative suits.”

Third, the recent subprime and credit-related crisis may provide an important impetus to these developments. A May 21, 2008 post (here) on the Pom Talk blog (which is published by the plaintiffs’ firm of Pomerantz Hudek Block Grossman & Gross) notes that “several large European banks have been hit with considerable losses stemming from their exposure to U.S. debt,” and these banks “will likely face intense regulatory scrutiny and a wave of litigation.” Many of these suits may wind up in courts outside the U.S. – “if a U.S. court bars foreign investors from suing here, their only recourse would be to sue the banks on their home turf.”

Notwithstanding the traditional reluctance of many countries’ courts to support this type of litigation, “the severity of the subprime impact and resultant losses could prompt otherwise hesitant investors to take action.”

Clearly, a key component of the developments outside the U.S. is the question whether or not the U.S. courts will or will not exercise subject matter jurisdiction over these claims involving foreign investors. A scholarly overview of the U.S. jurisdictional issues can be found in an article in the Winter 2008 issue of the New York International Law Review entitled “Ebb and Flow: The Changing Jurisdictional Tide of Global Litigation” (here).

The article, written by Perry Granof of Chubb and Richard Hans, Samaa Haridi and Jennifer Kozar of Thacher, Profitt and Wood, examines the extend to which “defendants are increasingly seeking to avoid securities class action litigation in the United States – employing both jurisdictional and forum non conveniens arguments.” At the same time, the authors note, “several courts have expressed concern that too restrictive an approach may render U.S. courts ineffective in addressing fraud in an increasingly global securities market.”

Auction Rate Securities Lawsuit Notes: In a recent post (here), I raised questions about the flood of auction rate securities class action lawsuits that have been coming in since mid-March. (My current tally of companies named as defendants in auction rate securities lawsuits, which may be accessed here, now stands at 17.) A May 27, 2008 Bloomberg article entitled “Auction Failure Damages Face Burden of Proof Eluding Lawyers” (here) raises the possibility that the lawyers filing these lawsuits “may be unable to prove their clients lost money or collect fees themselves.”

Among other things, the Bloomberg article quotes a former SEC attorney as saying, with respect to the penalty interest rates that many of the auction rate securities are now paying, “I don’t see how you can get around the fact that, for the most part, the investors are now doing better.” To be sure, investors’ biggest grievance is not the interest rate but the fact that they can’t sell the instruments right now, about which the article quote Columbia Law School Professor John Coffee as saying “I don’t know that you can easily measure liquidity.”

A separate issue pertaining to auction rate securities is how the instruments are to be valued for balance sheet purposes in the absence of a viable marketplace to trade the securities. As I recently noted (here), this problem afflicts a number of publicly traded companies, included quite a few companies entirely outside the financial sector.

A May 27, 2008 Wall Street Journal article entitled “Auction-Rate Securities Give Firms Grief” (here) reports that “hundreds of U.S. companies still are struggling to clean up the problems caused by the auction-rate securities.” The article reports that over 400 companies hold instruments originally valued at over $30 billion, and that “while some companies have written down the value of their auction-rate holdings, many others haven’t, even though market prices have fallen substantially.”  

Hat tip to the WSJ.com Law Blog (here) for the link to the Bloomberg article.

Updating the Options Backdating Lawsuit Count: As a result of a recent post (here) about options backdating settlements, I have had extensive communications with several individuals at NERA Economic Consulting about the total number of options backdating-related securities class action lawsuits. Based on the information NERA provided, I am revising my count of options backdating-related securities class action lawsuits from 36 to 38, by adding to the list Cyberonics (amended complaint here) and The Children’s Place Retail Stores (complaint here).

The revised list of all options backdating related lawsuits can be found here.

Special thanks to Svetlana Starykh and her colleagues at NERA for their friendly and helpful communication on this topic.

 Speak Not, Memory: A May 21, 2008 article in the Cleveland Plain Dealer entitled “Beachwood Man Reports Rate Ability Not to Forget” (here) describes a Beachwood, Ohio resident with a very rare and perhaps enviable talent. (Coincidentally, Beachwood is also the location of The D&O Diary’s intergalactic headquarters.) The article reports that:

Give Rick Baron a date, any date on the calendar, and neurons start firing. He leans his head back and flips through a mental calendar. Then, in an instant, the recollections spurt out.

It’s not just that Baron remembers. He says he can’t forget.

Dates and details sear into his mind with amazing clarity, so much so that he’s being studied by researchers at the University of California-Irvine. He’s one of only three people identified so far with such phenomenal autobiographical memory.

Seemingly trivial details from his life — such as sitting for his sixth-grade picture (Oct. 10, 1968) or going on a date to Euclid’s Lakeshore Cinema to catch the forgettable movie "Problem Child" (Sept. 5, 1990) — easily flow from memory to mouth.

He delights in recalling historical events with near-encyclopedic precision. He says he remembers anything he reads, hears or sees. "Try me," he says. "Ask me anything."

When was Johnny Carson’s last show? ("An easy one — May 22, 1992.") When did militants seize the U.S. Embassy in Iran? ("You playing with me? Nov. 4, 1979.") When did former Cleveland Indian Duane Kuiper hit his only career home run? ("Aug. 29, 1977, off Steve Stone.")

"I don’t dwell on the past," said Baron, 50. "It’s just there."

Always.

At first impression, Mr. Baron, with his vast and perfect memory, seems like a truly enviable person. The frustrations of an unreliable memory are a fact of life for many of us, and are a reality that only becomes more insistent with age. The inconvenience of an occasional memory lapse usually sparks regret that we cannot remember more. Imagine how convenient it would be if we could now recall our college calculus as well as we knew it then, or we could recite procedural rules as precisely as we learned them for the bar exam.

The simple truth is that, for most of us at least, our brains are not wired to remember everything, and life would be immeasurably more difficult if we did.

In his short story, “Funes the Memorius,” Jorge Luis Borges explores these fundamental attributes of memory. In Borges’ story, Funes loses consciousness after falling from a horse. After recovering, he couldn’t forget anything he had seen or heard.

He remembered the shape of the clouds in the south at dawn on the 30th of April of 1882, and he could compare them in his recollection with the marbled grain in the design of a leather-bound book which he had seen only once…He could remember all his dreams, all his fancies. Two or three times he has reconstructed an entire day. He told me: I have more memories in myself alone than all men have had since the world was a world.

But this fabulous talent was not in the end an advantage for Funes; it was paralyzing:

I suspect that he was not very capable of thought. To think is to forget a difference, to generalize, to abstract. In the overly replete world of Funes, there were nothing but details, continuous details.

Indeed, the Plain Dealer article about Mr. Baron suggests some of the problems that a perfect memory might involve. The article reports that:

One of the others with the ability – a California woman named Jill Price, who recently released a book titled "The Woman Who Can’t Forget" – described it as paralyzing. She likened her memories to home movies playing nonstop in her head.

Baron bristles at Price’s portrayal of what he calls a gift. However, he acknowledged feeling like "an oddball" given his unusual talent.

He also described his days as "empty."

Our memories must be selective in order for us to be able to function. Our brains must sort and sift, to clear away until only what remains is that which matters. Imagine a marriage where your spouse remembered with clarity your every frailty and shortcoming. Or how hard it would be if you couldn’t put setbacks and defeats behind you, but had to remember them, eternally and perfectly. We forget our college calculus, and even the name of that girl across the classroom whose eye caught yours for that sweet and blessed instant so long ago, because we have to move on.

The process of forgetting is a kind of refinement, a distillation of the essence, that permits us to see our lives not as a crazy quilt of sights and sounds, but as a progression that has a more general meaning and purpose. If we saw all at once, we could not see the center.

And the most important thing about memory, the thing we must never forget, is …um…

In the past week, plaintiffs’ lawyers filed a raft of new subprime and credit crisis related securities lawsuits. The cases involve a wide variety of claimants and defendants, and a diverse array of legal theories. But while the lawsuits themselves are diverse, they do all evidence a common theme, which is that the subprime and credit-crisis related litigation wave continues to surge on.

American International Group: The most prominent lawsuit filed in the past week is the securities class action lawsuit filed in the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York against American International Group, its CEO Martin Sullivan, its CFO Steven Bensinger, and two other officials. A press release describing the lawsuit, which was filed by the Bernstein Litowitz Berger & Grossmann firm on behalf of the Jacksonville Police and Fire Pension Fund, can be found here. A copy of the complaint can be found here.

According to the press release, “Defendants repeatedly reassured investors that AIG had successfully insulated itself from the recent turmoil in the housing and credit markets due to its superior risk management. In particular, defendants touted the security of [American International Group Financial Products] ‘super senior’ credit default swap portfolio, making numerous statements that this portfolio was secure and that AIG’s method for accounting for this portfolio accurately reflected its value.” The press release goes on to state that:

Investors began to learn the truth regarding AIG’s financial condition and the Company’s exposure to the mortgage market when, on February 11, 2008, the Company disclosed that its outside auditor had determined that there was “material weakness in its internal control” over the financial reporting and oversight relating specifically to its accounting for the CDS portfolio, and that the Company was revising the loss valuations it previously reported. Under the new valuations, losses on the CDS portfolio more than quadrupled – from the $1.4 billion reported on the CDS portfolio just weeks before to over $4.5 billion. Two weeks later, on February 28, 2008, AIG disclosed that the market valuations on the CDS portfolio would increase to $11.5 billion and revealed for the first time that the Company had notional exposure of $6.5 billion in liquidity puts written on collateralized debt obligations (“CDOs”) linked to the sub-prime mortgage market.

Finally, on May 8, 2008, the Company disclosed that market valuation losses on the CDS portfolio for the quarter climbed an additional $9.1 billion, for a cumulative loss of $20.6 billion, and that the Company was expecting actual losses on the portfolio to be about $2.4 billion. As a result of these disclosures, the price of AIG stock plunged from a Class Period high of $75.24 per share on June 5, 2008, to $38.37 per share on May 12, 2008, wiping out tens of billions of dollars in shareholder value and causing damage to the class.

A May 22, 2008 New York Times article describing the AIG lawsuit can be found here. A May 23, 2008 Law.com article about the suit can be found here.

Falcon Strategies/Citigroup: Another prominent lawsuit filed during the last week involved a hedge fund affiliated with Citigroup, which is also a defendant in the lawsuit. The lawsuit is filed on behalf of all persons “who have tendered or been asked to tender their shares” in Falcon Strategies Two LLC. According to the plaintiffs’ lawyers’ press release (here), Falcon was established as a “multi-strategy fixed income alternative seeking to provide investors with absolute returns, current income and portfolio diversification.” However, the complaint (which can be found here) alleges that Falcon was “not conservative” but “employed bond arbitrage, carried commercial debt obligations, and held asset-backed mortgage investments” that declined in value when the markets failed.

The complaint is somewhat unusual in that, which it alleges affirmative violations of the federal securities laws, it does not expressly seek damages, but rather seeks a preliminary injunction to enjoin the tender offer until the defendants correct the “allegedly false and misleading” tender memorandum.

A separate lawsuit against a Falcon Strategies fund seeking damages and filed on behalf of Fifth Third Bank is detailed in a May 20, 2008 Wall Street Journal article (here). The Falcon Strategies fund had previously been the target of a separate securities class action lawsuit, but that lawsuit was voluntarily dismissed (refer here concerning this prior dismissed lawsuit).

The Falcon Strategies lawsuit is the second subprime or credit crisis-related securities class action lawsuit brought against a Citigroup-affiliated hedge fund. In early May 2008, investors brought a securities lawsuit against MAT Five LLC, Citigroup and other defendants alleging misrepresentations in MAT Five’s placement memorandum (Refer here for further background regarding the MAT Five lawsuit.)

Bank of America: In addition to these two lawsuits, investors also brought a securities class action lawsuit against Bank of America and related entities on behalf of all persons who purchased auction rate securities from the defendants during the period May 22, 2003 and February 23, 2008. A copy of the plaintiffs’ lawyers’ press release can be found here and a copy of the complaint can be found here.

I have written extensively about the auction rate securities lawsuits in prior posts, most recently here.

National City/Harbor Bank: Finally, in the fourth of last week’s flotilla of new subprime lawsuits, on May 20, 2008, the defendants removed to the United States District Court for the Northern District of Ohio a lawsuit that had been filed in the Court of Common Pleas of Cuyahoga County Ohio on behalf of all persons who acquired shares of National City Corporation in connection with National City’s December 1, 2006 acquisition of Harbor Bank. A copy of the complaint and removal petition can be found here.

The plaintiffs allege that the Registration Statement issued in connection with the merger contained material misrepresentations and omissions concerning National City’s lending practices, financial results and liquidity. In particular, the complaint alleges among other things that the Registration Statement failed to disclose that National City was “dangerously overexposed” to “risky and impaired CDOs” and that the company had “failed to properly account for its highly leveraged loans and mortgage securities.”

National City previously has been sued in a securities class action lawsuit (as I discussed in a prior post, here) filed on behalf of its shareholders. But this new lawsuit is filed on behalf of a distinct set of claimants and is based on a different set of alleged misrepresentations, and therefore in my view it represents a separate new lawsuit. As discussed below, I have accounted for it separately in my running tally of subprime-related securities lawsuits.

The lawsuits against National City on behalf of the former Harbor Bank shareholders alleges violations of Section 11 of the ’33 Act, but was filed initially in state court under the ’33 Act’s concurrent jurisdiction provisions. I have previously noted (refer here) the plaintiffs’ lawyers’ recent interest in attempting to pursue ’33 Act claims in state court. While defendants routinely remove these cases to federal court, the plaintiffs’ lawyers’ have has some success in having the cases remanded to state court (refer here). While one can only speculate on the plaintiffs’ interest in pursuing these cases in state court, it is nonetheless a very interesting development that possible represents a new trend in securities litigation prosecution.

One other interesting thing about the National City/Harbor Bank lawsuit is that in addition to National City itself and its current and former directors and officers, the complaint names as a defendant, National City’s auditors, Ernst & Young. There have been some lawsuits where the target company’s outside auditors have been named as defendants (for example, refer here regarding the amended complaint in the Countrywide subprime litigation where the companies’ auditors have been named). The bankruptcy examiner in the New Century case also suggested that there may be claims against the company’s auditors (refer here for a discussion of this report). However, so far, the auditors have been an infrequent target, likely because of the Stoneridge decision. The cases involving outside auditors have tended to be bases where an offering of securities is involved, and the auditors potentially have their own primary liability in connection with the offering.

Special thanks to Adam Savett of the Securities Litigation Watch blog (here) for a copy of the National City/Harbor Bank complaint.

Run the Numbers: With the addition of last week’s four new subprime and credit-related securities lawsuits, the current tally (refer here) of the subprime related securities lawsuits now stands at 85, of which 45 have been filed in 2008. With the addition of the new Bank of America lawsuit, the total number of auction rate securities lawsuits now stands at 17.

While the numerical specifics are important, the more important point is that the subprime and credit crisis-related litigation wave continues to churn on, the passage of time apparently doing nothing to diminish its intensity.

Speakers’ Corner: On Thursday May 29, 2008, I will be in New York speaking on a panel at IQPC’s 4th Securities Litigation Conference (brochure here). The panel on which I am participating is entitled “Discussing Recent Trends in Director & Officer Liability (D&O) Liability,” and includes as co-panelists Ray DeCarlo of AIG and Adam Savett of RiskMetrics.

Company managers are increasingly sophisticated about D&O liability insurance. Largely as a result of the corporate scandals from earlier in this decade, what used to be a peripheral and disfavored topic is now a top agenda item in many C-suites and boardrooms. But even as company officials have developed a deeper appreciation for the importance of D&O insurance, many misunderstandings about D&O underwriting persist. One thing that is frequently misunderstood is what D&O underwriters are looking for.

This post is intended to provide an overview of the key components of public company D&O underwriting. Of course, the underwriting concerns for different specific companies could vary substantially. In addition, there are many D&O insurers, and underwriting practices vary significantly between (and, regrettably, even within) insurers. That said, there are certain common elements that will likely be part of the D&O underwriting for any company. These elements are listed below. A great deal more might be said about each of these items, but in the interest of brevity, I have provided a summary description only.

1. The Company’s Basic Characteristics: First and foremost, the underwriter must understand the company’s basic profile. Specifically, the underwriter will want to know the company’s size (by market capitalization) and industry. These factors may seem basic and obvious, but they will nonetheless have a significant impact on an underwriter’s willingness to accept a risk, as well as on the price, terms and conditions likely to be offered.

2. The Company’s Financial Picture: A basic component of D&O underwriting is developing an understanding of the company’s financial circumstances, particularly its key income statement components (revenue, expenses and expense ratios, etc.) and balance sheet items (especially cash and other liquid assets, debt, and reserves/accruals). Although there are many important financial issues, the key question is whether or not the company has sufficient cash or available credit to fund its operations and service its debt during the proposed policy period.

3. The Company’s Accounting Practices: A very specific component for underwriters in developing an understanding of the company’s financial picture is developing an understanding of the company’s accounting policies and practices. The most important issue here is usually revenue recognition, but depending on the kind of company at issue, other critical issues may be the company’s practices regarding reserves and accruals, and these days, asset valuation.

4. The Company’s Corporate History and Structure (Including M&A): Because share offerings, financing activities and M&A activity are the kinds of events that often generate claims, the underwriter will want a complete understanding of the company’s involvement in all of these kinds of activities.

5. Continuity Risk (Things That Have Already Happened): An underwriter will want to establish whether the company has already experienced events or circumstances that could lead to subsequent claims. The list of potential problems could be infinite, but the kinds of things that will particularly attract the underwriter’s concern are things like significant stock price drops, earnings disappointments, regulatory setbacks, product recalls, adverse litigation developments, officer resignations, and so on.

6. Going Forward Risk/Vulnerabilities: A key risk attribute for any company is whether or not the company is susceptible to a single event or change that could substantially alter the company’s fortunes. These kinds of vulnerabilities include such things as: dependence on a single customer, contract, product or supplier; a looming regulatory milestone for a company with a single product in development; or a company-dependent debt obligation with a single-trigger acceleration clause or covenant.

7. Stock Price Volatility: A company that has a share price that dramatically registers even small events is capable of producing large shareholder-style damages. For that reason, companies with volatile stock prices represent a disfavored risk class for many underwriters. 

Some underwriters go so far at to make stock price volatility the most important component in their risk selection and stock price algorithms. I have always felt this analysis represents both an oversimplification and a confusion of correlation and causation. Simply put, while many companies involved in securities class action lawsuits have volatile stock prices, not all companies with volatile stock prices are involved in securities lawsuits. In my view it is the presence or absence of the above identified factors are more indicative of risk than volatility alone.  

8. Company Management and Executive Compensation: The background and experience of the company’s senior management and board members is important information. Underwriters will be particularly interested in any changes in the lineup, and in particular will want to understand the reasons for any changes.

A significant issue related is executive compensation. Some industry observers go so far as to assert that outsized executive compensation is the single most reliable risk marker, as it usually invites a host of dangerous (and sometimes destructive) behaviors. Certainly, many of the most egregious corporate scandals in the last several years have involved excessive executive compensation. Accordingly, underwriters will consider executive compensation information as an important component of the risk analysis.

9. Insider Trading: The most dangerous component of a serious securities class action lawsuit is the presence of significant insider trading at suspicious time and in suspicious amounts. A skilled underwriter will plot the timing of insider trades on the company’s stock graphs to understand who is trading and when. The corollary of this point is that the underwriter will also be interested in the company’s insider trading policy, and in particular will look to see that the company has well-established trading windows and rational trading blackouts, as well as an effective compliance officer.

10. Disclosure practices: The nature, content and tone of the company’s public disclosures are important risk indicators. Underwriters are concerned about companies that devote a lot of energy to generating hype. They are also focused on companies that are very publicly setting and straining to meet very specific short-term earnings estimates. Again, the corollary is that companies with conservative disclosure practices, particularly those that avoid specific, short-term earnings guidance, are viewed more favorably.

11. Corporate Governance: A detailed review of a company’s corporate governance practices is an important part of public company underwriting. However, most underwriters understand that standard corporate governance practices alone are no guarantors that a company will not be involved in a claim. But by the same token, underwriters understand that companies that are actively implementing best practices are the kinds of companies that are interested in trying to play by the rules and perhaps less likely to have problems elsewhere – and better able to defend themselves if a claim does arise.

There is obviously a lot more that might be said about each of these items. In addition, there are a host of other factors that could be relevant to any specific company or to companies in certain industries.

A common misconception is that the D&O underwriting process is like picking a stock. (Frustratingly, some underwriters labor under the misimpression, too.) Many company officials think that their role in the underwriting process is to tout the company and its prospects, as if they were on a road show speaking to prospective investors and analysts. Because most underwriters are by nature suspicious of hype, an underwriting meeting characterized by a high level of salesmanship can be counterproductive.

Underwriters generally do not care whether or not a company’s stock is a good investment, as such. Companies that are mediocre investments are often (although not always) attractive D&O risks, and companies that are Wall Street darlings are sometimes rotten D&O risks. Underwriters are trying to figure out if a company is susceptible to a claim during the policy period, which is often a very different question than whether or not the company’s stock is doing or will do well.

Another common misunderstanding is the expectation that if the company does or does not do certain things, the company ought to get a discount of a certain type or amount. In the soft insurance market that has persisted in recent years, risk specific discounts are hard to isolate, since many companies are enjoying favorable pricing. But more to the point, because underwriting is an uncertain science, the most important factors in determining the price, terms and conditions to be offered are the company’s outward characteristics, which are categorical attributes.

Which is not to say that better managed companies will realize no benefit. But rather than a discount, the benefit is often in the form in the absence of a debit. Or, to put it another way, companies presenting certain specific negative risk factors will be debited, even in the current underwriting environment.

All of that said, there unquestionably are things companies can do to advance their interests during the underwriting process. Working with a skilled insurance professional, a company can identify and address likely underwriting concerns, in an effort to inoculate the company against adverse underwriting perceptions. Moreover, it will be useful for every company to adopt a systematic, timely and business-like approach to the underwriting process, as these practices will expedite the process, remove potential impediments, and encourage efficiencies that benefit all process participants.

The foregoing is merely a summary; there is a great deal more that could be said about all of the above. There are good resources available to supplement the above. One very good resource is the curriculum materials created by the Professional Liability Underwriting Society (PLUS) entitled “Public/Financial D&O Insurance” and available on the PLUS website (here).

Because this is one of those topics on which a great deal more might be said, I would like to encourage readers and observers to post their comments to this blog. I always welcome audience participation but I am particularly interested in readers’ comments on this topic.

In my preceding post, I quoted recent reassuring words from Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson about the current credit crunch. Billionaires Warren Buffett and George Soros apparently have a less sanguine view, and there is in any event substantial recent evidence to support the view that, whether or not the worst is over, the effects will be felt for some time to come.

According to news reports (here), Warren Buffett told reporters in Europe yesterday that “I don’t necessarily think we’re halfway through or necessarily a quarter of the way through the effects throughout the general economy. The initial effects are felt by people who really did the silliest things, but you can have a whole bunch of domino-type effects that eventually can get to people who are doing fairly sound things.” Buffett added that “I think there will be rippling secondary, tertiary effects.”

Soros, while willing to concede (here) that the “acute phase” of the crisis may have passed, also said that “now we have to feel the effects,” which he said might “almost inevitably” include recessions in the U.S. and U.K.

An even more pessimistic voice is that of Meredith Whitney, the analyst for Oppenheimer who correctly predicted disaster for Citigroup and others last fall. She recently said (here) that "the credit crisis is far from over" and "what lies ahead will be worse that what is behind us." Dang.

There are already a wide variety of effects that are rippling through the economy and affecting a diverse array of companies, even outside the financial sector. For example, on May 19, 2008 Bloomberg reported (here) that “more than 300 companies are struggling to value auction rate bonds” that they are carrying on their balance sheets. These companies’ auction rate securities investments were valued at $98 billion as recently as January 1, 2008.

“About half” of these companies have “reported losses totaling $1.8 billion as the markets for securities, sold as higher-yielding alternatives to money markets, seized up.” Among the companies the Bloomberg article names as having taken auction-rate securities-related write-downs are UPS, Google, HCA and Teva Pharmaceuticals. But while half of the companies holding these assets may have recognized the valuations issues, the other half have not, and even the companies that have taken some recognition have the issue of whether or not they got it right.

The wide dispersion of these and other credit crunch-related exposures throughout the economy puts pressure on many companies to recognize the risk; companies that delay or avoid recognition may be laying in problems down the road. As one commentator said in another Bloomberg article (here), “the smart people are the ones who’ve identified the problems, put them out there in full transparency, and addressed them by raising more capital. There is still billions of dollars of crap out there that hasn’t worked its way through the system.”

The May 19, 2008 Bloomberg article in which this latter statement appeared is entitled “Banks Keep $35 billion Markdowns Off Income Statements” (here). The article describes multiple financial institutions that are “failing to acknowledge their in their income statements at least $35 billion of additional write-downs included in their balance sheets.” A commentator in the article notes that “keeping the markdowns off income statements just delays the realization of losses.” Indeed, the article suggests that ignored bad debt and postponing the inevitable losses is one of the reasons behind Japan’s decades long economic slump.

Behind every postponed day of reckoning is an optimistic hope that the reckoning might not just be delayed but perhaps avoided altogether. And perhaps things will come right. But the kinetic potential for the kinds of secondary and tertiary ripple effects Buffett projected inheres within every one of these postponements, laying the potential for further disruption when the day of reckoning arrives.

The consequences of these secondary and tertiary effects inevitably will include litigation, as is perhaps illustrated by the lawsuit, described in today’s Wall Street Journal (here), in which Fifth Third Bank has sued an insurer and a brokerage firm that arranged an investment for the bank in the Citigroup Falcon Strategies hedge fund. (A copy of the complaint can be found here.)

Fifth Third’s investment involved a complex life insurance investment, in which the aggregate premiums were invested in a diversity of assets. The complaint alleges that the defendants failed to monitor and manage Fifth Third’s $612 million investment, particularly when changing conditions (triggered by the credit crunch) should have triggered a reallocation of assets. This lawsuit demonstrates the range of potential litigation issues and the breadth of potential litigation targets that may become involved in future litigation. 

In a post on this blog last December (here), I discussed “the truth telling yet to come” in connection with the subprime meltdown. In many ways, the phrase is even more apt now. The dynamic possibilities of the truth telling yet to come include the litigation yet to come, as well. And as Buffett said, we are not necessarily even a quarter of the way through this yet.

A June 1, 2008 article in Corporate Counsel entitled “Wipeout!” (here) describes the credit crisis-related litigation to date and the litigation yet to come. Among other things, the article quotes one commentator as saying that “we haven’t seen most of the litigation yet.”

Top Ten Securities and Corporate Law Review Articles: The Securities Litigation Watch blog (here) has reproduced (with hyperlinks) the list of the Top Ten Corporate and Securities Law Review articles of the year. I was very pleased to see that my good friends Tom Baker and Sean Griffith’s article "The Missing Monitor in Corporate Governance: The Directors’ & Officers’ Liabiltiy Insurer" (here) made the list. I discussed Professor Baker and Griffith’s article at length in an earlier post, here.

A Big Fee Anwhere (But Especially in Tajikistan): A May 20, 2008 Financial Times article about lawyers’ fees entitled “Time to Stop the Lawyers’ Clock from Ticking” (here), noted that observers had

expressed concern about the £50m in fees that Herbert Smith, another top firm, expects to bill on behalf of Tajikistan in a dispute over alleged corruption at a state-owned aluminum smelter.

The projected costs, revealed at a High Court hearing in April, would represent 2.7 per cent of the central Asian nation’s gross domestic product, where the average monthly wage stands at a paltry $63.

According to news reports (here), Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson has added his voice to the growing chorus declaring that the worst of the credit crisis may be past. Paulson reportedly said that “we are seeing signs of progress as capital and credit markets stabilize.” We can all hope for the sake of the financial markets, and indeed, the entire U.S. economy, that Paulson is correct.

But while the top level indications may be encouraging, it would be premature at this point to conclude that the subprime and credit crunch related litigation wave is spent. If the lawsuit filings just in the last week are any indication, the litigation wave will continue to roll on for the foreseeable future.

For example, on May 16, 2008, plaintiffs’ lawyers filed a securities class action lawsuit in the United States District Court for the Central District of California against Downey Financial Group and certain of its directors and officers. The plaintiffs’ counsel’s May 16 press release can be found here and a copy of the complaint can be found here.

According to the press release, on March 17, 2008, Downey (a savings and loan holding company) reported (here) an “increase in non-performing assets to almost 11% of total assets, up from 1.2% in May 2007.” According to the complaint, the “true facts, which were known to the defendants but concealed from the investing public” were that:

(a) defendants’ portfolio of Option ARMs contained millions of dollars worth of impaired and risky securities, many of which were backed by subprime mortgage loans; (b) prior to the Class Period, Downey had seen Countrywide’s growth and had started to get more aggressive in acquiring loans from brokers such that the loans were extremely risky; (c) defendants failed to properly account for highly leveraged loans such as mortgage securities; (d) Downey had very little real underwriting, which led to large numbers of bad loans that would cause huge numbers of defaults; and (e) Downey had not adequately reserved for Option ARM loans, the terms of which provided that during the initial term of the loan borrowers could pay only as much as they desired with any underpayment being added to the loan balance.

I have written previously (here) about the litigation threat that Option ARMs could present. Downey is far from the only financial institution that is vulnerable to defaults and delinquencies as Option ARMs readjust. Moreover, all lending institutions remain vulnerable to increasing defaults as rising unemployment, and rising energy and food costs (among other things), continue to undermine borrowers’ ability to remain current on their mortgages and other debt. Other lenders undoubtedly will be reporting increases in non-performing assets in the weeks and months ahead – which is one reason why the subprime and credit crisis litigation wave may have long way to go before it loses momentum.

In addition, on May 12, 2008, plaintiffs initiated a shareholder class action lawsuit in the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Michigan against private mortgage insurer MGIC Investment Corp. and its CEO and its CFO. Refer here for a copy of the complaint. MGIC’s woes relate back to its failed 2007 attempt to merger with Radian Group, as well as the deterioration of the joint venture, Credit Based Asset Servicing and Securitization LLC (“C-Bass”), in which MGIC had entered with Radian. The July 2007 collapse of the C-Bass venture and the August 2007 termination of the pending merger of the two companies previously led to the filing of a securities class action lawsuit against Radian Group (about which refer here).

The MGIC complaint alleges that even after the demise of the C-Bass venture and after the termination of the Radian merger, MGIC continued to struggle, and on February 13, 2008, the company announced (here) a loss for the fourth quarter of 2007 of $1.47 billion, part of a full year 2007 loss of $1.67 billion.

MGIC’s financial challenges, which continued well after the company’s mid-2007 crises, underscores that fact that many companies are continuing to grind through tough financial circumstances. MGIC’s continuing challenges suggest that even if, as Secretary Paulson observes, the worse of the credit crisis may have passed, the fallout will continue to filter through the system for many months to come. And as companies continue to wrestle with these circumstances, additional litigation, like that filed against MGIC, will continue to emerge.

Special thanks to Adam Savett of the Securities Litigation Watch blog (here) for a copy of the MGIC complaint.

Run the Numbers: With the addition of these two new lawsuits, my running tally (here) of subprime and credit crisis related securities class action lawsuits now stands at 81, of which 41 have been filed during 2008.

An FCPA Follow-on Litigation Variant: In prior posts (most recently here), I have written about the growing liability threat arising from civil litigation following after Foreign Corrupt Practices Act enforcement activity. In a May 2008 article entitled “Suing Bribing Competitors: The Next Tool in the International Anti-Corruption Arsenal?” (here), James Maton and Joshua Gardner of the Edwards Angell Palmer & Dodge law firm describe yet another litigation threat arising out of corrupt practices enforcement proceedings.

The authors’ describe increasing litigation activity involving claims by companies that lose bids to bribing competitors. The disappointed bidders bring private lawsuits against the companies that are awarded the contracts. The losing bidders seek to recover lost profits, as well as costs wasted in bidding. Plaintiffs have asserted these kinds of claims under federal and state antitrust laws, RICO, and state common law theories such as intentional interference with contract and unjust enrichment.

The authors conclude that notwithstanding the litigation hurdles involved, “these types of private lawsuits are bound to increase in the United States, England and elsewhere.” All of which supports a view I have expressed numerous times on this blog – namely, the as anticorruption enforcement activity increases, the threat of related private civil litigation also increases, and that this litigation threat represents an important emerging liability risk for companies and their directors and officers.

Blog Bites Man: This past week, The D&O Diary passed its second anniversary, as two years have now passed since the blog’s May 10, 2006 launch. During its second year, the blog passed several important milestones, including most significantly its move from Blogger to LexBlog. And after almost 400 blog posts, The D&O Diary now has nearly 1,500 e-mail and RSS subscribers.

I would like to thank The D&O Diary’s readers for their continued support. I remain a highly motivated blogger because of the regular encouragement I receive from the blog’s readers.

I would also like to thank everyone who has sent me links, suggestions and comments over the last two years. I get most of my best material from readers’ suggestions, and I hope everyone out there will continue to send me the good stuff that I might not otherwise find. Please keep your suggestions coming. Thanks to all for their support for The D&O Diary.

In a very interesting May 15, 2008 paper entitled “Do Options Backdating Cases Settle for Less?” (here), NERA Economic Consulting takes a look at the options backdating-related securities class action lawsuits settlements to date, and concludes that “in the cases that have settled to date, the amounts paid to plaintiffs have been substantially lower than in comparable non-backdating class actions.” NERA’s analysis is that the options backdating class action lawsuits are settling for half the amounts forecast by NERA’s own prediction model.

Having made this rather provocative observation, NERA then concedes that only a fraction of the options backdating-related securities class action lawsuits filed have yet settled. Clearly one factor that may be involved is that the weakest cases may have settled first, a consideration that the NERA study expressly acknowledges.

Nevertheless, in attempting to understand the variation between the settlements to date compared to the expected range of settlements based on NERA’s model, the NERA report does consider the possibility that “shareholder suits with backdating allegations are perceived as weaker on the merits than other class actions.” The report also considers the possibility that future options backdating settlements, which might include more serious cases, could be more in line with other securities class action settlements.

I have several observations about the NERA analysis, the first of which is that is important for all of us to keep a running tally of outcomes, to make sure we all know and keep track of what is happening. The fact that this study comes from NERA suggests that it will (appropriately) carry weight and credibility.

That said, it should also be noted that the NERA study is based on a small sample, only six settlements out of 37 options backdating related securities class action lawsuits. (The total number of lawsuits according to my tally, here, is only 36, but I am willing to go with their number for these purposes, which is close enough anyway.)

Not only is the sample small, but it seems to have been amputated at a couple of critical points. That is, for reasons that are not explained in the report, the NERA dataset does not include either the Mercury Interactive settlement ($117.5 mm) or the Vitesse Seminconduct settlement ($10.2 mm). If I know NERA, there are probably some very good reasons why they excluded these settlements, but the report does not explain or even refer to the omission of these settlements. Given the size of the Mercury Interactive settlement in particular, the omission of these settlements could have had a significant impact on the analysis, so their omission could be significant.

UPDATE: Dr. Branko Jovanovic, one of the author’s of the NERA report, was kind enough to call me and politely point out that the report actually refers, in footnote 3, to the fact that the report’s authors chose to exclude the Mercury Interactive and Vitesse Semiconductor settlements from the analysis because some but not all defendants had settled. (That’s what I get for trying to write blog posts in a hotel room in Toronto without the ability to print out and read documents in hard copy form. Reading the report on a laptop screen, I just missed the footnote). Dr. Jovanovic points out that if the two settlements had been included, it would have increased the difference between expected and actual settlements.

The other thing about NERA’s analysis is that as a result of the small dataset, extreme individual results could be skewing the average. In particular, according to the report, the Rambus options backdating related securities class action lawsuit of $18 million, was only 8.3% of predicted. For me, an outlier result like that suggests that it is not representative, and in fact some case specific factor may explain the outcome. In any event, an extreme result like that clearly pulls down the average. While the exclusion of the Rambus result would still not eliminate the variation from the predicted range, it would reduce the difference.

I also think it is significant in considering whether the options backdating cases are or are not deviating from expectations that dismissals should be taken into account as well as settlements. According to my running tally of option backdating related settlements, dismissals and denials (which may be accessed here), six of the 37 (or is it 36?) options backdating related securities class action lawsuits have been dismissed. (Some of these dismissals are without prejudice). I am not 100% sure which way this cuts, but I think the number of dismissals is a relevant consideration to any analysis of whether or not outcomes are within predicted ranges. The dismissals may also provide some explanation, or at least context, for the variation between settlements to date and predicted ranges.

All of that said, I reiterate my appreciation to NERA for their effort to keep track of what has happened so far. The value of NERA’s analysis is in its provision of a status update, which is a sevice that we can all hope that NERA will continue as the cases develop.

For the sake of completeness, I urge all readers interested in these topics to review the analysis of options backdating securities class action settlements on the Securities Litigation Watch blog (here), which among other things notes that these cases are settling more quickly on average than other cases, which clearly might be a factor in explaining settlement outcomes. The SLW’s analysis not only takes into account the settlements that NERA’s report omits, but it also considers the dismissals as well.

One final observation is that NERA’s analysis relates solely to options backdating securities class action settlements, and does not refer to or include options backdating derivative lawsuit settlements.  For further information regarding options backdating derivative lawsuit settlements, please refer to the table I am maintainting, here.

CFO.com has an article discussing the NERA report here.

In the most in-depth review yet of a subprime-related lawsuit complaint, Judge Mariana Pfaelzer of the Federal District Court in Los Angeles, in an order dated May 14, 2008 (here), denied the defendants’ motions to dismiss the amended complaint in the consolidated derivative lawsuit filed against Countrywide Financial, as nominal defendant, and against eleven individual current and former officers and directors.

The derivative complaint (a copy of which can be found here) accuses the defendants of misconduct and of disregard of their fiduciary duties, and alleged lack of good faith and lack of oversight of Countrywide’s lending practices, financial reporting and internal controls. The amended complaint also contains insider trading allegations, based on the individual defendants’ sale of over $848 million of their holdings in Countrywide stock while in the possession of material inside information, between 2004 and 2008.

The defendants moved to dismiss the plaintiffs’ derivative claims on the ground that the plaintiffs had not make pre-suit demand or adequately pled that demand was excused.

Judge Pfaelzer began her analysis with some harsh words for the plaintiffs’ complaint, which she described as “prolix and sprawling.” Notwithstanding these concerns, she proceeded to the merits in a ruling that largely went the plaintiffs’ way.

She opened her analysis with the observation that standards to determine whether demand is excused “overlap considerably” with the standard for establishing a claim under Section 10(b) of the ’34 Act. She said that the two issues are “inextricably intertwined,” and proceed to determine that in several material respects the plaintiffs’ allegations satisfy the pleading requirements under the standards of the recent Tellabs case.

Judge Pfaelzer found that the plaintiffs’ allegations create a “cogent and compelling inference that the individual Defendants misled the public with regard to the rigor of Countrywide’s loan origination process, the quality of its loans, and the Company’s financial situation – even as they realized that Countrywide had virtually abandoned its own loan underwriting processes.”

In support of these allegations, the plaintiffs relied on confidential witnesses, whom the court said “paint a compelling picture of a dramatic loosening of underwriting standards in Countrywide branch offices across the United States.” The court said that “plaintiffs’ numerous confidential witnesses support a strong inference of a Company-wide culture that at every level emphasized increased loan origination volume in derogation of underwriting standards.”

The court found further that the plaintiffs’ allegations support the contention that many of the individual defendants were aware of the deterioration of standards. After reviewing the “red flags” that should have alerted the individual members of various board committees, the court found that the plaintiffs’ allegations raise “a cogent and compelling inference that the Audit & Ethics committee members were aware of (or proceeded with deliberate recklessness with respect to) the significance of red flags related to increasing delinquencies, negative amortizations, and other signs of loan nonperformance.”

Similarly, the court also found that the allegations “give rise to a compelling inference” that Credit Committee members were made aware of signs of deterioration. The court also found that members of the Finance Committee “either knew or proceeded with deliberate recklessness with respect to, the fact that loans to borrowers who could not pay back their mortgages would ultimately be counterproductive, lucrative as it was in the short run.”

The court also found that plaintiffs had asserted facts to support a strong inference that members of the Operations & Public Policy Committee had acted with scienter. However the court found that “without more, the court does not fund membership on the Compensation Committee probative of scienter.”

In concluding that the allegations taken as a whole support an inference of scienter, the court stated that

independent of any turmoil in the capital markets, the widespread violations of underwriting standards would significantly raise risk of loan defaults. When combined with what the Plaintiffs allege are misrepresentations concerning the quality of Countrwide’s loans, the underwriting issues would ultimately undermine confidence in the secondary market for Countrywide products.

In further support of the scienter findings, the court referred to the company’s aggressive stock repurchase program, undertaken and continued at a time when the company’s share price escalated and while insiders were dumping their own shares. While the defendants offered competing innocent explanations for the insider sales, the court found that the plaintiffs’ “repurchase-related insider trading allegations … are at least consistent with their theory of fraud” and “provide some support” against the motion to dismiss. The repurchase program could be viewed as “an attempt to keep the ball rolling” by steadying the company’s share price “before the weight of the loan origination practices began taking their toll on the company’s operations and the value of its stock.”

The plaintiffs also relied on Countrywide CEO Angelo Mozillo’s alleged manipulation of his Rule 10b5-1 trading plan, about which the court said that “Mozillo’s actions appear to defeat the very purpose of Rule 10b5-1 plans.” The court rejected the innocent explanations offered for the changes to Mozillo’s plan, saying that the factors “do not mitigate against the inference of scienter given the magnitude and timing of Mozillo’s trading,” which amounted to hundreds of millions of dollars in stock trading proceeds.

After this detailed review of the scienter requirements and allegations, the court quickly worked through the other pleading requirments and proceeded to the ultimate question whether the plaintiffs’ allegations satisfied the demand futility standards. In considering this issue, the court again reviewed the allegations that the various board committee members were aware of the deteriorating loan practices yet failed to take corrective actions.

Since the same individuals who would have had to have considered the litigation demand were involved in these alleged circumstances, the court found that “a majority of the directors are ‘interested’” and therefore demand is excused (except as pertains to a category of claims relating to Mozillo’s compensation). The court also dismissed out two individual defendants based on the specific allegations relating to their individual involvement. The court directed the plaintiffs to file an amended complaint consistent with the order within 20 days.

At one level, Judge Pfaelzer’s order is a reflection of the specific allegations in the Countrywide complaint, particularly as pertains to the allegations of deteriorating underwriting and loan origination practices, and as pertains to the Mozillo’s insider trading. The outcome was also influenced by the allegations based on the factual observations of numerous confidential witnesses. To that extent, Judge Pfaelzer’s order may simply be a reflection of the alleged circumstances of the specific case and have relatively little potential significance for other pending subprime-related cases.

However, there may yet be a sense in which this order is relevant for other cases, and that is the court’s clear discomfort for the allegedly deteriorating practices in contrast to the company’s statements and the insiders’ stock sales. Other pending cases contain allegations pertaining to the excesses of the subprime lending marketplace, and other cases also contain allegations of insiders profiting while underwriting and loan origination practices deteriorated.

While there is at least this potential relevance of the Countrywide case for other subprime-related litigation, the larger significance is simply its primacy. Because it is one of the first cases with a detailed review of the allegations, the courts’ apparent receptivity to the plaintiffs’ allegations may be significant. Other defendants in other cases may be able to establish the insufficiency of the plaintiffs’ allegations, but the Countrywide decision could be interpreted to suggest that the defendants will have to overcome courts’ receptivity to similar allegations.

Judge Pfaelzer’s analysis of the allegations concerning Mozillo’s Rule 10b5-1 plan are also interesting, because they underscore the extent to which courts will be wary of apparent attempts to use plans to shield improper trading. When the dust settles on this case, there likely will be a fruitful opportunity to consider the lessons from these circumstances for proper and improper uses and structures of Rule 10b5-1 plans.

The WSJ.com Law Blog has a interesting post here discussing the background and context of Judge Pfaelzer’s opinion.

Special thanks to a loyal reader who prefers anonymity for providing a copy of the order.

One of the legacies from the era of the corporate scandals is the lasting image of certain corporate leaders as “imperial CEOs” (refer here) – that is, as greedy, power hungry overlords who exploited their companies to their own enrichment and to the shareholders’ detriment. Excessive CEO pay remains a widely perceived marker for poor corporate governance and even for securities litigation risk. But recent scholarly analysis of senior corporate executive compensation suggests that outsized CEO pay may not only indicated weak governance, but may also be associated with company underperformance.

In a paper most recently revised in May 2008 entitled “CEO Centrality” (here), Lucian Bebchuk of Harvard, Martijn Creamers of Yale and Urs Peyer of INSEAD “examine the relationship between CEO centrality – the relative performance of the CEO within the top executive team in terms of ability, contribution and power – and the value, performance and behavior of public firms.”

In order to measure so-called CEO centrality, the authors used as a measure “the CEOs pay slice” (CPS) – that is, the “percentage of the aggregate compensation awareded to the firm’s top five executives captured by the CEO.” The authors hypothesized that higher CPS “will tend to reflect a greater relative performance of the CEO within the top executive team.”

In order to compute each CEO’s pay slice, the authors used data from Compustat’s ExecuComp databse from 1993-2004. The authors attempted to control for some factors that could influence the CPS, including the CEO’s tenure, the CEO’s status as a large owner or founder, and the size of the company’s aggregate top-five compensation relative to peers.

The authors concluded that CEO centrality has a “rich set of relations with firms’ behavior and performance.” Specifically, the authors concluded that CEO centrality is correlated with

(i) lower (industry-adjusted) accounting profitability, (ii) lower stock returns accompanying acquisitions announced by the firm and higher likelihood of a negative stock return accompanying such announcements, (iii) higher odds of the CEO’s receiving a “lucky” option grant at the lowest price of the month, (iv) greater tendency to reward the CEO for luck due to positive industry-wide shocks, (v) lower performance sensitivity of CEO turnover, and (vi) lower firm-specific variability of stock returns over time.

The apparent correlation of outsized CEO compensation and “firms’ behavior and performance” tends to corroborate the view expressed, for example, by the Corporate Library (here), that “CEO compensation practices that are poorly aligned with shareholder interests remain a powerful indicator of potential securities litigation.”

While the authors’ conclusions seem intuitively correct to me, I do wonder whether certain aspects of the analysis are a refection of the time spread of the data used. The database is heavily weighted to the 90s and to the era before the corporate scandals and before the recent increased focus on corporate governance and on executive compensation. It might be interesting for the authors to perform the same analysis but to use only data from the five years after the enactment of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. Perhaps the conclusions would be the same, but I do wonder whether or not the correlations would be as strong for the more recent years.

CEO compensation practices obviously are critical, but CFO compensation practices may also be significant, as I discussed on a recent post (here).

Countrwide Derivative Lawsuit to Proceed: According to a May 15, 2008 New York Times article (here), Judge Mariana Pfaelzer of the Federal District Court in Los Angeles has denied the defendants’ motion to dismiss the shareholders’ derivative lawsuit that has been filed against Countrywide Financial, as nominal defendant, and certain of its directors and officers. (A description of the lawsuit can be found here.)

The opinion is not yet posted on PACER so I have not had a chance to review it yet, but from the description in the times it sounds like it could be worth reading. Among other things, Judge Pfaelzer said, with respect to Angelo Mozillo’s frequently revised 10b5-1 plan, "Mozillo’s actions appear to defeat the very purpose of the 10b5-1 plans."  I will try to add a link to the opinion here when I can get my hands on a copy. (I would be grateful if any reader with access to the opinion could forward me a copy.)

UPDATE: A copy of the court’s May 14, 2008 order in the Countrywide Derivative case can be found here.

The subprime litigation wave has been rolling along for well over a  year, so it might be expected that by now we have seen many of the likely litigation variations. I suspect there are hosts of new variations yet to come, but the most recent subprime-related lawsuits are substantially similar to prior lawsuits. Yet each one, briefly noted below, also involves some interesting additional variations on previously established subprime litigation themes.

Royal Bank of Canada Auction Rate Securities Lawsuit: On May 12, 2008, plaintiffs’ counsel announced (here) an auction rate securities-related class action lawsuit against Royal Bank of Canada and its subsidiaries, RBC Dain Rauscher and RBC Capital Markets Corporation. A copy of the complaint can be found here.

While there have been numerous prior auction rate securities lawsuits (about which refer here) and while the allegations in the RBC lawsuit appear substantially similar to the prior auction rate securities lawsuits, this lawsuit does present a couple of additional interesting elements.

The first is the lawsuit’s timing. The preceding auction rate securities lawsuits came in a rush between March 17, 2008 and April 21, 2008. There had been no new auction rate lawsuits since April 21, and the lengthening interval might have been interpreted to suggest that the filing onslaught had played itself out. The RBC lawsuit suggests that we may not yet have seen the last of the auction rate securities lawsuit filings.

The other interesting thing about the RBC lawsuit is that RBC itself is, obviously, a Canadian company. At a PLUS Chapter event in Montreal last week, there was a great deal of discussion about whether Canadian companies will feel the litigation effects of the subprime meltdown. The lawsuit against RBC suggests that at least Canadian companies with U.S. operating units exposed to subprime-related issues may find themselves swept up in the U.S.-based subprime litigation wave.

Indeed, RBC is not even the first Canadian company to be named in an auction rate securities lawsuit, as Oppenheimer, another Canadian company, was hit with an auction rate securities lawsuit in April 2008 (about which refer here). Even if Canadian companies are not being sued in Canadian courts on subprime-related issues, they are finding themselves involved in U.S.-based litigation.

Huntington Bancshares/Sky Financial/Waterfield Mortgage:  Huntington Bancshares, a Columbus, Ohio-based bank holding company, has previously been sued in a subprime-related securities class action lawsuit (about which refer here). The plaintiffs alleged in the prior lawsuit that, due to Huntington’s July 2007 acquisition of Sky Financial, Huntington had a much greater exposure to subprime mortgages than it had disclosed, allegedly harming a class of person who acquired Huntington shares between the time of the merger and the end of the class period in November 2007.

On May 7, 2008, Huntington was sued in a separate lawsuit in the United States District Court for the Southern District of Ohio (complaint here). In this most recent lawsuit, Huntington is sued as successor in interest to Sky Financial. The lawsuit is filed on behalf of the former shareholders of Waterfield Mortgage Company, whose shares Sky Financial had acquired in an October 2006 stock for stock-and-cash merger transaction.

The May 7 complaint, which also names as defendants Sky Financial’s former CEO and former CFO, alleges that the Sky Financial and the individual defendants violated Sections 11 and 12 of the ’33 Act through alleged false and misleading statements in the registration and proxy documents issued in connection with the Waterfield acquisition. The complaint alleges that Sky Financial had an undisclosed lending relationship that resulted in a significant residential mortgage exposure for Sky Financial.

This most recent Huntington lawsuit involves a different set of plaintiffs asserting claims based on a different set of representations yet involving a defendant bank that has already been drawn into the subprime litigation wave. There will likely be other lawsuits like this one ahead, as litigation emerges to fill in the interstices of the circumstances surrounding the subprime meltdown. So far, the most noteworthy attribute of the subprime litigation wave has been its breadth. Perhaps in the months ahead, as the wave spreads to fill in other gaps, the most pronounced aspect of the litigation wave will be its depth.  

Special thanks to Adam Savett of the Securities Litigation Watch blog (here) for a copy of the Huntington/Sky/Waterfield complaint.

Run the Numbers: With the addition of these two new subprime-related securities class action lawsuits, the current tally (refer here) of subprime and credit-related lawsuits stands at 79, of which 39 have been filed in 2008. With the addition of the RBC auction rate securities lawsuit, there have now been 16 auction rate securities lawsuits, all of which have been filed in 2008.

Subprime Litigation Down Under: According to a May 12, 2008 Wall Street Journal article (here), Centro Retail Ltd. and its management company, and Centro Properties Company Ltd. and its management company, collectively  an Australian shopping center group, have been named as defendants in two class action lawsuits filed in Australian federal court based on alleged misleading statements in Centro’s disclosure documents between August 9, 2007 and February 15, 2008.

As discussed in the May 13, 2008 issue of The Australian (here), the recently filed lawsuits, brought by the Maurice Blackburn firm, are actually the second set of lawsuits announced against Centro. As discussed here, lawsuits had previously been announced against Centro and its property trust by the Slater & Gordon law firm. Both sets of lawsuits relate to Centro’s alleged misrepresentations regarding its leverage and its vulnerability to adverse credit developments, as a result of which the company experienced a severe share price decline.

While the spread of subprime-related shareholder class action litigation to Australia is interesting in and of itself, one specific aspect of these two sets of lawsuits is particularly interesting to me. That is, both sets of lawsuits are proceeding in reliance on third-party litigation funding.

According to Slater & Gordon’s April 22, 2008 press release (here), its lawsuits are being funded by “U.S based litigation funder Commonwealth Legal Funding LLC.” According to the press release, litigation funders “take a percentage of the net amount recovered, after expenses and after legal fees, for advancing all expenses and accepting the risk of any adverse award.” (The law firm itself recovers a court-approved hourly rate.)

The Maurice Blackburn firm’s separate set of actions is being funded by Australian-based IMF (Australia) Ltd. IMF is actually a publicly traded company whose shares trade on the Australian stock exchange. IMF’s May 9, 2008 press releases announced the filing of the lawsuits against Centro can be found here and here.

It isn’t clear how the existence of these two competing ventures will be reconciled. One might argue that the free market should be allowed to decide; along those lines, the Slater & Gordon press release touts the “significant” advantage its funder affords, in that “it takes a lower amount of the net amount recovered, from 15 to 30 percent, compared to the top rate of 40 per cent for the other proposal.”

One of the time-honored traditions in international financial circles is to rail against the excesses of the U.S. litigation system. But for all of our litigation extremes, litigation funding is one innovation that has not caught on in this country. It obviously has, by contrast, caught fire in Australia, and according to a March 20, 2008 Legal Week article (here), it also apparently has spread to the U.K.

As to whether litigation funding might catch on in the U.S., the WSJ.com Law Blog has an interesting post discussing the issue here. The Re: The Auditors Blog also has an interesting post on the topic here.

Australia has been setting the pace on innovation lately, as, among other things, the Slater & Gordon firm itself recently became the world’s first publicly traded law firm (refer here).

Opt-Out Options for the Little Guy: In a recent post (here), I discussed Columbia Law School Professor John Coffee’s recent paper in which he speculated that that we might be moving to a two-tier securities litigation system in which institutional investors with large financial interests at stake might increasingly seek to opt out from class litigation. The class itself, Coffee speculated, might increasingly be populated only by smaller investors whose financial stakes were too slight to justify opting out or to attract the interest of plaintiffs’ attorneys.

But an aspiring plaintiffs’ attorney’s recent publicity bid suggests that there may be enthusiasm for encouraging the little guys to opt-out too. In a May 12, 2008 press release suggestively entitled “Study Finds Many Bear Stearns Employees Should Opt-Out of Class Actions” (here), Brett Sherman of the Sherman Law Firm seeks to point out to Bear Stearns employees that investors who opted out of prior cases have had a higher percentage recovery of their investment losses.

The press release cites a variety of sources regarding opt-out litigation (including, in a twist that feels odd to me, my own InSights article about opt outs). None of the studies specifically find, as the press release title suggests, that Bear Stearns employees should opt out. Rather, Sherman himself asserts that “the only reasonable conclusion is that Bear Stearns employees with substantial losses have a dramatically better chance to recover a higher percentage of losses in individual opt out cases rather than as participants in class actions.”

Perhaps if, as Coffee speculates, institutional investors will increasingly opt out of class actions, and if, as Sherman advocates, the little guys decide to opt out too, no one will be left in the class. The issue here is clearly potential class members’ perception that opt-outs recover a greater percentage of their investment loss. To the extent that perception is widely shared, class counsel may face significant pressure to show a greater percentage recover of investment loss. Otherwise, the class action itself could become an empty vessel.

Of course it remains to be seen whether either large or small potential class members actually do opt out in material numbers. But assume for the sake of argument that they do. All those who have reviled the class action litigation procedure for so many years might want to contemplate the procedural morass that would attend a multitude of individual opt-out actions. Class litigation does offer certain efficiencies whose loss we might one day mourn.

The growing importance of global anticorruption enforcement efforts was underscored this past week by the revelation of a cross-border investigation involving the French industrial giant Alstom and by developments in the continuing investigation involving Siemens. Moreover, the Siemens developments highlight the increasing significance of liabilities arising from anticorruption exposures for the D&O insurance industry.

First, in a May 6, 2008 article entitled “French Firm Scrutinized in Global Bribe Probe” (here), the Wall Street Journal reported that French and Swiss authorities are investigating whether officials acting on behalf of Alstom paid hundreds of millions of dollars between 1995 and 2003 to win contracts in Brazil, Venezuela, Singapore and Indonesia.

Then on May 9, 2008, German prosecutors announced that they will pursue a civil enforcement action against former Siemens chairman Heinrich von Pierer and several other (unnamed) former Siemens board members. (Refer here for background regarding the Siemens investigation). von Pierer served as Siemens’ chief executive from 1992 to 2005, and as its Chairman until April 2007. Prosecutors apparently have elected for the time at least not to pursue criminal charges against von Pierer.

According to a May 10, 2008 Wall Street Journal article (here), the company itself has also said that “it may seek financial compensation from former managers but didn’t name individuals.”

According to the Journal article about the Alstom investigation, the Alstom and Siemens investigations “suggest that Europe’s prosecutors have begun taking a tougher line on business practices that their U.S. counterparts have long treated as criminal.” It is not merely coincidental that these investigations are now emerging; they are in fact an outgrowth of relatively recent changes in the laws of both Germany and France.

For many years, under the laws of the two countries, corrupt payments were not only legal, but the amount of the payments were tax deductible. But both countries are signatories to the OECD Convention on Combating Bribery of Foreign Officials in International Business Transactions. To implement the Convention, in 1999 Germany passed the German International Bribery Act. According to the Journal, “France outlawed bribery of foreign officials in July 2000.”

Both companies seem to have had difficulties adapting to the new legal prohibitions, as the conduct under investigation both preceded and followed the enactment of the new laws.

One particularly interesting aspect of the Alstom investigation is the way that the circumstances under review came to light. The investigation apparently arose as a result of an audit commissioned by the Swiss Federal Banking Commission of Tempus Privatbank AG, a small private bank. The audit uncovered documents concerning Alstom-related transactions that detailed the flow of about 20 million euros from Alstom to shell companies in Switzerland and Lichtenstein.

These investigations underscore the growing significance of cross-border anticorruption actions and highlight the fact that anticorruption efforts are no longer just a U.S. priority. Moreover, the potential exposures and liabilities are enormous. Siemens itself has already paid a fine of 201 mm euros.

There are also important implications arising from Siemens’ suggestion that it may pursue claims against its former managers. According to a May 5, 2008 Business Insurance article entitled “German Insurers Brace for Siemens Claim” (here), the company has notified its D&O insurers that it intends to file a claim under its D&O policies relating to the company’s antibribery related exposures. The article reports that the company carries D&O limits of 250 million euros. The article does not detail the specifics of the insurance claim or the matters for which the company claims or intends to claim coverage, so there is no way to assess the likelihood of the company’s eventual recovery under the policies.

It is far from certain that the company’s policies would actually cover the claimed amounts. But to the extent the policy’s limit is exhausted by the claims for coverage, it could, at least according to the Business Insurance article, have a substantial impact on the German market for D&O insurance.

The potential insurance implications from the developments in the Siemens investigation demonstrate the growing significance for the D&O insurance industry of the liabilities arising from anticorruption enforcement activity. As investigations like those involving Alstom and Siemens emerge and develop, and as litigation like that involving Alcoa (about which refer here) continues to arise, these issues necessarily will become a significant priority for companies and for D&O insurers. As I have previously suggested (here), anticorruption violations may well represent the “next corporate scandal.”

The May 9, 2008 Financial Times has an interesting editorial about the Alstom investigation and the expansion of anticorruption efforts, here.

Speakers’ Corner: On May 14, 2008, I will be speaking at the American Conference Institute’s D&O Liability Insurance Conference (refer to the agenda, here). I will be participating on a panel with my good friend Dan Bailey in a session entitled “Emerging Exposures Roundup: Fiduciary Litigation, Global Warming and More.”

Then on May 15, 2008, I will be in Toronto to participate in the Professional Liability Underwriting Society (PLUS) Canadian Chapter’s educational event regarding the subprime crisis. Information about the Toronto event can be found here. The other panelists include Dr. Arturo Cifuentes of R.W. Pressprich & Co., Denis Durand of Jarislowski Fraser, and Robert Murray of Chubb.