The D & O Diary : Directors and Officers Liability and Insurance : The D & O Diary : Kevin LaCroix : Securities Laws, Corporate Fraud, D & O Litigation

On January 27, 2010, NERA Economic Consulting released its updated annual review of Canadian securities class litigation entitled "Trends in Canadian Securities Class Actions: 2009 Update" (here). The report presents an interesting study of the evolution of class action litigation in a jurisdiction outside the U.S.

According to the report, there were eight new securities class action lawsuits filed in 2009, which is fewer that the ten filed in 2008 "but still greater than filings in previous years." With the addition of the eight new cases, there are now 23 pending securities class actions, representing more than $14.7 billion in claims. Most of these cases were filed in the last three years although some of the pending cases were filed almost 10 years ago.

Though the number of new filings is noteworthy, the more significant developments may be the class certifications in three cases and the ruling allowing the IMAX securities class action plaintiffs leave to proceed under the new Ontario securities laws. (My prior detailed discussion of the rulings in the IMAX case can be found here.). The NERA report comments that these rulings "may ultimately prove to be an inflection point" for securities class action litigation in Canada.

Though there were significant new filings in 2009, one noteworthy feature of the cases that were filed is the "absence in Canada of class actions filings relating to the credit crisis." This absence may be due in part to the relatively smaller impact of the credit crisis in Canada compared to the U.S. and the negotiated $32 billion restructuring of the Canadian Asset Backed Commercial Paper market, which may have preempted further litigation.

Six cases settled in 2009 for a total of approximately $51 million, for an average of approximately $8.5 million and a median of approximately $9 million (which is roughly comparable to the median settlement of U.S. securities class action lawsuits). 2009 settlements averaged 13.7% of the amount of claimed damages. Cases with cross-border litigation counterparts in the U.S. tended to settle for larger amounts both in terms of absolute dollars and as a percentage of claimed damages.

According to a January 27, 2010 article in the Vancouver Sun (here), the number of filings and the procedural developments (including the rulings in the IMAX case) are "a wake up call for publicly traded companies." Law firms are "advising their clients to revisit their compliance and corporate-governance procedures to protect against similar suits."

One lawyer quoted in the article says that he is also advising his clients to review their corporate insurance, as well. He goes on to state that "We’ve seen over the years there are a lot of problems in terms of clients don’t really have the type of coverage they need."

Yet, as for the question of whether there may be a flood of litigation, one plaintiffs’ attorney quoted in the article sounds a note of caution. The attorney, Dimitri Lascaris, who is one of the lead attorneys in the IMAX case, notes that that the Canadian system still provides for adverse costs, and even the liberalized standard under the new Ontario law are time consuming and expensive. So, he says, "we’re never going to achieve the level of activity in securities class actions that we see in the United States."

In light of these developments and their potential significance regarding insurance coverage, the session planned for the upcoming PLUS D&O Symposium (scheduled next Wednesday and Thursday in New York) on the topic of Canadian Securities Class Action Litigation is quite timely. The panel will be moderated by my friend Dave Williams from Chubb (Canada) and planned speakers include a number of prominent players in the area in Canada, including Dimitri Lascaris. Information about the Symposium can be found here.

The Securities Litigation Watch blog has a post about the NERA study here.

Excess Side A Carrier Contributes to Options Backdating Settlement: On January 25, 2010, a judge in the Western District of Pennsylvania preliminarily approved the settlement of the options backdating lawsuit that had been filed against Black Box, as nominal defendant and certain of its directors and officers. As part of the settlement, the company agreed to pay plaintiffs’ counsel $1.6 million and the company agreed to adopt certain corporate governance measures.

As reflected in the parties’ stipulation of settlement (here), as part of the settlement, the company is to receive a payment of $1.5 million from its Excess Side A carrier as well as another $500,000 from its EPL carrier.

According to a January 25, 2010 article about the settlement in the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review (here), the company also separately settled a claim against the company by its former CEO, who left the company in connection with the options backdating related matters. At the time he left, the CEO claimed, the company took away over $19.6 million in options related compensation. The company settled these claims for its agreement to pay $4 million.

The Black Box settlement marks the second instance of which I am aware in which an Excess Side A carrier contributed toward an options backdating related derivative lawsuit settlement. (The first instance is the Broadcom settlement, about which refer here.) This is yet another instance where Excess Side A insurance is being called on to provide protection outside of the insolvency context. As I have previously noted, the Excess Side A carrier’s contribution to these settlements may be a significant development for the carriers, who have offered the product in a largely low loss environment, at least outside the insolvency context.

The settlement with the CEO is an odd component of this settlement. There aren’t many of these cases where the former CEO who left as a result of backdating related issues walked away with a cash payment.

I have in any event added the Black Box settlement to my table of options backdating related lawsuit settlements and dismissal motion rulings, which can be accessed here.

SEC Will Issue Guidance on Climate Change Disclosure: On January 27, 2010, the SEC voted 3-2 to provide interpretive guidance on existing dislosure requirements to require climate change related disclosure under certain circumstances. The SEC's January 27 release can be found here. The SEC's release states that the interpretive release will be posted on the SEC web site as soon as possible. The news release identifies several examples of situations that might trigger disclosure requirements, including: impact of legislation and regulation; impact of international accords; indirect consequences of regulation or business trends; and physical impacts of climate change.

Suit Against Rating Agencies Dismissed, But Without Reaching First Amendment Issues: According to a January 27, 2010 Am Law Litigation Daily article by Andrew Longstreth (here), Judge Lewis Kaplan has granted the motions of Moody's and S&P to be dismissed from a securities lawsuit filed by certain investors who had invested in certain mortgage-backed securities underrwitten by Lehman Brothers. Judge Kaplan has not yet issued a written opinion but according to the article his opinion was based solely on the fact that the rating agencies didn't have anything to do with the offering documents at issue in the case. HIs ruling reportedly did not reach the rating agencies first amendment defenses (about which refer here.)  

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Securities class action lawsuit filings were "down sharply" according to the annual study of securities class action litigation released jointly today by the Stanford Law School Securities Class Action Clearinghouse and Cornerstone Research. The full report can be found here and the January 5, 2010 press release accompanying the report can be found here.

According to the study, which found that there were a total of 169 securities class action lawsuit filings through December 21, 2009, the 2009 filings were both 24% below the 223 filings in 2008 and 14% below the annual average of 197 filings during the years 1997 through 2008.

The Stanford study reports a lower lawsuit count than previously published studies of the 2009 securities lawsuit filings, including the prior report of NERA Economic Consulting (refer here) as well as my own prior analysis (refer here). I discuss these differences below.

The relative decline in the number of lawsuit filings in 2009 compared to prior years, according to the Stanford report, is attributable in part to the decline in subprime and credit crisis related filings. Among other things, the report notes that there were only 17 subprime and credit crisis related lawsuits in the second half of 2009.

The press release accompanying the report also quotes Dr. John Gould of Cornerstone Research as saying that the observed decline is consistent with the decline in stock market volatility during 2009, noting that after increasing during the preceding two years, volatility declined both in the first and second halves of 2009.

The study also details the large number of filings that were characterized by "a substantial lag between the end of the class period and the filing" date, a phenomenon about which I written extensively in the past (most recently here). The report notes that the percentage of filings with a lag of more than a year has increased steadily from 5% in 2005 to a historical high of 18% in 2009.

According to the study, historically, class action lawsuit with longer filing lags "have been dismissed at a higher rate than class actions with shorter filings lags," at a rate of 55% for the one-year lag filings versus 42% for filings with a lag between one year and six months, and 36% with a lag of less than six months.

The study also notes that the lag filings are largely the work of the Coughlin Stoia law firm, which was "involved in 63% of the filings with lags longer than six months and 58% of filings with lags longer than a year." This activity levels compares to the firms involvement in 39% of all filings and 29 percent of filings with lags shorter than six months.

The press release quotes Stanford Law Professor Joseph Grundfest as saying, with respect to the lag filings, that the belated filings suggest that "plaintiffs are trying to fill the litigation pipeline by bringing older lawsuits that weren’t attractive enough to file while the firms were busy pursuing financial sector claims," adding that "these lawsuits are more likely to be dismissed and can therefore be characterized as lower quality claims" and that the filings may "reflect factors idiosyncratic to one large plaintiff firm’s strategy, and have little to do with larger market forces."

In addition to tracking the overall number of filings, the report also notes the number of lawsuits filed against unique issuers, which declined even more sharply than the overall number of filings. Thus, while the report found that overall filings declined by 24% between 2008 and 2009, the total number of unique issuers involved in securities lawsuits decreased by 32 percent. The difference in the attributable to the number of multiple filings against the same target, as well as the relatively large number of filings against private companies and other non-exchange traded entities.

The report further notes that of all exchange traded companies, 1.8 percent were defendants in federal securities class action lawsuits filed in 2009 compared to 2.6% in 2008 and compared to a 2.4% annual average for the 12 years ending December 2008.

The number of lawsuits against foreign issuers also declined in 2009, according to the study. After peaking at 16.4% of all filings in 2007, the percentage of filings against foreign issuers declined to 12.4% in 2009. The study attributes the relative decline to the falling off of the credit crisis lawsuits, because so many of the suits against foreign companies were related to the subprime and credit crisis.

Finally, the decline in 2009 credit crisis filings was also associated with a decline in market capitalization losses in 2009. The disclosure dollar loss attributable to 2009 class actions was $83 billion, a 62 percent decrease from 2008.

Some Thoughts about the Numbers: As noted above, the Stanford study’s 2009 lawsuit count varies from previously published figures, including my own. NERA reported 235 filings in 2009, and I reported 189 (I discuss the difference between my count and NERA’s in my prior post, here), compared to the 169 reported by Stanford.

I know that part of the explanation lies in the fact that the Stanford report cutoff at December 21, 2009, which meant that the Stanford study missed at least three more lawsuits filed before year end.

The Stanford study also counts multiple filings related to the same allegation against the same companies only once. This provides a partial explanation for the differences between the Stanford study and the NERA study, which separately counts separate actions in separate circuits unless and until the lawsuits are later consolidated.

Another difference between the studies may be the fact that the NERA study reported a projected year end number, as the result of an extrapolation from filings through mid-December. Though the Stanford study ended prior to year end, it did not incorporate any extrapolation for cases filed after the cutoff date and before year end.

All of these factors clearly are relevant but even collectively they don’t seem sufficient to explain the entire difference. Of course, another factor may simply be differences in information, but given that the plaintiffs’ lawyers put out press releases when they file lawsuits, the information differences likely account for only a small part of the differences in lawsuit counts.

All of this underscores a point that I made at length in connection with my own study of the 2009 filings, which is that readers would benefit enormously from knowing more about what protocols the various study publishers use when the are deciding what "counts."

The Stanford analysis is certainly easier to decode in this respect that other reports since the Stanford Clearinghouse publishes its list of lawsuits on its website — for free, which is a tremendous public service for which all of us should be grateful. But merely knowing which cases were put on the list does not tell us why those cases were included, nor does it tell us what other cases might have been omitted and why. (Indeed, the reason I continue to do my own count and analysis every year, even though Stanford publishes its own list for free on the web, is the uncertainty about what the list does and does not include.)

The Stanford report also gets high marks for stating right on its cover what it is included in its "research sample," which is very helpful and very commendable. But even taking this very explicit information into account, it still seems like there must be more going on that would explain the differences between the various reports.

Here are some illustrations of questions that would be helpful to know: Are securities lawsuits filed in state courts included? Are merger objection suits included? Are proxy solicitation misrepresentation cases included? How about lawsuits filed separately on behalf of equity shareholders and bondholders – one lawsuit or two? How about lawsuits that only allege state securities law violations? What kinds of cases are omitted from the count? What other sorting criteria are used?

The more of this type of information that readers are provided, the more helpful the published reports would be for readers. The approach that would be most helpful to readers would be for the reports to identify the way that their counting protocols differ from those used by other studies, in order to help readers understand the differences.

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What a difference a year makes. Just 12 months ago, the subprime and credit crisis litigation wave was in full spate, and the onslaught of Madoff and other Ponzi scheme cases had just begun to surge. And while both of these lawsuit filing trends continued well into 2009, by year’s end both of these phenomena had largely played out. At the same time, however, other litigation trends emerged as the year progressed, and in the end, the number of new securities class action lawsuits filed during 2009, though significantly below the number filed in 2008, was well within historical norms.

First, let’s run the numbers. By my count -- please see the note below about how I "counted" -- there were 189 new securities class action lawsuits in 2009, which is just below but within range of the 1966-2007 annual average of 192, although 15.6% below the 2008 total of 224 new securities lawsuits.

As was the case for the two preceding years, the 2009 lawsuit filings were largely driven by lawsuits against financially-related firms. Of the 189 new securities suits in 2009, 69 were against companies in the 6000 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) code series (Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate). In addition, another 39 of the defendant firms targeted in 2009 securities class action lawsuits lacked SIC Codes. These lawsuit targets without SIC code designations included mutual funds, ETFs, and closed end funds. In general, the defendant entities that lacked SIC codes were all financially related.

If these two groups, the companies in the 6000 SIC code series and the entities that lacked SIC code designations, are added together, the total is 108. So these two groups together represented roughly 57.1% of the new lawsuits filed in 2009.

A significant factor driving this concentration of filings in the financial sector was the number of credit crisis-related lawsuits. By my count, there were 62 new credit crisis-related securities lawsuits filed in 2009, bringing to 205 the total number of credit crisis related securities lawsuits that were filed since the litigation wave commenced in February 2007. (My complete list of the subprime and credit crisis-related securities suits can be found here.)

But though the credit crisis litigation wave carried over into 2009, as the year progressed the number of credit crisis-related filings dropped off. So too did the concentration of filings against financial companies. Thus, while 72.6% of the lawsuits in the first half of 2009 were against financially-related companies, only 41.3% of the filings in the year’s second half involved financial companies.

And even though the lawsuits filed against financially related companies declined in the second half of the year, by and large, the rate of lawsuit filings overall did not decline. Thus, while there were 95 new securities class action lawsuits in the first half of 2009, there were 94 in the second half – virtually the same filing rate in both halves of the year.

Part of the reason that the overall lawsuit filing rate did not decline in the second half of the year even though the credit crisis-related lawsuits trailed off is that a couple of filing trends emerged in the second half of the year that fueled lawsuit filings and took up the slack.

The first of these two trends was the outbreak of a rash of lawsuits against leveraged exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which I discussed in a prior post here. By my count, there were twelve separate securities lawsuits filed against ETFs, all during the second half of 2009. These suits largely have been filed against leveraged ETFs drawn from within a single fund family, and all present more or less the same allegations (essentially that investors were not told that the funds would track their target measures or ratios only for very short periods). Because these lawsuits represent more than 6% of all new 2009 securities lawsuits, they represent a significant part of the year’s securities litigation activity.

The second trend that emerged during the second half of 2009 was the emergence of a significant number of belated lawsuit filings, where the lawsuit filing date came long after the proposed class period cut-off date, a phenomenon I discussed several times in the latter half of the year (most recently here). These belated filings appear to be the result of a lawsuit backlog that developed while the plaintiffs’ lawyers were preoccupied with the credit crisis related lawsuit filings.

By my count, 22 of the 94 securities lawsuits filed during the second half of 2009 were filed more than a year after their proposed class period cut-off date. In some instances, the lawsuit filings came at the very end of the two-year limitations period. For example, the Pitney Bowes securities class action lawsuit was filed one year and 364 days after the proposed class period cutoff date. Indeed, in at least two cases (the Avanir Pharmaceuticals case and the Regions Financial case), the filing came nearly three years after the proposed class period cutoff, raising a rather obvious question about how these cases will withstand statute of limitations objections.

The belated filings continued to arrive right through the end of the year, with several of December’s filings including cases with filing dates more than a year after the proposed class period cutoff date, including the new lawsuits filed against Siemens (about which refer here), NightHawk Radiology Holdings (here), and Terex (refer here).

Almost all of these backlog cases have been filed against companies outside the financial sector, which accounts in part for the shift in filings away from financial companies in the second half of 2009. That is, it appears that while the plaintiffs’ lawyers were rushing to file credit crisis-related lawsuits during the period mid-2007 through mid-2009, they were also building up a backlog of cases against nonfinancial companies, and now they are working off the backlog.

And so, while over half of the new securities lawsuits filed in 2009 involved financial companies, by year’s end, the 2009 securities lawsuits overall involved a broad spectrum of kinds of companies. The 2009 securities lawsuits were filed against firms in 90 different SIC Code categories. Many of these categories had lawsuits against only a single company. Outside the financial sector, the SIC code categories with the highest number of lawsuits were SIC Code category 2834 (Pharmaceutical Preparations), which had five lawsuits, and SIC Code category 2836 (Biological Products), which had four lawsuits.

The 2009 securities lawsuits were filed in 38 different federal district courts, but, due to the number of lawsuits against financial companies, the largest number of lawsuits (78, or about 41% of all 2009 lawsuits) were filed in the S.D.N.Y. The courts with the next highest number of 2009 securities lawsuit filings were N.D. Cal (12) and C.D. Cal. (9). There were five different courts -- D.N.J., E.D.N.Y., N.D. Ill., S.D. Fla., and S.D. Tex. – that had six securities lawsuit filings each. The eight courts with the highest number of 2009 filings together had 128 new lawsuits, or 67.7% of all 2009 securities lawsuit filings.

24 (or 12.7%) of the 2009 securities lawsuit filings involved companies that are domiciled outside the United States. These lawsuits involved companies from 12 different countries. The countries with the highest number of companies suit were the U.K. (with 6), Germany (with 5), and Canada (3).

Some Thoughts about Counting Securities Lawsuits: I know that many readers wonder why the various annual securities litigation studies report such materially different lawsuit filing numbers. The reason the studies’ lawsuit counts vary so widely is not just that the various studies’ authors have different information; another significant factor is that the different studies use different protocols to count lawsuits.

For example, some of the studies count duplicate complaint filings in separate circuits as a single lawsuit (that is, the case counts only once), while other studies count duplicate complaints filed in different circuits as separate lawsuits until they are formally consolidated (that is, the case can be counted multiple times). For my purposes, I count duplicate complaints only once regardless of whether there are duplicates filed in different circuits, which is one reason why my 2009 securities lawsuit count appears lower than, for example, NERA’s 2009 securities litigation study.

There is of course absolutely no reason why separate studies should not use their own preferred counting protocol. But I do believe that the studies’ readers would be enormously benefitted if each study would explicitly state what their study "counted" – that is, what does the study include in its tally of securities lawsuits, and what does it omit?

In the best of all worlds, the studies would also explain how their methodology differs from those used by other published reports. These reports do not after all exist in a vacuum, and by and large the audience for each of the various reports basically consists of the same group of readers. It would be helpful, I think, if the reports were to recognize both the fact that their audience reads the other reports and that these readers want to understand any and all identifiable reasons why the various reported numbers differ.

In my own analysis of the 2009 securities lawsuit filings, I have tried to tally up the separate class action lawsuits seeking to recover damages under the federal securities laws. I don’t count lawsuits that were not filed as class actions; that do not seek to recover damages; or that don’t allege violations of the federal securities laws. Thus, for example, I would not count a lawsuit that alleges common law fraud but that does not allege a securities fraud under the federal statutes. I would not count an indiviudal lawsuit that does not purport to proceed as a class action.

Two particular recurring lawsuit categories that I do not count are merger objection lawsuits, where the lawsuit’s goal is simply to increase a proposed acquisition price; and lawsuits against private entities in which the plaintiffs’ allegation is that the defendants failed to register securities.

Even within my overall counting criteria, it can sometimes be very difficult to determine whether or not a new complaint represents a new lawsuit or is merely a duplicate of a previously filed complaint. For example, in December, when plaintiffs’ lawyers filed a complaint on behalf of Bank of America bondholders relating to the Merrill Lynch acquisition and bonus payments, the question arose whether the complaint counted as a separate lawsuit, or was just a duplicate of the suit filed earlier in the year on behalf a purported class of Bank of America equity securityholders?

In the end, I concluded that because the two complaints involved separate classes of claimants, the bondholder suit represented a separate lawsuit that should be counted separately. This is undeniably a very close question, and reasonable minds might well reach a different conclusion.

Because there are many of these kinds of close questions in the course of trying to keep a count of securities lawsuit filings, it is almost inevitable that different lawsuit counts will vary. But though the variance of lawsuit counts may be inevitable, readers at least want to be able to understand the reasons why the lawsuit counts vary. The publishers of the various annual securities litigation studies would significantly benefit their readers if they were to explicitly and expressly state (and not just in footnotes or endnotes, but in a conspicuous way) what their study purports to be counting, and what protocols were used to determine what was and what wasn’t included in the count.

It would be even more helpful to readers if the reports were to recognize that their readers also read the other reports and to state explicitly and expressly how their methodology may differ from the other annual litigation studies.

I know the various annual litigation study publishers view themselves as in competition with each other, and so it may be difficult for them to acknowledge each other’s existence. They may believe that it as not their job to explain competing analyses. However, each publisher’s silence on these issues means the readers are left on their own trying to figure out why the numbers vary so widely.

The fact is that most of us read all of the reports. I feel quite confident in saying that readers would find it extremely helpful to have better information to understand why the studies’ numbers differ. The reports that recognize and their readers’ needs into account would win their readers’ loyalty, gratitude and appreciation.

Speakers’ Corner: On January 4, 2010, I will be presenting with Jason Cronic of the Wiley Rein law firm on a panel entitled "Directors and Officers Liability Insurance" at the Practicing Law Institute's Current Developments in Insurance Law 2010 conference. Background regarding the conference can be found here.

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On December 15, 2009, NERA Economic Consulting released its annual study of securities class action litigation trends. The study, entitled "Recent Trends in Securities Class Action Litigation: 2009 Year-End Update," and written by my friends Stephanie Plancich and Svetlana Starykh, can be found here. The study concludes that, notwithstanding the decline in credit crisis related filings in the second half of 2009, the projected year-end filing levels will be within historical norms. Average and median securities class action settlements are also consistent with recent trends.

According to the study, credit crisis related filings, which predominated class action filings during 2007 and 2008, "gradually declined" as 2009 progressed. Despite this decline, the total number of securities suit filings has not dropped off, "as other types of cases replaced credit crisis filings."

Based on NERA’s own counting methodology (which, as is explained in footnote 2 of the report, counts separate filings in separate circuits as separate lawsuits until the cases are consolidated), NERA counted 215 securities class action lawsuit filings through November 30, 2009, which projects to 235 filings by year end. Though the projected total of 235 would be below the 2008 level of 253 filings, it is well within the 1997-2004 average of 231 annual filings.

Although the 2009 filing levels look as if they will fall within historical levels, the 2009 filings were swollen by at least a several phenomena that may be short lived. Thus, for example, 36 of the 2009 filings involve Ponzi schemes. Though there may continue to be Ponzi scheme revelations as we head into 2010, it does seem likely that there may be fewer of those stories ahead.

Similarly, the 2009 filings were also increased by 13 new cases related to leveraged ETFs. (My prior post about ETF-related lawsuits can be found here). Though there may be further ETF cases yet to come, this group of cases seems likely to decline, as virtually all of these filings relate to a single family of funds and all relate to a single set of disclosures about the funds’ performance over time.

A third filing pattern that may not continue going forward is the number of cases in which the filing date falls well after the proposed class action cutoff date. (My most recent post about these apparently belated securities suit filings can be found here.) The NERA study shows that during the second half of 2009, the average time between the end of the class period and the date of the first filing lengthened to 279 days (versus a period of 161 days for suits filed during the preceding three years). The NERA study speculates that this may be a reflection of the fact that plaintiffs firms have been "focused on the large credit crisis cases over the last two years," but that they are "now able to focus on bringing other, non-credit-crisis cases with older class periods."

The NERA study reports that cases in 2009 continued to be clustered in the financial sector, with 53% of all filings naming a defendant in the finance sector. Another sector that has continued to see substantial activity is the health technology and services sector.

As far as case resolutions, the NERA study reports that for cases that were filed in 2000, 36% have been dismissed and 61% have settled, but that "even almost a decade after filing, there are still approximately 3% of cases that have yet to reach a final resolution," which underscores the fact that in some instances these cases can take as much as a decade or more to resolve.

Of course, the majority of cases filed in recent years remain pending. For these most recent cases, a higher proportion of resolutions have been dismissals rather than settlements, which the NERA study notes "is unsurprising, as motions to dismiss are usually fled relatively early in the litigation process, often before settlement discussions commence." Ultimately however, the NERA study comments, "we expect that a higher proportion of these recent filings will result in settlements."

With respect to the credit crisis cases, the NERA study notes that over 80% of the cases remain pending, with only 15% of the cases dismissed compared to only 4% (nine cases that have settled.) My running tally of subprime case resolutions can be accessed here. The NERA report comments that this pattern is consistent with observed patterns in which early on more cases are dismissed but that ultimately over time a large proportion of cases settle than are dismissed.

As far as settlements, the NERA study reports that the average securities class action settlement in 2009, if the IPO laddering settlement is removed from the equation, was $42 million, which is substantially above the 2003-2009 average of $29 million, but which is consistent with the overall trend, which is that "there has been a general increase in the average settlement values since 1996."

But though the average settlements continue to increase, median settlements have held relatively steady. In 2009, the median settlement was $9 million, similar to the medians in 2007 ($9.4 million) and 2008 ($8.0 million).

Over the past several years, the ratio of settlement to investor losses has held steady at around 2.5%. The NERA study speculates that because this ratio has held reasonably steady and because investor losses historically have been correlated with settlement values, the fact that investor losses in cases filed during 2007 and 2008 were significantly higher than prior years may be "a signal of potentially higher settlements in the future," as the 2007 and 2008 cases move toward settlement.

As always, the 2009 version of the NERA study provides interesting and thorough analyses. It is worth noting that, because the NERA study "counts" separate filings in separate circuits as separate filings as separate cases, the NERA filing will differ from (and almost certainly be higher than) the figures that other commentators may report in their year end reports.

One thing about the average and median settlement figures that I think all observers should keep in mind is that these figures do not include defense expense, which can be considerable and in many cases can represent a significant percentage of the settlement amounts. In addition, these class settlement figures do not reflect the value of any separate opt-out settlements, nor do they reflect the amounts of other litigation settlements, such as might be incurred in connection with parallel derivative or ERISA class action lawsuits.

My point is that as impressive as the settlement figures reflected in the NERA report are, they represent only a portion of the litigation exposure that the affected companies may have faced, and therefore represent only a partial and incomplete measure, for example, of what insurance limits may be sufficient to protect companies and their directors and officers from their claim exposures.

NERA’s December 15, 2009 press release regarding the 2009 study can be found here.

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On December 7, 2009, NERA released its most recent update on trends in the numbers and values of settlements of SEC enforcement actions. The latest study, which is as of September 30, 2009 and complete through the end of the SEC’s 2009 fiscal year, shows that the number of settlements during the year declined for the second straight year, but the average settlement amount increased, and the median settlement amount held steady. NERA’s December 7 press release regarding the study can be found here.

As the report notes, because the 2009 settlements largely relate actions initiated in earlier periods, they may or may not be indicative of what reasonably may be expected in the SEC’s current heightened enforcement environment.

In addition, the reports observations about the high frequency of individual participation in the settlement of SEC enforcement actions may provide important additional context for Judge Rakoff’s recent high profile rejection of the proposed settlement of the SEC’s enforcement action involving the Merrill Lynch bonuses.

First, with respect to the numbers of settlements, the report shows that there were 626 settlements in fiscal 2009, compared to 673 in fiscal and 717 in fiscal 2007. Among other things, the report notes that fiscal 2009 was a year characterized by staff turnover and transition for the agency’s top leadership, which may be relevant to understanding the relative decline in the numbers of settlements.

Monetary payments were a component of 58.6% of company settlements and 58.9% of individual settlements for FY 2009. The average monetary SEC settlement during fiscal 2009 was $10.7 million, compared to only $4.7 million in fiscal 2008, but the increased 2009 average is largely a reflection of several very large settlements during fiscal 2009, including, for example, the $350 million Siemens paid in settlement of the FCPA enforcement action the agency filed against the company. Removing the settlements in excess of $100 million reduces the FY 2009 average to $4.4 million.

By contrast to the average, the median SEC enforcement settlement was about $1.0 million, about equal to the prior fiscal year’s median.

Among largest source of SEC enforcement actions are cases involving alleged misstatements. In an interesting analysis of the relationship between individual and corporate settlements in misstatement cases, the report notes that between the enactment of SOX and the end of FY 2009, the SEC had reached settlements in 353 cases involving alleged misstatements by corporate companies. Of these 353 settlements, 62 involved only the company, 99 cases involve only individual directors or employees, but the remaining 192 cases involved both the company and individuals.

In other words, individuals participate to a greater or lesser extent in the vast majority of SEC enforcement actions involving misstatements. As the report points, this pattern presents interesting additional context for Judge Rakoff’s high profile rejection of the SEC’s proposed settlement of the Merrill Lynch bonus enforcement action. Judge Rakoff faulted the proposed settlement because it fined the company (and its shareholders) but not the supposedly blameworthy individuals.

The report notes that this outcome is likely to spur the SEC to pursue individuals with "renewed vigor" and indeed SEC officials have made statements to that effect. The SEC’s own settlement patterns show that in general it is the agency’s practice to involve individuals in settlement of restatement cases.

The report reflects a number of different interesting findings, and also contains some helpful and interesting tables, including lists of the ten largest corporate and individual post-SOX settlements, as well as interesting data showing relating to the number of insider trading settlements – somewhat unexpectedly, the number of inside trading settlements hit a post-SOX low during fiscal 2009.

The report concludes with the observation that the full impact of the reforms that the SEC has only just begun to initiate "is likely yet to be seen." The report suggests that the trends observed in the most recent report are likely to change in the periods ahead.

SEC Files Enforcement Action Against Former New Century Officials: Perhaps as a reflection of the newly more active SEC, on December 7, 2009, the SEC filed an enforcement action in the Central District of California against three former New Century Financial Corporation officials.

The SEC’s complaint, which can be found here, alleges that the three defendants violated the securities laws failed to disclose important negative information, including dramatic increases in early loan defaults, loan repurchases, and pending loan repurchase requests. Defendants knew this negative information from numerous internal reports they regularly received, including weekly reports ominously referred to internally as "Storm Watch." The SEC’s December 7 litigation release about the action can be found here. 

The timing of the SEC's enforcement action against the three New Century officials stands in interesting contrast to the private securities class action lawsuit filed against certain former New Century officials. The private securities, which was the first of the subprime related securities class action lawsuits when it was first filed in February 2007, is nearly three years old. The court denied the defendants' motion to dismiss almost exactly a year ago.

 The more interesting question is whether the filing of the New Century action represents the first in a series of enforcement actions related to the subprime meltdown and credit crisis. In light of the new environment at the agency and the pressure it is under to reestablish its regulatory credentials, there may well be further actions yet to come.

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Bankruptcy cases filed in the U.S. federal courts continued to surge in the twelve months ended September 30, 2009, according to statistics released on November 25, 2009 by the Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts. The statistical release, which can be found here, shows that for year ending on September 30, 2009, there were 58,771 business bankruptcy filings, up 52 percent from the 38,651 business filings in the 12-month period ending September 30, 2008.

Data accompanying the release show that the number of filings has increased in the 12-month periods preceding the quarter end for each quarter since the end of the third quarter of 2006.

Though the twelve-month data show a rising number of bankruptcy filings, the quarterly data for the most recent quarter show a slightly different picture, suggesting that the number of bankruptcy filings may have peaked earlier this year, and that during the most recent months the number of business-related bankruptcy filings may even have begun to decline slightly, at least from their 2009 year-to-date highs.

Thus, according to the Administrative Office’s monthly filing data (which can be found here), there were 15,177 business-related bankruptcies in the third quarter of 2009, compared to 16,098 during 2Q08, which represents a third quarter filing decline of about 5.7%. The highest monthly total during 2009 was in April 2009, when there were 5,621 business-related bankruptcy filings, compared to 4,853 in September 2009.

But while the 3Q09 business filings were down slightly from the preceding quarter, the third quarter filings nonetheless remained at very high levels. Thus, by way of comparison, the third quarter business bankruptcy filing total of 15,177 filings is considerably higher than the quarterly totals in 4Q08, when there were 13,021 filings, and in 1Q04, when there were 14,425 filings.

Whether or not bankruptcy filing peaked earlier this year, the number of bankruptcy filings remains significant. The possibility of bankruptcy remains a significant threat for financially troubled businesses. As I have previously noted (here), among the events that often follows after the filing of a bankruptcy petition is the arrival of claims against the bankrupt firm’s directors and officers.

Bankruptcy associated-claims present a host of complications, not least of which is the intricate way that D&O insurance policies respond in the bankruptcy context. One recent development illustrating the difficulties that can arise in the bankruptcy context was the July 2009 decision in the Visitalk case (about which refer here), in which the Ninth Circuit upheld the carriers’ denial of coverage for a lawsuit brought by a company as debtor in possession against former directors and officers of the company, as a result of the policies’ insured vs. insured exclusion.

These kinds of complications underscore the need for D&O insurance policies to be closely scrutinized for their ability both to withstand and to respond to claims arising in the context of bankruptcy.

Hat tip to the SOX First blog (here) for the link to the bankruptcy statistics.

More About FCPA Enforcement and Pharmaceutical Companies: As I recently noted (here, scroll down), both the DoJ and the SEC have indicated that Foreign Corrupt Practices Act enforcement has a high priority and that FCPA enforcement in the pharmaceutical industry is a particular focus.

A November 24, 2009 memo from the Latham & Watkins law firm entitled "U.S. Department of Justice Announces Stepped-Up Criminal Enforcement of Foreign Corrupt Practices Act Against Pharmaceutical Industry" (here) takes a closer look at these prosecutorial priorities.

The memorandum explains that among other reasons for the new focus on pharmaceutical companies is that "many foreign health systems, are regulated, operated and financed by government entities, and competition is intense, which creates more opportunities to ‘pay off foreign officials for the sake of profit.’" Of particular concern is the fact that it may not always be obvious which medical functionaries are "foreign officials" within the meaning of the FCPA.

The article includes a variety of suggested practical steps that pharmaceutical companies can take in light of these concerns.

Special thanks to Adam Savett of the Securities Litigation Watch for providing a copy of the law firm memo.

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After a brief lull during the second quarter, securities class action lawsuit filings during the third quarter were closer to historical norms, although the filings levels did drop again during September.

By my count, there were 49 new securities class action lawsuits during the third quarter. For reasons discussed below, my count could vary significantly from third quarter tallies that others may publish. But the 49 third quarter filings brings the year to date total through September 30, 2009 to which brings the year to date total of new securities class action lawsuit filings to 143.

The annualized equivalent of the filings for the first nine months of 2009 projects to a twelve-month filing rate of 191, which is slightly below but still well within range of the average of 197.7 annual filings during the 13-year period between 1996 and 2008.

After a decline in filings during April and May at the end of the second quarter, when there were monthly filing totals of 11 and six respectively, there were 20 new securities lawsuit filings in June. But the number dropped to 17 in July and only 12 in September. Clearly, the filing activity levels have fluctuated month to month so far during 2009.

There may be any number of reasons for this fluctuation, but I continue to believe that the fluctuations are largely due to the fact that the plaintiffs’ lawyers are jammed up with the mass of lawsuits they filed over the last three years. As I have detailed at length elsewhere (here), many of the third quarter filings have proposed class period cutoffs well in the past, in some cases more than a year in the past. These filings may suggest that the plaintiffs’ lawyers have been so preoccupied with the other cases and with the Madoff lawsuits that they developed a backlog, which they are now getting around to working off.

The filings during the third quarter were not nearly so concentrated in the financial sector as during the first half of the year. In the first six months of 2009, about two thirds of the target defendant companies were in the financial sector. However, in the third quarter, only 12 of the 49 new securities lawsuit involved companies with Standard Industrial Classification Codes in the 6000 series (Finance, Insurance and Real Estate). There were also nine new securities class actions involving firms without SIC codes, most of which were financially related companies.

Even if all nine of those companies lacking SIC Codes are counted as financial, that still makes only 21 out of the 48 third court suits in the financial sector. Thus less than half of the third quarter filings were against companies in the financial sector, as compared to over two-thirds in the first half of the year.

One contributing factor in the relative decline in the number of new securities suits against financial companies may be the declining number of new lawsuits relating to the subprime meltdown and credit crisis. Thus, while there have been nearly 200 securities lawsuits filed since February 2007 related to the subprime and credit crisis litigation wave, including as many as 58 total in 2009, only about seven of subprime and credit crisis related cases were filed in the third quarter (depending on how you count).

As I noted in my recent interim update of the subprime and credit crisis related litigation (here), this apparent decline in the cases related to these phenomena may be due to the changing financial circumstances. What started several years ago with the subprime meltdown has evolved into a global financial crisis, affecting all companies across the entire economy. As a result of these developments, it has become increasingly difficult to define precisely what constitutes a subprime and credit crisis-related lawsuit. It may not be so much that the subprime and credit crisis litigation wave has crested as it is that the wave has merged into a larger tidal movement and is no longer its own separately identifiable phenomenon.

The high incidence of lawsuits involving companies without SIC Codes is a reflection of the number of new cases involving unusual lawsuit targets. There were, for example, several filings during the third quarter involving ETF Funds (refer here, here and here, for example). There were also new lawsuits filed involving closed end investment funds (refer here) and mortgage trusts (refer here and here). These actions are a continuation of the filing activity we have seen for several quarters, as a wide variety of complex financial firms and investment vehicles have been and continue to be drawn into securities litigation.

But though the third quarter filings, as was the case with the filings in the first half of the year, involved a number of these unusual targets, many of the companies named in third quarter lawsuits are more representative both of the larger economy and of more traditional securities litigation targets. Overall the companies named as defendants represented over 30 different SIC Code categories. For example, six of the third quarter filings involved life sciences companies in the 2830 SIC Code category and three involved filings against medical device companies in the 3840 SIC Code category.

By contrast to the first six months of the year, relatively few of the third quarter filings involved foreign domiciled companies. Thus, while 18 of the first half lawsuits involved foreign companies, only two of the third quarter lawsuits involved foreign companies. Many of the foreign targets in the first half of the year were financial companies, so the relative decline in filings against foreign companies may simply be a reflection of overall reduction in lawsuits against financial firms.

The new securities lawsuit filings in the third quarter were not nearly so heavily concentrated in the Southern District of New York as in the first half of the year. Thus, while in the six months of 2009, 45 out of 94 (or nearly half) of the new securities lawsuits were filed in the Southern District, only 12 of the 48 third quarter filings (or only 25%) were initiated in the S.D.N.Y. Again, this relative decline may be a reflection of the reduced number of lawsuits involving financial companies.

About Counting: As has been the case in recent quarters, the process of "counting" new securities lawsuits continued to be quite challenging during the third quarter. As has been the case in the past, I have not counted breach of fiduciary duty/merger objection lawsuits. In addition, I have also excluded from my count the "failure to register securities" lawsuits when these suits have been filed in state court (refer for example here), or even if filed in federal court assert only state law claims (refer for example here). In addition, the recurring phenomenon of lawsuit involving nontraditional financial vehicles makes it extremely challenging, given the outward similarity of many of these vehicles and their names, to tell whether or new complaint represents a new or a duplicate lawsuit.

These kinds of sorting issues inevitably result in some line drawing and some marginal categorization issues. Reasonable minds clearly could differ on many of these sorting concerns.

The bottom line is that my lawsuit count for the third quarter and for the first nine months almost certainly will differ from similar tallies that other may publish – indeed, for the same reason, the various other tallies will also likely disagree with each other as well. Certainly, anyone trying to come up with their own count that were to include, for example, merger objection suits or failure to register claims, would reach a substantially different number than the one I came up with.

I emphasize these counting issues, as I have in the past, as a way to try to explain the differences that may appear in the various published accounts. No one should be surprised by the differences, although consumers of the counting data have every right to know what has been included and excluded from any given count in order to understand how and why the count differs from other published versions.

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As D&O maven Dan Bailey noted in a recent memo (here), ERISA class action litigation represents a significant and growing liability exposure for benefit plan fiduciaries. With the recent addition of the $70.5 million settlement in the Tyco ERISA class action lawsuit (about which refer here) and the $55 million settlement in the Countrywide ERISA class action lawsuit (refer here) to the long and growing list of significant ERISA class action settlements, it is clear that the these ERISA class action lawsuit represent an increasingly important area of potential liability exposure.

In light of the increasing prevalence of these significant ERISA class action lawsuits, it seems to me that the time has arrived for a more systematic tracking of significant settlements.

Accordingly, I have prepared a list of the largest ERISA class action settlements of which I am aware. The list, in the form of a Word document, can be found here.

This list is comprehensive, but it likely is incomplete. I suspect strongly that there may be other similarly significant ERISA class action settlements of which I am unaware that should be included in order for the list to be complete. I would be very grateful if any readers who are aware of any specific settlements that I omitted from the list but that should have included would please let know so that I can incorporate them into the list and make the information available to all readers.

In any event, as new ERISA class action settlements arise in the future, I will add them to the list, and I will indicate on the top of the Word document the most recent date on which the list was updated. I encourage readers to let me know about any significant ERISA class action settlements of which they become aware.

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On July 27, 2009, NERA Economic Consulting became the latest to publish a mid-year analysis of the year to date securities litigation developments. The NERA report, written by Stephanie Plancich and Svetlana Starykh, is entitled "Recent Trends in Securities Class Actions Litigation: 2009 Mid-Year Update," and can be found here. The NERA Report joins the earlier mid-year report of Cornerstone Research (refer here). My own mid-year review can be found here.

The NERA report seemingly reports a higher number of securities class action filings than the earlier reports, although the seeming difference requires some explanation; on closer review, the apparent difference arguably becomes more apparent than real. In addition to an analysis of the first half lawsuit filings, the NERA report also includes a review of the first half securities lawsuit settlements as well.

For the first six months of 2009, NERA reports that there were 127 new securities class action filings. This tally is quite a bit higher than the 87 first half filings that Cornerstone reported in its recent study of first half filings. However the difference may be attributable to a difference in counting methodology. As explained in footnote 2 of the NERA report, "unless cases are consolidated, we report all filings potentially related to the same alleged fraud, if the complaints are filed in different Circuits or if different securities are alleged to be affected by the fraud." Since many of the complaints filed in the first half involve duplicated allegations with multiple complaints filed in different circuits, NERA’s reported number of filings is quite a bit higher than other published reports. NERA notes that "if cases are ultimately consolidated, the data are adjusted." Hence, my statement that the seeming difference in the number of filings may be more apparent than real.

The NERA report notes that the first half filings are on an annualized pace of more than 250 filings, which would be more than in 2008. Consistent with earlier reports, the NERA report does note that the number of filings declined in the second quarter. The NERA report also notes that the first half filings were largely driven by the credit crisis cases and new lawsuits relating to the Ponzi schemes. Over 40% of first half filings were credit crisis related and over 20% were related to the Ponzi scheme allegations. About 67% of first half filings named at least one financial company as a primary co-defendant.

In addition, the NERA report notes that accounting firms have been named as co-defendants in 17.3% of filings, which represents a significant increase from prior years. Cases against foreign domiciled defendants have also increased, with 19 cases or 15% of all cases naming a foreign company as a primary defendant, the highest percentage since the passage of the PSLRA.

In terms of drivers affecting the pace of securities class action lawsuit filings, the report confirms that the filing rate is correlated to overall market volatility, but the relationship is "not tight" and in fact volatility accounts for only about 28% of the variability in quarterly filing levels.

In looking at case resolutions, the report attempts to determine how long on average it takes for these cases to be resolved. Looking back at the cases filed in 2000, the report finds that on average, the time to resolution is 2.9 year, with an average time for dismissals of 1.7 years and settlements it was 3.5 years. Most of the more recent cases, particularly those related to the subprime meltdown and the credit crisis still remain only in their earliest stages, and so it is too early to tell how these cases ultimately will be resolved.

In analyzing case outcomes overtime, the report finds that a higher fraction of cases have been dismissed since the U.S. Supreme Court’s 2005 ruling in Dura Pharmaceuticals, consistent with the hypothesis that defendants are more likely to prevail in a motion to dismiss as a result of that decision.

With respect to settlements so far this year, the NERA report finds that the median securities class action settlement is $8 million, which is about the same as in 2008. Median values have remained very consistent for the past five years.

The average securities class action settlement during the first half of the year has been $43 million, about even with last year’s average and slightly below the average of $49.6 million for the period 2003 to 2009. The high average relative to the median is driven by large outlier settlements. If the settlements above $1 billion are removed, the average for the period 2003 to 2009 drops to $27.6 million, although the year to date average for 2009 settlements remains at $43 million. A substantial number of settlements this year have been over $100 though less than $1 billion.

Median investor losses for cases filed in 2009 ($600 million) are much higher than for cases settled in 2009 ($289 million). Since settlement amounts traditionally have been "strongly correlated" to investor losses, this would seem to suggest that the 2009 cases would be much higher than more recently settled cases. However, given that the companies affected by the credit crisis "may no longer have …substantial resources to make …large settlement payouts" the traditional relationship of settlement amount to investor losses may or may not hold.

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As I have shown (here) and has been detailed by others (here), the number of securities class action lawsuits declined during the first half of 2009 compared both to last year and to historical norms. There is a lot that might be said about the decline and its causes. However, the mainstream media (refer, for example, here) has latched onto the message that the number of securities suits is declining because the plaintiffs are "running out of people to sue."

Let’s be honest -- fish gotta swim, birds gotta fly, and plaintiffs’ lawyers make their living filing lawsuits. The fish and the birds can be counted upon to continue their traditional activities, and so can the plaintiffs’ lawyers. The very idea that the plaintiffs have run out of targets is a flawed conclusion built on a faulty premise.

Before I get started on this topic, I think it would be useful to review why this question matters. Once before, the idea circulated that the securities class action plaintiffs’ lawyers were going out of business. This hypothesis turned out to be very wrong and it proved to be a very expensive mistake.

After the PSLRA was enacted at the end of 1995, some D&O insurers assumed the statute’s passage would mean that many fewer securities lawsuits would be filed, and so they slashed their insurance pricing. The marketplace followed. When securities litigation ramped back up, the D&O insurance industry suffered hundreds of millions of dollars in losses. The industry paid a lot of tuition to learn that what plaintiffs’ lawyers do is file lawsuits. Given how expensive the lesson was, it would seem unwise to start assuming now that anything has changed.

But with respect to the recent decline in securities lawsuits, let’s at least get the facts straight. The number of lawsuits did not decline during the entire first six months of the year. During the period January through April, the number of new securities lawsuit filings was more or less at normal levels. The drop took place in May and June. Now, looking at the ebb and flow of securities lawsuit filings during the last 14 years, there arguably is nothing noteworthy about a two-month decline. It could just be a blip. It may or may not continue; only time will tell. It does seem important (to me at least) that so far in July, there have already been at least twelve new securities lawsuits, more than were filed in either May or June.

The other thing about the first half of 2009 is that it was not as if the plaintiffs’ lawyers were idle -- they were just otherwise occupied. Among other things, they were busy filing lawsuits related to Madoff, the Stanford Financial Group and other Ponzi schemes. Indeed, my list of Madoff-related lawsuits (which can be accessed here) now runs to some 23 pages, with more than 40 new cases filed during May and June.

This other extensive litigation activity is highly relevant, because of the similarity to what happened back in the period mid-2005 to mid-2007. That was the period when there was a sustained "lull" in new securities class action lawsuit filings. During that period as well, the plaintiffs’ lawyers were also otherwise engaged. Then, they were busy filing options backdating-related shareholders’ derivative lawsuits, eventually filing 168 of them (as shown here).

That prior "lull" in new securities lawsuit filings motivated some observers to speculate that the move to lower securities litigation levels might represent a "permanent" change. Subsequent history has shown that in fact there was no permanent change, and indeed the securities lawsuit activity returned with a vengeance.

Of course, it is possible that plaintiffs’ lawyers have indeed run out of targets and that lower level of new securities class action filings will persist going forward. Only time will tell. Just based on what history has shown, though, both after the passage of the PSLRA and after the so-called "lull," I think it would be unwise to bet that hereafter the plaintiffs lawyers will file fewer securities lawsuits.

My own theory about why the number of lawsuits has dipped is that the plaintiffs’ lawyers have been busy, not just with the Madoff lawsuits, but also dealing with the extraordinary number of lawsuits they previously filed in connection with the subprime meltdown and credit crisis. Many of these lawsuits are uncommonly complicated and they have in many cases entered procedurally demanding stages.

The main reason I believe that the plaintiffs’ lawyers have just been jammed up is that I think there is evidence that they are dealing with a backlog of cases, a point that I have made before (here). Recent filings even further reinforce the conclusion that the plaintiffs’ lawyers are now starting to work off a backlog.

Many of the recent filings have proposed class periods that are well in the past, sometimes years in the past. For example, the securities lawsuit filed on July 14, 2009 against Ambassador Group (refer here) has a proposed class period cutoff date of October 23, 2007. The securities lawsuit filed on July 17, 2009 against Bare Escentuals (refer here) has proposed class period cutoff date of November 26, 2007. The securities lawsuit filed on July 22, 2009 against Accuray (refer here) proposes a class period cutoff of August 19, 2008. Other recent filings though not quite as superannuated involve class period cutoff dates that well over six months past (refer, for example, here).

If you notice from the cases I have listed above and in my prior post, these cases not only involve a time gap, but they also are all outside the financial sector. It seems as if the plaintiffs lawyers have been so preoccupied with the race to the courthouse in lawsuits against the financial sector, they are just now getting around to filing the cases against the other kinds of companies.

The way I look at it, the plaintiffs’ lawyers have not had a shortage of targets, they have just had a shortage of time. But evidence suggests that they are getting caught up and they are now getting around to working off the backlog that has been accumulating. The one thing I know for certain is that they will continue to file lawsuits. Consider how reliable the birds and fishes are, and I think you will see what I mean.

One line of analysis that does give me pause is the suggestion that the lawsuit filings declined because of diminished stock market volatility. According to this theory, there is a correlation between overall market volatility and the level of securities lawsuit activity. This theory may have something to it; it is certainly the case that an individual lawsuit is directly related to the target company’s experience of volatility in its own share price. If this market volatility theory is true and if the lower volatility persists, then we could be in for a period of lower numbers of security lawsuits. We had a lull before, we could certainly have one again.

Because of the possibility that persistent lower market volatility might mean reduced lawsuit filings for awhile, I am not making any absolute predictions. I am just saying that I wouldn’t make any bets based on the assumption that the plaintiffs lawyers have run out of people to sue.

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While the number of securities class action filings through the year’s first half still project to an annualized filing rate consistent with historical averages, there was a noticeable slackening in the number of new securities lawsuits filed as the second quarter of 2009 progressed. New filings in the second quarter were well below the number of filings in the first quarter as well as in last year’s second quarter. There were few new filings in May and even fewer in June.

Overall, the filings continue to be largely concentrated in the financial sector. In addition, as discussed below, a significant number of the securities lawsuit filings in the first half of 2009 did not involve publicly traded companies, but instead involved other types of entities, such as private investment partnerships and mutual funds.

Based on my review of the securities filings through June 30, 2009, there were 94 securities class action lawsuits filed in the first half of 2009. (Please see my comments below on the topic of “counting” the lawsuits during the year’s first half.) The 94 first half filings represent an annualized filing rate of 188, which is slightly below but within range of the average number of filings of 197.7 during the 13-year period between 1996 and 2008. The annualized rate of 2009 filings is also below the average filing level of 204.7 for the most recent seven year period of 2002 through 2008.

The filing level during the second quarter of 2009 was below both the first quarter of this year and last year’s second quarter. There were only 35 new securities lawsuit filed during the second quarter of 2009, compared to 59 during the first quarter of this year and 56 in the second quarter of 2008.

The lower filing level during the second quarter of 2009 reflects the low number of new securities class action lawsuit filings during the months of May and June. There were just eleven new securities lawsuit filings in May and only six in June. The June filings represent the lowest monthly number of new filings since December 1996, when there were just five new securities class action filings.

But though there were fewer new securities class action filings during the second quarter of 2009, the total number of filings for the twelve-month period ending June 30 remains within historical annual averages. There were 205 new filings during the twelve month period ending on June 30, 2009, which, though below the 219 new filings during the twelve month period ending on June 30, 2008, is consistent with the average annual number of filings noted above.  

In addition to the filing activity levels, the first half filings were characterized by the relatively unusual types of claimants involved. For example, as many as ten of the first half lawsuits were filed on behalf of holders of preferred or subordinated securities. As I noted at greater length here, these are relatively unusual claimants.

The securities class action litigation targets during the first half were also unusual. An uncharacteristically high number of the first half lawsuit defendants were entities other than public companies, including private investment partnerships, mutual funds, and other nonpublic entities. As many as sixteen of the new first half lawsuit filings involved primary defendant entities that lacked Standard Industrial Classification code (SIC) designations. As many as eight of the new filings in the first half involved mutual funds (many of them in the Oppenheimer mutual fund family).

One characteristic that the first half filings did have in common with the filings in immediately preceding periods is that the new filings continue to be concentrated in the financial sector. Though the first half filings represented 38 different SIC Code classes, fully 51 of the first half filings against entities with SIC Codes involved companies in the 6000 SIC Code series (Finance, Insurance and Real Estate). In addition, virtually all of the 16 actions involving entities that lacked SIC codes also involved enterprises in the financial sector, so that more than two-thirds of the new first half filings involved financial services entities of one kind or another.

The concentration of the filings in the financial sector is largely a result of the continuing subprime and credit crisis litigation wave. By my count, 51 of the first half filings involved subprime and credit crisis related allegations. My complete list of all subprime and credit crisis securities lawsuit filings can be accessed here.

Another factor contributing to the concentration of securities lawsuit filings in the financial sector is the number of new securities class action lawsuits that were filed in the first half related to the Madoff scandal. By my count there were 11 new Madoff-related securities lawsuit in the first half, although there were many more duplicate Madoff-related lawsuits filed during that same period as well. My complete list of the Madoff related lawsuit filings can be accessed here.

The first half securities lawsuit filings were filed in 26 different courts, but fully 45 of them, or nearly half, were filed in the Southern District of New York.

Eighteen of the first half lawsuit filings involved foreign domiciled companies, representing ten different countries. The country with the largest number of first half filings was the United Kingdom. However, a number of these lawsuits against foreign-domiciled companies involve multiple separate lawsuits against a single target. For example, the six lawsuits filed against U.K. companies actually involve just two different companies, Royal Bank of Scotland and Barclays.

Of the actions against U.S.-domiciled companies, the first half lawsuits involved companies from 22 different states, with the largest number in New York (28) and California (12).

Why the Apparent Slowdown?: There may be any number of possible reasons for the relative slowdown in the number of filings during the second quarter. My own theory is that the plaintiffs’ lawyers may have found themselves in a logjam, due to two factors. One factor is the onslaught of Madoff-related litigation (which is not fully reflected in the above numbers but has nevertheless been massive) Another factor is the sheer quantity of previously filed subprime and credit crisis-related litigation, which in many instances has reached critical procedural stages.

If I am correct about the reasons for the second quarter slowdown, then the downturn could proved to be temporary and filing levels could ramp back up as plaintiffs’ lawyers circle back and attempt to work off the backlog. (Indeed, I have previously noticed signs that plaintiffs lawyers could already have been working off backlogs from earlier periods, as noted here). My view is that we will soon see filing activity return to historical norms. Of course, only time will tell.

Some Comments on “Counting”: The various litigation statistical services will also be issuing their counts for the first half of 2009 and their counts almost certainly will vary from mine. Because the Stanford Law School Securities Class Action Clearinghouse publishes all of the actions that it includes in its running tally, it is easiest for me to compare my count with theirs, and so I already know that my count differs from theirs, as I have both omitted lawsuits Stanford Clearinghouse has counted and I have counted lawsuits that the Stanford Clearinghouse omitted.

I have set forth these differences below not because I think I am right and alternative version wrong, but simply so readers might be able to understand the differences. Reasonable minds might well reach different conclusion as to whether the items mentioned below should or should not be recognized in any count.

Thus, I have omitted at least a couple of cases from the Stanford Clearinghouse list that to me appear to represent double counting of lawsuits that were counted elsewhere in the Clearinghouse’s list. (Refer for example here and here for examples of cases previously counted in the Stanford Clearinghouse tally.) Also, because I only count class actions seeking damages for disclosure violations under the federal securities laws, I have omitted merger objection lawsuits (refer for example here).

By the same token, I have included federal securities class action lawsuits that were filed in state court (refer for example here), which the Stanford Clearinghouse did not. I have also included a number of other actions that do not appear on the Stanford Clearinghouse list, including lawsuits involving Metaldyne (here); Royal Bank of Scotland Series Q preferred shares (here), Deutsche Bank Alt-A Securities (here); Merrill Lynch Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates (here); FM Multi-Strategy Investment Fund (here); Citigroup 8.125% Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock, Series AA (here); Agape World (here); Wells Fargo Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates Series 2006 et seq. (here); Citigroup 8.50% Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock (here); and Thornburgh Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates (here).

During the first half of 2009 the seemingly simple process of counting new lawsuit filings was extraordinarily complicated. As the filings have continued to emerge involving different classes of securities, it is increasingly challenging to determine whether or not each additional complaint represents a duplicate lawsuit or a separate action. In addition, the flood of Madoff-related litigation has involved an enormous number of similar or overlapping lawsuits.

If you would like a particularly challenging example of the difficulties involved in “counting,” refer to this June 30, 2009 press release in which plaintiffs’ counsel describe the class complaint they filed in the Eastern District of California on behalf of holders of derivative interests in bonds issued by the California Infrastructure and Economic Development Bank. To greatly oversimplify the action, the lawsuit alleges that the bond documents misrepresented certain bond attributes, for which the plaintiffs seek to recover damages under the federal securities laws. It is an investor class action lawsuit seeking to recover damages under the federal securities laws, and for that reason I included it in my count. On the other hand, it involves public financing authority rather than a public company; others might not count it. Read the press release and I think you will see what I mean. This is not simple.

Whether or not to count any of these complaints as a new action or as a duplicate lawsuit, or at all, is enormously challenging and reasonable minds almost certainly would reach differing results. The various published versions of the number of lawsuits filed during the first half of 2009 almost certainly will vary, perhaps substantially.

Securities Docket Mid-Year Litigation Update Webcast: On July 9, 2009, at 2:00 P.M. EDT, I will be participating in a Securities Docket webcast entitled “2009 Mid-Year Review: Securities Litigation and Enforcement.” The webcast will be moderated by Bruce Carton of Securities Docket and the panelists will also include Francine McKenna of the Re: The Auditors blog; Lyle Roberts of The 10b-5 Daily blog; and Tom Gorman of the SEC Actions blog. Further information and registration instructions can be found here.

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Securities class action lawsuits filings are on pace to make 2009 the most active for securities class action filings in years, according to Advisen’s May 1, 2009 Securities Litigation Quarterly (here). According to the report, there were 67 securities class action lawsuits in the first quarter of 2009, up from 56 a year earlier. The first quarter filings represent an annualized filing rate of 268 securities class action lawsuits, which would not only represent a significant increase over 2008 but would even be greater that the "relatively litigious year of 2004."

My own analysis of the first quarter 2009 securities class action filings can be found here.

The overall purpose of the Advisen report is to analyze "securities lawsuits" in the first quarter of 2009. As used in the Advisen report, the term "securities lawsuits" refers not just "securities class action lawsuits," but also includes SEC enforcement actions, state court fiduciary duty cases, and even lawsuits filed in non-U.S. courts.

In addition, the report uses yet a different term – "securities fraud lawsuits" – as a subset of "securities lawsuits," to describe SEC enforcement proceedings and other regulatory actions.

So in the report "securities class action lawsuits" and "securities fraud lawsuits" are each separate and distinct subcategories of the larger category of "securities lawsuits."

According to the Advisen report, filings in the broadest category -- "securities lawsuits" -- were up significantly in the first quarter of 2009, with 169 of these actions, compared with only 125 in the fourth quarter of 2008, and 134 in the first quarter of 2008. These filings (which, again, represent a broader category than just "securities class action lawsuits") were significantly increased by Madoff-related lawsuit filings, which represented 30% of all the "securities lawsuits" in the first quarter. The report notes that "2009 might end up as a year with a heavy front-end load of lawsuits" due to the "flurry of Madoff-related cases" in the first quarter.

Using its own categorization, the report notes that fewer of the "securities cases" plaintiffs are filing are "securities class action lawsuits," and that plaintiffs increasingly have been filing securities lawsuits alleging common law torts, contract law violations, and breach of fiduciary duties." The report speculates that plaintiffs’ counsel may be pursing these alternatives in order to be able to proceed in state court and to avoid having their case consolidated with the larger class action suit.

With respect to "securities lawsuits" other than "securities class action lawsuits," the enforcement and regulatory actions that the report categorizes as "securities fraud lawsuits" accounted for 34 suits filed in the first quarter, up from 19 in fourth quarter of 2008, but down from 54 in third quarter of 2008. The "securities fraud lawsuits" filed in first quarter of 2009 represent an annualized filing rate136 cases, flat with 2008 but down from 175 in 2007.

Other types of "securities lawsuits" other than "securities class action lawsuits" filed in the first quarter of 2009 were: breach of fiduciary duties (26), collective actions in non-US courts (20), derivative shareholder actions and other derivative cases (14), and others (8).

The Advisen report notes that suits against financial firms dominated the "securities lawsuit" filings in the first quarter. The report notes that 117 out of the 169 "securities lawsuits" filed (or 69%) in the first quarter involved financial services firms (including insurance companies). These financial services claims fall in four basic groups: the Madoff-related claims; subprime and credit crisis-related claims; specialist improper trading claims; and Stanford Group-related claims.

With respect to the subprime and credit crisis-related claims, the report suggests that these claims "will crest in 2009," adding that "as bankruptcies rise through the economy, hitting all sectors, and securities suits are filed as a consequence, suits filed will become more dispersed…broadly affecting all sectors."

The report notes that many of the cases will not only potentially trigger D&O insurance policies, but "may also trigger coverage under errors and omissions (E&O) and fiduciary liability policies" which is true with respect to may of the Ponzi scheme cases as well as with to some of the subprime and credit crisis-related cases.

First Quarter Report Webinar: On Friday May 8, 2009, at Noon EDT, I will be joining David Bradford and Jim Blinn of Advisen for a free one-hour webinar to discuss the findings in the Advisen quarterly report and to discuss the implications for the liability insurance market. Registration for this free webinar is available here.

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In prior posts (most recently here), I discussed the fact that while litigation against the financial sector has predominated recent securities lawsuit filings, plaintiffs’ attorneys also have targeted other sectors, including in particularly the life sciences sector. An April 2009 memorandum by David Kotler of the Dechert law firm entitled "Dechert Survey of Securities Fraud Class Actions Brought Against Life Sciences Companies" (here) takes a closer look at the 2008 life sciences securities lawsuits and analyzes the allegations on which the claims are based.

The memo notes that the 23 securities lawsuits filed against life sciences companies in 2008 is about the same number as the 25 life sciences securities lawsuits filed in 2007. However, the report also notes that the 2008 life sciences securities lawsuit filings represented only 10% of all securities lawsuit filings during the year, compared to 14% in 2007. The report attributes this slight drop to the fact that securities lawsuits in the financial sector "skyrocketed" in 2008.

The memo reports that, similarly to prior years, half of the life sciences companies sued in 2008 were very small, with market capitalizations below $250 million. However, by contrast to 2007, when nearly half of the life sciences companies sued had market capitalizations greater than $10 billion, on 2008 "only 13% of total actions were brought against the largest companies."

With respect to the allegations raised in the new lawsuits, the memo notes that in 2008, the majority of claims "pertained to accounting improprieties and/or misstated or misleading financial results and forecasts, by comparison to the 2007 filings, where industry-specific issues such as product safety, efficacy or marketing predominated.

The memo does note that about 25% of the 2008 filings contained allegations of alleged misrepresentations or nondisclosure regarding the commercialization or marketing of the product, and about 25% alleged that the defendants had made false and misleading statements about the safety of their product.

The memo also notes that one trend observed in 2007 had continued in 2008; that is, the plaintiffs’ lawyers are continuing to include key research personnel as defendants, on the apparent theory that these individuals "had a high level position within the company and access to internal information," and therefore "they knew and failed to disclose the allged adverse non-public information." The memo reports that key research personnel were named as defendants in five of the 23 life sciences securities lawsuits filed in 2008.

With respect to the likelihood of future litigation in the sector, the memo notes that life sciences companies "are particularly vulnerable to securities lawsuits because of their inherently volatile stock prices, often driven by a drug or device product life cycle that is fraught with potential for adverse and unpredictable events." That vulnerability "may increase in coming months and years when the boom of securities class actions in the financial sector busts." The memo speculates that "once plaintiffs’ targets in the financial sector dry up, other sectors, including life sciences, may see an increase in lawsuits aimed their way."

In discussing the 2007 version of Dechert’s life sciences securities litigation report, I had raised (here) the question whether or not the numerous lawsuits against life sciences companies actually were successful, and in particular, I asked whether or not the cases were dismissed more frequently than other securities lawsuits. The 2008 Dechert memo addresses these questions by taking a look at how the 2007 life sciences securities lawsuits have fared so far.

The 2008 memo reports that of the 25 life sciences securities lawsuits filed in 2007, eleven have been dismissed and two have settled. The memo states that the two settlements are "within the standard range" for securities lawsuit settlements generally, and that the dismissal rate "mirrors that of securities class actions in general."

The dismissals largely have been based on the plaintiffs’ failure to fulfill the requirements for pleading scienter. The memo comments that "though plaintiffs may be given multiple opportunities to amend their complaints, they will not be able to survive a motion to dismiss with general, conclusory or generic allegations of knowing misconduct."

The Dechert memo’s tally of 23 life sciences securities lawsuits in 2008 squares with my own count. I note that in preparing my count of the life sciences lawsuits, I had used a rather narrow definition of the category, limiting the "life sciences" companies to those either in SIC Code series 283 (Drugs) or SIC Code series 384 (Surgical, Medical and Dental Instruments and Supplies).

The memo, which concludes with practical risk minimization suggestions, is quite good and merits reading at length and in full.

Special thanks to the author of the Dechert memo, David Kotler, for providing me with a copy of the memo.

The Rise and Fall of Bill Lerach: The Professional Liability Underwriting Society (PLUS) has posted its acclaimed video, "The Rise and Fall of Bill Lerach," on the members’ section of its website. PLUS members can access the video here. The video alone might justify cost of membership. A trailer of the video can be found on the Securities Docket site, here.

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On April 1, 2009, PricewaterhouseCoopers issued this year’s version of its annual study of securities class action litigation (here). The PwC report differs in certain particulars from previously released studies of the 2008 securities lawsuit filings, but the overall findings are directionally consistent with the prior reports. The PwC report also adds some interesting observations of its own.

My own analysis of the 2008 securities lawsuit filings can be found here. Cornerstone’s previously released study of 2008 filings can be found here and Cornerstone’s study of the 2008 securities lawsuit settlements can be found here. NERA’s 2008 study can be found here and Advisen’s can be found here.

The PwC study found, consistently with the prior reports, that as a result of the financial crisis, the number of securities class action lawsuits rose for the second year in a row in 2008. The PwC report tallied 210 securities lawsuits in 2008, a number that is notably below the numbers reported by other studies. The 2008 total represents a 29 percent increase over 2007. The report found that the filings were steady throughout the year, with a slight uptick in the fourth quarter.

The report found that the majority of the 2008 filings were related to the financial crisis. Indeed, the report noted that "for the first time since the PSLRA, in 2008 the plaintiffs’ bar filed more federal securities lawsuits against the financial services industry group (banking, brokerage, financial services and insurance) than any other industry." By the same token, for the first time since the PSLRA’s passage, high tech companies were not the most frequently targeted.

The number of filings against companies in the pharmaceutical industry remained consistent with 2007, with 21 lawsuits in the sector in both years. My own analysis of the 2008 securities filings in the life sciences sector can be found here.

Filings against companies in the Fortune 500 were up in 2008, with 37 filings during the year, or 18% of all cases filed. The average annual percentage of filings against Fortune 500 companies since the PSLRA’s enactment is 13%. The majority (65%) of the Fortune 500 companies sued in 2008 were in the financial sector.

The report notes that the profile of financial companies sued in 2008 changed from those named as defendants in 2008. The focus changed from loan originators in 2007 to entities involved in loan securitization in 2008. (I might add parenthetically that the loan securitizers remain a target in 2009.) In 2008, the auction rate securities lawsuits were a significant part (38%) of the suits filed against entities involved in loan securitization.

According to the PwC report, securities lawsuits in the United States against foreign issuers "reached an all-time high in 2008, with 36 cases representing 17 percent of the total federal securities class actions filed." These filings against foreign issuers represent the highest percentage of the total cases in any year since the enactment of the PSLRA. 15 (or 42%) of the 36 cases filed against foreign issuers involved companies in the financial services industry, and 32 out of the 36 of the suits against foreign issuers were filed in the Second Circuit. The countries whose companies were sued most frequently were Canada, China and Switzerland.

The report notes that the number and aggregate dollar value of securities lawsuit settlements declined in 2008. However, if the $3.2 billion Tyco settlement is excluded from the 2007 numbers, the remaining total value of the 2007 settlements ($3.3 billion) is 9 percent less than the total value of the 2008 settlements ($3.6 billion).

The average 2008 settlement of $41 million represented a substantial increase from 2007’s average of $28.3 million, but the 2008 average was still well below the 2005 average of $67.6 million. The median 2008 settlement of $8 million was unchanged from 2007.

The report has an interesting statistic showing that the 2008 average for settlements greater than $1 million but less than $50 million was $11.2 million, which not only represents an increase over the equivalent 2007 average of $9.6 million, but also represents the highest such average since the PSLRA’s enactment.

The report also has extensive additional interesting analysis regarding the prevalence and type of accounting allegations, and their impact on settlement; the nature of SEC enforcement activity; and the increase in foreign regulatory activity.

The report concludes by noting that there are three areas in which "companies will want to remain especially vigilant," which are "institutional plaintiff activity (particularly activity relating to public and union pension funds), internal controls accounting-related allegations, and FCPA enforcement." The report ends with the observation that "securities litigation activity in 2009 is likely to reflect [the] new era of accountability and oversight, particularly if the regulatory environment is overhauled, as most think inevitable."

An interesting interview discussing the PwC report can be found here.

Special thanks to a loyal reader for providing me with a link to the PwC report.

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As a result of recent legislative changes, Canadian securities litigation filings increased substantially in 2008, according to a January 26, 2009 Report by NERA Economic Consulting entitled "Trends in Canadian Securities Class Actions: 1997-2008" (here). A January 26, 2009 press release describing the report can be found here.

According to the Report, plaintiffs filed a record nine new securities class action lawsuits in Canada during 2008, which represented an 80% increase over the previous annual maximum and a 125% increase over the prior year.

This level of filing activity is still "miniscule" compare to the securities litigation filings in the U.S., even allowing for the fact that the Canadian securities markets are in the aggregate much smaller than those in the U.S.

However, in recent years, four Canadian provinces have introduced "continuous disclosure" regimes and have enacted civil liability provisions as well. These provisions include certain "gate keeping" mechanisms (including, for example the requirement that the plaintiffs seek leave of court to pursue a class action), but plaintiffs nevertheless seem interested in pursuing relief under these new statutory regimes.

For example there have now been a total of twelve new securities lawsuits filed in Ontario since the 2006 revisions to the relevant laws. (The Ontario Securities Act, as amended, can be found here.)

One of these Ontario cases involves IMAX Corporation, which is also the subject of a U.S. securities lawsuit. As I discussed in a prior post (here), the prospect for Canadian securities actions may have, as the NERA Report puts it, "received a boost" with a ruling in the IMAX case, which permitted the plaintiffs in that case to conduct a certain amount of discovery at the pre-approval state.

As NERA Report observes, "for parallel US-Canada actions, the IMAX ruling may enable plaintiffs to do an end-run around the discovery stay provisions of the PSLRA by brining an action north of the border."

The NERA report also observes that the recent filing in Ontario of a class action against AIG may be an example of this tactic. My prior post discussing the Ontario securities action against AIG and its possible tactical purposes can be found here.

The NERA Reports that among the Canadian filings are cases demonstrating the impact of several trends that have also driven U.S. securities litigation. That is, the 2008 cases include lawsuit filings related to the credit crisis (against CIBC and AIG), as well as cases based on allegations of options backdating.

Nearly one-quarter of the Canadian class actions involve companies in the financial sector, and nearly one fifth involve resources companies.

The Report states that there have been twenty securities class action settlements, but only one (the Southwestern Resources case, which settled for CAN$15.5 million) involved a case brought pursuant to new securities legislation. The Report shows that cross-border cases tend to result in larger settlements than Canadian-only cases.

Overall the Report notes that while the plaintiffs’ bar is "more active than ever" and filed a record number of new lawsuits in 2008, "it remains to be seen whether the gate-keeping aspects of the new amendments to the legislation, as interpreted by the courts, will meaningfully hinder the ability of plaintiffs to prosecute class actions in Canada."

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2008 was a remarkably eventful year, from the dramatic events that rocked the financial markets to the Presidential election that resulted in a change in national leadership. Virtually all of the significant events during 2008 also had an impact on the world of D&O insurance, one way or another. In all likelihood, significant developments will continue to emerge during 2009, with further implications for the D&O marketplace.

In a year as eventful as 2008, selecting as the most significant events is a challenging task. But with an eye toward the developments of greatest significance for the D&O industry, I have prepared the following list of the top ten stories of 2008.

1. Credit Crisis Becomes Global Financial Calamity: What began in 2007 as a subprime meltdown had by early 2008 become a credit crisis, which in turn evolved during Fall 2008 into a full blown global financial disaster.

Within the space of just a few short weeks, the government took control of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; the FDIC took over Washington Mutual, in the largest U.S. bank failure ever; Lehman Brothers collapsed, in the largest U.S. bankruptcy ever; Bank of America agreed to acquire Merrill Lynch in a government brokered deal; the government undertook a massive bailout of AIG; Congress enacted a colossal $700 billion bailout package; and Wells Fargo agreed to acquire Wachovia. And those events came after a raft of prior financial shocks, including the collapse of Bear Stearns, the seizure of the auction rate securities market, and the disintegration of U.S. residential real estate market.

Any one of these events on its own would be significant. Taken collectively these events represent an enormous upheaval, the full ramifications and consequences of which will only emerge over the months and years to come.

And those are just the headlines. In other developments reported "below the fold," companies around the world have grappled with a general business downturn, wrestled with the threat of their own insolvency or that of their customers or suppliers, and basically tried to maintain their ground in an increasingly hostile financial environment.

All of these developments have enormous potential significance, much of it yet to unfold. These events have not only fueled litigation, but they have also presented D&O underwriters with a dramatically altered underwriting environment. The perils involve not only the challenge of underwriting financially troubled companies, but also the trial of underwriting in the context of rapidly changing (and deteriorating) conditions in the financial and credit markets.

During 2008, the world became significantly more dangerous for D&O underwriters. All signs suggest the current perilous conditions will continue into 2009, and perhaps beyond.

2. Financial Market Disruptions Hit Major Insurers: The turmoil in the financial markets also battered three insurers that are major players in the D&O marketplace. AIG’s woes required an enormous government bailout. XL and Hartford both faced differing degrees of turbulence due to write-downs in their respective investment portfolios.

Each of one of these insurers is dealing with their own unique set of circumstances. Rating agencies have noted and responded to these developments. Insurance buyers remain anxious and wary. The implications of these developments, both for each of these insurers and for the marketplace as a whole, remain to be seen. At a minimum, these events have disrupted the D&O insurance marketplace and introduced a significant element of uncertainty. The disruptive impact from these developments is likely to continue to affect the D&O industry throughout 2009.

3. Subprime and Credit Crisis Litigation Wave Rolls On: The subprime litigation wave that began in 2007 continued to surge in 2008, as there were 101 new subprime and credit-crisis related securities lawsuits filed during 2008, bringing the two-year total to 141. My running tally of the subprime and credit crisis-related securities lawsuits can be accessed here.

As time has passed, the litigation wave has continued to evolve; for example, the 2008 subprime and credit crisis-related litigation included as many as 21 auction rate securities lawsuits all of which were filed in the earlier part of 2008. Later in the year, a string of lawsuits initiated by holders of preferred or subordinated securities emerged (as discussed here).

In February 2009, the subprime and credit crisis-related litigation wave will enter its third year, but the phenomenon shows no signs of abating. The credit crisis-related securities lawsuits continued to accumulate throughout 2008. Of the 101 subprime and credit crisis-related lawsuits filed in 2008, 45 were filed in the second half of the year, including ten in December alone.

The credit crisis lawsuit filings remained high as the year ended, suggesting that significant credit crisis litigation activity will continue well into 2009 and perhaps beyond.

4. Credit Crisis Litigation Spreads Beyond the Financial Sector: As massive as the subprime and credit crisis-related litigation wave has been, it had until recently been concentrated in the financial sector. But as 2008 wore on, and largely as a result of the dramatic events in the global financial markets during September and October 2008, the litigation wave spread beyond the financial sector.

The companies that have become involved in this extended litigation wave include, for example, those that had significant exposure to Lehman Brothers or other companies that collapsed this fall. (Refer here and here for discussion of these "new wave" credit crisis lawsuits). In addition, companies that have been drawn in include companies that made wrong way bets on commodities or currencies (about which refer here).

These developments suggest that the credit crisis-related litigation wave may have entered a dangerous new phase, as I discuss at greater length here. These developments also underscore the challenges for D&O underwriters in the current environment.

My complete rundown of all 2008 securities litigation can be found here.

5. Bank Failures Surge: Led by the FDIC’s assumption of control of Washington Mutual in the largest bank failure in U.S. history, bank failures surged in 2008. According to the FDIC’s website (here), there were 25 bank failures in 2008, the highest annual total since 1994, at the end of the last era of failed banks. Perhaps even more significantly, the pace of bank closures increased as the year progressed; 21 of the 2008 bank closures took place in the second half of 2008, 12 of them in the fourth quarter.

In many ways, other financial events have overshadowed this sudden surge in bank failures. Indeed, as I noted here, the WaMu failure, the largest in U.S. history, has largely been relegated to yesterday’s news pile. But the timing and pace of the bank closures during 2008 suggests that there are likely to be further bank failures ahead, carrying with it the threat of associated "dead bank" litigation, a possibility I previously discussed here.

6. Madoff Scandal Triggers Litigation Torrent: The revelation of the massive Ponzi scheme involving Bernard Madoff and his firm has triggered a wave of litigation as aggrieved investors scrambled to try to recoup their losses. The first Madoff-related lawsuits targeted Madoff and his firm. But given the unlikelihood of a significant recovery there, investors have quickly moved on to other targets. A running tally of the Madoff investor litigation can be accessed here.

The primary Madoff-related litigation targets are the so-called "feeder funds" that invested with Madoff on their clients behalf. Recent blog posts discussing these "feeder funds" lawsuits can be found here and here. Given the magnitude of the investor losses and the depth of investor outrage, these lawsuits are likely to continue to accrue for some time to come. Press reports (for example, here) suggest that lawyers are gearing up for a litigation onslaught.

7. Presidential Election Signals Changes: I don’t know whether you heard, but there was an election in November. The coming changes in the White House as well as the increased Democratic majority in Congress could signal significant future legislative and other developments.

The arrival of the new administration will likely mean a change in direction for judicial appointments. A more interesting question is whether the Democratic control of Congress and the White House could lead to legislative changes in the securities laws. As discussed at the PLUS International Conference in November (about which refer here), the current financial turmoil could be used as a justification for legislative reform efforts – for example, an attempt to overturn Central Bank and Stoneridge.

At a minimum, the coming changes in the leadership at the SEC, together with a different leadership interpretation of the meaning and value of regulation, could lead to a changed environment for the enforcement of the securities laws.

8. Largest-Ever Fine Underscores the Growing Significance of the FCPA: For some time now (most recently here), I have been writing about the growing importance of Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) enforcement activity and associated civil litigation. The FCPA mounting significance was dramatically underscored recently when Siemens agreed to pay an $800 million fine.

The Siemens fine is the largest ever, dwarfing the previous record fine, paid by Baker Hughes, of $44 million (about which refer here). The outcome of the Siemens investigation is merely the latest development in a long chain of events highlighting the growing importance of the FCPA.

As I have previously noted (refer here), one of the usual accompaniments of an FCPA investigation is follow-on civil litigation. As the threat of FCPA-related exposure continues to grow, the threat of follow-on civil litigation will also increase.

The FCPA Blog has a detailed overview of 2008 FCPA enforcement activity here.

9. Defense Expense Tests Limits Adequacy: Companies ensnared in high stakes litigation may find themselves confronting an unexpected new challenge – the increasing likelihood that defense costs alone could exhaust the entire amount of available D&O insurance coverage. This threat was unfortuntately realized in connection with the Collins & Aikman bankruptcy and related criminal proceeding (about which refer here), where accumulated defense expense exhausted the company’s entire $50 million D&O insurance, before the criminal case even went to trial.

The possibility that escalating defense expense could entirely deplete available insurance presents a frightening prospect for individuals involved in a serious D&O claim, and also raises troubling questions about traditional notions of limits adequacy. In addition, the possibility of total limits exhaustion as the result of the requirements of multiple claims and multiple insureds underscores the need for insurance buyers to consider alternative insurance structures (such as, for example, separate insurance for an individual or a group of individuals) to ensure that segregated funds remain available in the event of a catastrophic claim.

10. Indemnity Developments Trigger Additional Insurance Structure Concerns: In the Schoon v. Troy case (about which refer here), the Delaware Chancery Court held that a board of directors properly could eliminate former directors' advancement rights retroactively. The possibility that former directors could lose their rights to advancement or indemnification comes as unwelcome news to many directors.

This case development, like the development about limits adequacy noted above, highlights the need to address program structure as part of the insurance acquisition process. In general, directors and officers have become more concerned about the availability of insurance protection when they need it most. As a result, interest in a wider variety of auxiliary insurance structures has increased. These structures can include new insurance solutions designed for the needs of retiring directors.

In a year as eventful as 2008, reasonable minds could differ about what events deserve to be included in any Top Ten list. I am very interested in readers’ views about the top stories, particularly those who feel that other events deserved to be included on the list.

More "Top" Lists: Making year-end lists seems to be a nearly universal phenomenon, and Top Ten lists abound. Time Magazine simplified things by creating "The Top Ten of Everything of 2008," which can be found here.

Then  there are always the lists of the "Bottom Ten," like Business Week’s list of the Ten Worst Predictions About 2008 (here). Fortune has a list (here) of the "dumbest" business decisions of 2008, but given the kind of year 2008 was, a list of just ten was not enough – the magazine’s targets 21 business decisions as "dumbest."

Perhaps the most entertaining "Top" list is VideoGum’s list of the Top Viral Videos of 2008, which can be viewed below. (Viewer discretion is advised as some persons may find some of the content offensive.)

PLUS D&O Symposium: Readers will also want to be sure to register for the annual PLUS D&O Symposium, which will be held on February 25 and 26, 2009, at the Marriott Marquis Hotel in New York. Information about the Symposium, including registration instructions, can be found here.

The Symposium will feature an all-star cast, including keynote speakers Madeline Albright and NY Insurance Department Superintendant Eric Dinallo. Wilson Sonsini partner Boris Feldman will once again be moderating the annual panel on securities litigation developments. The schedule also includes a panel on Bankruptcies and Bailouts, with panelists including VJ Dowling of Dowling & Partners Securities and David Bradford of Advisen.

The conference will also include a replay of the excellent video, "The Rise and Fall of Bill Lerach" (a movie trailer for which can be found here). Stanford Law Professor Joseph Grundfest will lead a panel discussion of the video. The video was shown at the PLUS International Conference in November 2008 and received rave reviews.

Readers with any questions about the Symposium should feel free to drop me a note or give me a call.

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As other commentators previously have noted (refer here), the pace of securities lawsuit filings increased significantly in 2008 compared to recent years. According to my tally, there were 224 new securities lawsuits filed in 2008. The 2008 total represents a 30% increase over the 172 securities lawsuits filed in 2007, and an 88% increase over the 119 securities lawsuits filed in 2006.

The 2008 filing total also represents the highest annual filing total since 2004. All signs seem to indicate that the heightened filing levels will continue into 2009.

My 2008 securities lawsuit filing tally reflects a lower number than the figures NERA Economic Consulting recently published (refer here), and in that regard I urge readers to refer to my comments below about the particular complications associated with "counting" securities lawsuits in 2008.

Overall Observations

The most significant factor in this year’s heightened securities litigation filing activity was the number of subprime and credit crisis-related securities lawsuit filings. Of the 224 new securities cases filed in 2008, 101 were subprime or credit crisis-related. As reflected on my running tally of subprime and credit crisis-related securities lawsuits, which can be accessed here, there have been 141 total of these cases filed overall during 2007 and 2008 combined.

One factor that increased the number of subprime-related lawsuit filings in 2008 was the influx of auction rate securities lawsuit filings (about which refer here). There were 21 of these auction rate securities lawsuits filed in 2008, largely in the first half of the year.

Another factor that increased the 2008 filings was the influx of Madoff-related litigation during December 2008. My running tally of the Madoff lawsuits can be found here. Investors have initiated Madoff-related securities class action lawsuits against at least seven distinct investment groups, and every sign is that this litigation will continue to flood in during the early weeks and months of 2009.

2008 Filings by SIC Code

The predominance of the subprime and credit crisis-related litigation during 2008 is borne out in the profile of the companies that were sued in securities lawsuits during the year. Though the companies targeted represent over 90 different Standard Industrial Classifications (SIC) Codes, fully 99 of the lawsuits hit companies with SIC Codes in the 6000 series (Finance, Insurance and Real Estate), including 19 in SIC Code 6021 (National Commercial Banks) and 20 in SIC Code 6211 (Security Brokers and Dealers).

There were a number of securities lawsuit defendants entities in 2008 that have no SIC Code designated. These defendants include mutual funds, private investment firms and other entities. By my count, there were as many as 23 new lawsuits filed in 2008 against entities that lack an SIC designation. In most cases, these entities are involved in investment or financial services-related businesses, which even further underscores the fact that much of the securities litigation activity in 2008 was concentrated in the financial sector.

But while securities suits against companies in the financial sector were a predominant factor in the 2008 securities lawsuits filings, there were other SIC Code categories that also saw significant litigation activity, including SIC Code 3674 (Semiconductors) which also saw ten filings; SIC Code 2834 (Pharmaceutical Preparations) which saw nine lawsuit filings; and SIC Code 3845 (Electromedical and Electrotherapeutic Apparatus) which had five.

In addition, while the credit crisis lawsuits hit the financial sector hard, the credit crisis litigation wave spread outside the financial sector as the year progressed and the financial turmoil spread. As I noted here, and as a result of the dramatic events in the financial markets during September and October 2008, a number of companies outside the financial sector were hit with credit crisis-related lawsuits, particularly those with exposure to Lehman Brothers, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, or those that made wrong-way bets on currencies or commodities.

State and Court Distribution of Filings and Defendants

The concentration of cases in the financial sector also affected the geographic distribution of the 2008 case filings. Though securities lawsuits were filed in 48 different federal district courts (as well as several state courts), 97 of the 224 securities filings in 2008 were filed in the Southern District of New York. The federal district with the second highest number of new lawsuit filings was the Northern District of California, where 12 new securities lawsuits were filed. Other districts with a significant number of filings include the District of Massachusetts (10), and the Central District of California (9).

Another factor contributing to the significant number of filings in the Southern District of New York was the number of lawsuits filed there against foreign-domiciled companies. Overall, there were 34 foreign companies sued in securities lawsuits in 2008, all but five of which were initiated in the Southern District of New York. The 34 foreign companies sued represented 17 different countries, with the largest number from Canada (8), China (5) and Switzerland (4).

The domestic U.S. companies hit with securities lawsuits were based in 31 different states, and the District of Columbia. The state with the largest number of new securities lawsuits was New York (42), followed by California (23), Massachusetts (13) and Ohio (10).

The Pace of Filings and Likely Future Trends

The pace of new lawsuit filings increased during the year, with 105 during the first half and 119 in the second half. The fact that the fourth quarter, with 67 new filings, was the most active quarter during the year, together with the fact that there were a significant number of filings (30) in December (typically a quiet month for securities lawsuit filings), suggests that the heightened level of securities filings will continue into 2009. Indeed, the filings in the fourth quarter of 2008 and during December 2008 represent, respectively, the highest quarterly and monthly totals in more than five years.

My conclusion that the increased securities litigation activity levels will continue in 2009 is reinforced by the likelihood that the credit crisis litigation wave will continue to spread outside the financial sector in 2009.

Some Comments about "Counting": One reason for the wide disparity in the various published versions of the 2008 securities lawsuit filings is that the seemingly simple task of counting lawsuits was particularly complicated during 2008.

One complication is that some companies were sued multiple different times by different sets of claimants, on different legal theories, or with respect to different sets of circumstances. For example, one historically unusual phenomenon that recurred during 2008 was the initiation of new securities lawsuits initiated by preferred shareholders or subordinate securities holders (about which refer here). The multiplication of lawsuits involving different claimants or different legal theories but related defendants raised a continuing series of questions whether or not a new action does or does not represent a separate lawsuit that should be separately counted.

This question whether or not a separate complaint represents a new lawsuit was particularly complicated with respect to the Madoff-related litigation that flooded in during the final weeks of December. As reflected in my running tally of these lawsuits, which can be accessed here, there have already been multiple lawsuits against related Madoff-feeder funds. Reasonable minds might well differ as to whether or not a particular complaint represents an entirely new lawsuit or simply a related or duplicate complaint.

Another attribute of this multiplicity of lawsuit filings is that the number of new lawsuits filed may be significantly different than the number of companies sued, as some companies were sued multiple times in multiple different lawsuits. As a result, there may be a certain amount of double counting associated with some of the lawsuit tallies or some of the analysis of lawsuit filings.

Yet another factor complicating the counting is that during 2008 plaintiffs initiated a number of securities class action lawsuits in state court (about which I previously commented here). In many instances these lawsuits are difficult simply to find. The inclusion of these cases, and the uncertainty around their numbers, could significantly affect the overall lawsuit tally.

As has been increasingly the case in recent years, it has become progressively more difficult simply to maintain definitional clarity about what exactly is being counted. To clarify what I have been tracking, I try to count class action lawsuits that allege violations of the federal securities laws. That said, I have excluded certain lawsuits that other reasonable minds might include. For example, I generally exclude merger objection lawsuits. In addition, I generally exclude lawsuits in which the securities allegation is simply that the defendants failed to register securities. On the other hand, I include lawsuits even if the defendant entity is not a publicly traded entity (for example, if the defendant is a private equity fund or a hedge fund.)

Because of these definitional issues, it is almost inevitable that various tallies of the 2008 securities lawsuits will differ.

UPDATE: The WSJ.com Law Blog has a January 5, 2009 post (here) regarding the 2008 securiteis class action filings. The Law Blog entry links to this post and includes comments from a number of commentators and practitioners in the field.

Impact on D&O Pricing?: The uptick in securities lawsuit filings in 2008 might well be expected to have an upward impact on D&O pricing, and indeed it may yet have that effect. But particular features of the 2008 filings might moderate that expected effect.

First, the concentration of the filings in the financial sector means that the impact from the heightened filing levels is not widespread throughout the D&O industry. D&O carriers are not yet experiencing the impact of the filing levels across their entire portfolio, and carriers that do not have significant financial industry exposure may not yet be experiencing elevated claims activity, although that likely will change as the credit crisis litigation wave spreads outside the financial sector.

Second, even with respect to the heightened activity levels, the impact is muted somewhat by the multiple different lawsuit filings against the same companies. The D&O impact from the third, fourth or fifth new lawsuit against the same company may not increase the aggregate losses to which insurance applies. Because the number of companies sued is less than the number of new lawsuits initiated, the aggregate claims frequency level is less than the overall filing levels might indicate.

Third, many of the defendant entities are not publicly traded companies. As I noted above, many of the defendant entities in new 2008 lawsuits were mutual funds, investment partnerships, hedge funds, or other investment vehicles. The incidence of litigation against these types of entities would have only an indirect impact at most on the market for public company D&O insurance.

Fourth, a significant amount of the securities litigation activity in 2008 involved claims likelier to create errors and omissions (E&O) insurance losses, rather than D&O losses. For example, the Madoff-related litigation and the auction rate securities litigation may or may not produce D&O insurance losses, but may well produce significant E&O losses. The spread of losses to other insurance lines could dilute the overall impact from the 2008 litigation on the D&O carriers.

Fifth, most of these cases are still in their earliest stages, and it will be some time yet before the losses begin to accrue. Until loss payments begin to mount, D&O pricing is unlikely to make dramatic changes (at least as a result of securities filing activity levels).

All of that said, the increase in litigation activity in 2008, together with the disruption involving market leader AIG and other leading carriers, as well as the prospect for continued significant litigation activity in 2009, are likely to create uncertain conditions in the D&O marketplace and could lead to increased carrier caution as 2009 progresses. Indeed, Advisen, a leading industry observer, is predicting that a hard market for insurance will develop toward the end of 2009 (about which refer here).

2008: The Year in Review: Readers interested in learning more about the 2008 securities litigation trends will want to the January 6, 2009 webcast sponsored by Securities Docket.

I will be participating in this free webcast, which will begin at 2 pm EST, along with a number of my esteemed fellow bloggers, including the Securities Docket’s own Bruce Carton; Walter Olson of the Point of Law blog; Tom Gorman of the SEC Actions blog; Francine McKenna of the Re: The Auditors blog; and Lyle Roberts of the 10b-5 Daily blog. Further information about the podcast can be found here.

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Securities lawsuit filings reached a six-year high in 2008, according to a year-end report released today by NERA Economic Consulting. The report, entitled "2008 Trends in Securities Class Actions" (here), was written by NERA economists Stephanie Plancich and Svetlana Starykh, and reports that through December 14, 2008, there were 255 securities class action filings, up from only 131 filings in 2006 and 195 filings in 2007. NERA's December 18, 2008 press release regarding the report can be found here.

If the "atypical" cases (e.g., IPO laddering) are excluded from the comparison, the 2008 filings are "on pace to reach a 10-year high." The filings are also on pace for a 37% increase over 2007 and the highest annual increase since 2002 (the year of the corporate scandals).

The report attributes the "surge" in filings to the credit crisis. Of the 255 YTD filings, 110 were credit crisis related, and almost 50% of cases involved defendants in the financial sector, as compared to only 16% of cases in the 2005-06 period. (My table of the credit crisis-related securities lawsuit filings can be accessed  here.)

But while the financial sector saw increased litigation activity, "other sectors also saw continued filing activity." For example, though lawsuits against companies in the health technology sector declined as a percentage of all filings, the absolute number of filings against companies in the health technology sector increased, as there were 29 filings against health technology companies in 2008, compared to only 19 in 2006.

The 2008 filings have been concentrated in the second and ninth circuits. The second circuit filings were increased by the large number of filings in the Southern District of New York, particularly financial companies domiciled there.

Though the pattern of increased filing activity in 2008 is clear, "there have been no clear increasing or decreasing trends in the patter of resolutions." The report notes that median settlements have "remained relatively stable." The 2008 median settlement of $7.5 million is slightly below the 2007 median of $9.4 million, but above the 2006 median of $7.0 milllion.

Average settlements, which can be substantially affected by large settlements, were up in 2008 relative to 2007. The average settlement in 2008 was $38 million, up from $31 million in 2007, but well below the post-Sarbanes Oxley average from 2003 to 2008 of $45 million. (The annual average settlement has ranged from $21 million to $82 million during this six-year period.)

The report does observe that over time there has been an increase in the dollar value of claimed investor losses, from about $120 million ten years ago, to around $340 million during 2008. However, the ratio of median settlement to median investor losses has "stayed relatively steady in the 2-3% range over the past few years."

Looking forward, the report notes that there could be "two opposing factors" that could determine whether or not average or median settlements will increase in the future. On the one hand, investor losses associated with the credit crisis lawsuits in 2008 are very large, which could be "an indicator of big settlements to come." On the other hand, the credit crisis has "dramatically shrunk the size of many defendants’ pockets." Lower financial wherewithal might operate as a downward force on settlement values.

The report concludes that "only time will tell if the huge investor losses for credit crisis filings may put upward press on median settlements in the future, or if the financial distress faced by defendant companies may pull median settlement values down."

My own observations on the 2008 securities litigation activity will be detailed in my year-end analysis, which will be forthcoming after the first of the new year. UPDATE: My year end analysis can be found here. For now, I note a few things.

First, this has been an extraordinarily difficult year in which to just try and count the cases. For example, many litigation targets have been sued multiple times by different claimants, whether they are shareholders who acquired their shares over different time periods, or they are security holders with different classes of equity interests. Whether a new filing should or should not be "counted" has been difficult. Further complicating this has been the large number of state court filings, which are difficult just to find. I emphasize this point simply because there is going to be a significant variation in the various commentators’ year-end reports about how many filings there were this year. My own count is lower than NERA’s.

Second, while the 2008 filings were significantly increased by filings against companies in the financial sector, as the year has progressed and the impact of the credit crisis has become more widespread, the credit crisis-related filings have spread outside the financial sector (refer for example here).

Third, you may see comments elsewhere that the 2008 filings were inflated by one-time sector events, like the auction rate securities lawsuits. While this is true, the recent surge of litigation activity involving the Madoff victims demonstrates that in many ways the pace of securities litigation activity is simply a reflection of a series of supposed one-time events. The mere fact that there is an identifiable event arguably may be irrelevant to analyses of current or future filing trends.

Fourth, the NERA report makes no projections about what is likely to happen to the pace of filing activity in 2009. My own view is that the current active filing pace is likely to continue well into 2009 and perhaps beyond. Among other things, filing activity has been elevated over the last several weeks, which is unusual for December, historically a slow month. The continued spread of credit crisis filings outside the financial sector is likely to continue in 2009. Moreover, the impacts of the financial downturn will begin to emerge as company’s report their 2008 results and as the year progresses, which could contribute to litigation activity.

As I said, my own report will be forthcoming. I am very interested in hearing readers’ thoughts and reactions in the interim.

Special thanks to Ben Seggerson of NERA for providing me with a copy of the NERA report.

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Has the "due diligence" standard articulated in the WorldCom securities litigation produced an increase in the Section 11 litigation? That is the question addressed in David J. Michaels’s November 29, 2008 paper entitled "An Empirical Study of Securities Litigation After World Com" (here).

In this post, I review the analysis based upon which Michaels contends that, due to the WorldCom due diligence decision, Section 11 filings have increased as a percentage of all securities lawsuits, followed by my own discussion of the data on which Michaels relies.

The Author’s Analysis

Outside directors historically have had little Section 11 liability exposure, owing to their ability to rely on Section 11’s due diligence defense. Michaels notes that courts generally have found outside directors’ due diligence obligations to be minimal. However, Michaels contends, the Southern District of New York’s Section 11 due diligence decision in In re WorldCom Securities Litigation, 2005 WL 638268 (S.D.N.Y. 2005) (refer here) "significantly changed the landscape for outside directors" by holding them to a "stringent standard of liability."

A more detailed review of the impact of the WorldCom litigation on the due diligence defense can be found here.

Michaels hypothesized that because the WorldCom decision represents a change in the due diligence standard, making it easier for plaintiffs to pursue Section 11 claims (particularly against outside directors), securities cases under Section 11 would increase. In order to test this hypothesis, Michaels examined the ratio of securities filings asserting Section 11 claims to Section 10b-5 filings during the period 2002 through 2007, using data from the Stanford Law School Class Action Clearinghouse website. Because the court issued the WorldCom opinion in March 2005, the period selected included both years preceding and following the decision.

Michaels reported the following ratios of Section 11 filings to Section 10b-5 filings for the years 2002 through 2007:

2002 13%

2003 11%

2004 6%

2005 10%

2006 13%

2007 23%

Michaels concludes that these data suggest an "abnormal rise in Section 11 filings." Michaels concedes that "it is difficult [to] prove a causal relationship between WorldCom and the rise in Section 11 filings," he nevertheless asserts that it "is reasonable to attribute causation of the rise in Section 11 filings to WorldCom." In support of this conclusion, Michaels states:

Consider the following series of events. Prior to WorldCom, Section 11 filings were relatively constant; WorldCom comes along and greatly alters 35 years of precedent by making it easier for plaintiffs to survive a motion for summary judgment; Section 11 filings increase.

Michaels ends his paper by arguing that the upward trend in Section 11 cases will continue, but also that WorldCom’s holding applying a stringent standard to outside directors’ "due diligence" defenses is contrary to the ’33 Act’s purposes. He proposes a safe harbor for outside directors that "would exclude from liability outside directors who follow certain procedures designed to inform them of all material information surrounding a given offering."

Discussion

Michaels may be correct that the WorldCom decision will result in an increase in Section 11 filings. Reasonable minds may differ on whether the data support his conclusion that there already has been a demonstrable increase in Section 11 filings. Those same reasonable minds might hesitate before jumping to any conclusions about the causes of any increase that arguably may have taken place. A more conservative view is that it is at best premature to reach any conclusions in that regard.

First, the data on which Michaels relies represents only a brief time period. Since the WorldCom opinion was issued in 2005, that data from calendar year 2005 represent only a partial year. Michaels’s analysis places an enormous weight on data from just two years, 2006 and 2007. Michaels does not explain why he believes a data set that small is sufficient to support his conclusions.

Second, Michaels does not consider whether or not there were external factors that may have affected securities filings during the period after the WorldCom decision. In fact, it has been well documented (refer, for example, here) that there was a filing "lull" during the period from mid-2005 through mid-2007, in which there were an historically low number of securities filings overall. Michaels does not even mention this fact, nor does he consider whether the filing levels during that period may suggest that other factors may have been at work during this period.

Third, although Michaels is convinced that there was an "abnormal rise" in the Section 11 filings after WorldCom, the only thing I can conclude from looking at the data is that something was going on during 2007, as the 2005 and 2006 data are consistent with the prior years’ data. Michaels is essentially arguing the filing activity in a single year supports his hypothesis. Again, Michaels does not consider whether or not there may have been some anomalous factor behind the 2007 data.

My own prior review of the 2007 filing data (refer here) concluded that a significant number of the overall 2007 filings involved companies that conducted IPOs during the 12 months prior to getting sued. Many of these IPO cases involved foreign domiciled companies. Perhaps it may be concluded that the 2007 uptick in Section 11 litigation was due to a wave of IPOs involving foreign companies that were not ready to go public. At a minimum, there are certainly other plausible explanations for the 2007 uptick in Section 11 litigation other than the WorldCom decision alone.

Not only does Michaels fail to consider other possible explanations for the anomalies in the data, but the basis on which he nevertheless argues that WorldCom decision alone explains the supposed increase is also suspect.

In effect, he urges us to conclude that because the supposed increase in Section 11 filings came after the WorldCom decision, the decision must have been the cause of the supposed increase. This analysis arguably represents an example of the logical fallacy post hoc ergo propter hoc (after this, therefore because of this). Essentially, Michaels is trying to substitute chronological sequence for causation. However, the mere order of events does not rule out other factors that might explain the data, as the preceding paragraph shows.

From my perspective, given the anomalousness of the 2007 data, it is premature to reach any conclusions without the opportunity to consider subsequent years’ data, to see, for example, whether the 2007 uptick represented a trend or (as I strongly suspect) is merely a statistical outlier. I can say from my own informal review of the 2008 year to date filing data, a much smaller percentage of 2008 cases involve IPOs (14 out of 195 year to date in 2008, compared to 29 out of 172 in 2007), which suggests that the number of Section 11 filings will prove to have been down substantially in 2008 compared to 2007.

The decline in 2008 IPO-related lawsuits is hardly surprising given the downturn in the number of IPOs in recent months. Given the low level of IPO activity during 2008, and indeed the low level of securities offerings of any kind, it seems probable that Section 11 litigation could well taper off in the months ahead. All of which suggests to me the inadvisability of trying to make a few months of filing data support sweeping conclusions.

It may well be, as Michaels argues, that WorldCom’s articulation of the Section 11 due diligence standard arguably is inconsistent with the ’33 Act’s goals, particularly to the extent it may result in the imposition of greater Section 11 liability on outside directors. I simply disagree with Michaels’s conclusion that WorldCom decision has demonstrably caused an increase in Section 11 filings. Michaels’s hypothesis may or may not eventually prove to be correct, but it will be a significantly longer period of time than he has allowed before we can reach any conclusions.

Special thanks to Werner Kranenburg of the With Vigour and Zeal blog for the link to Michaels’s article.

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Following close on the heels of the Cornerstone mid-year report released earlier in the day, on July 29, 2008, NERA Economic Consulting also released its mid-year 2008 securities class action report entitled “2008 Trends: Subprime and Auction Rate Cases Continue to Drive Filings, and Large Settlements Keep Averages High” (here). A copy of the July 29 press release describing the NERA Report can be found here.

The NERA Report differs in its numerical particulars from the Cornerstone Report, but the two reports are at least directionally consistent. The NERA Report is also directionally consistent with my own mid-year securities litigation study, which can be found here.

According to the NERA Report, there were 139 securities lawsuits filed in the first half of 2008 (by way of comparison, Cornerstone has the number at 110). Based on NERA’s analysis, the 2008 filings are on pace to reach almost 280 (compared to Cornerstone’s estimate of 220). The NERA Report, like prior mid-year reports concludes that the increased pace of filing activity is largely driven by the current subprime and credit crisis-related litigation.

The NERA Report also concludes that market volatility is positively correlated with the number of securities class action filings, and the “if market volatility is higher during a quarter, controlling for market returns, filings are likely to be higher in the same quarter.”

The NERA Report also notes that “the probability of a suit rises with the size of the price decline: whereas only 9% of drops of 20-30% are followed by a shareholder class action within three months, almost 31% of drops of 40% or more are followed by a filing within that time frame.”

Taking into account the settlements over $1 billion, the average settlement in the first half of the year remained around $30 million, but excluding the $1 billion settlements reduces the average first half settlement to around $10 million. The median settlement in the first half of 2008 was $6.2 million. Both the average and median are below similar figures for recent years.

However, the Report also notes that the investor losses associated with the recently filed lawsuits were substantially higher than the median for cases settled in the 2005-2007 time frame, suggesting that the 2008 cases (largely driven by the subprime-related cases) potentially could result in much larger settlements.

The Report also contains interesting and detailed information regarding the 21 cases that have gone to trial since the enactment of the PSLRA.

The NERA Report is quite detailed and very interesting, and contains numerous other useful observations beyond those summarized here.

The material divergence in lawsuit count between the NERA Report and the Cornerstone Report (and for that matter between the NERA Report and my own mid-year analysis) is a cause of concern for anyone interested in a precise understanding of the current lawsuit trends. In my own mid-year analysis of the 2008 securities lawsuit filings, I noted some of the reasons why “counting” lawsuits is particularly difficult in the current environment, and some of those factors undoubtedly are at work here.

But these foreseeable difficulties notwithstanding, the divergence in the numbers is disconcerting. Because so many observers depend on these respectable sources to understand securities litigation developments, it is troublesome when the sources disagree so widely. If these industry sources are unwilling to make their lawsuit lists publicly available, it would be helpful if these sources would at least identify their sorting criteria. I know from my own experience that there are a lot of decisions that must be made about which lawsuits should be included and which should be kept out. At least with the benefit of these sorting criteria, we could try to understand the differences.

In the past, it has always been sufficient for me to recognize the numerical differences between different reports while noting their directional consistency. But the difference in count between the two leading reports of 29 lawsuits is a material difference. The differences in their respective year-end projections are even more dramatic. Differences of this degree not only cause problems for industry participants and observers. Without suggesting one way or another where the issues may be, at some level, questions regarding consistency and even reliability start coming into the picture.

I welcome comments from responsible sources on the issues surrounding the diverging lawsuit counts. There could be significant value in a public discussion of these issues and I would be particulary interested in adding comments to this post from the respective research groups that track this information.

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