The Credit Default Swap Litigation Threat

In a prior post (here), I described the growing litigation risk arising out of credit default swap (CDS) transactions. In their recent overview of subprime-related litigation entitled “The Pebble and the Pool: The (Global) Expansion of Subprime Litigation” (here), John Doherty and Richard Hans of the Thacher Proffitt and Wood law firm note that “more lawsuits involving credit default swaps are likely to be initiated in the near future, as the current trend has the potential for huge losses resulting from the defaults on ‘high-yield’ or ‘junk” bonds in connection with the general market failure.”

In a June 1, 2008 article entitled “First Came the Swap. Then It’s the Knives” (here), New York Times columnist Gretchen Morgenson takes a close look at one failed CDS transaction and the litigation that has followed, about which she quotes “experts” as saying that the case is “the first of what will likely be a flood of disputes between big banks and hedge funds that typically strike swap deals.”

The swap involved was issued by a Paramax Capital hedge fund in early 2007 to insure $1.31 bilion of AAA-rated super senior notes that “reflected performance of subprime mortgages in a collateralized debt obligation underwritten by UBS.” The Paramax fund, which itself had just $200 million in capital, organized a special purpose entity capitalized with just $4.6 million, to conduct the swap. Paramax was to receive an annual fee of 0.155 percent of the notes’ $1.31 billion value (or slightly more than $2 million), and would be subject to additional collateral requirements if the notes’ value declined.

Over the course of 2007, UBS presented escalating requirements that Paramax post a total of $33 million in additional collateral. When Paramax refused, UBS sued. According to the Times article, Paramax now contends that a UBS managing director (no longer with the company) induced Paramax to enter the transaction, and to address Paramax’s concern that it might be called upon to post additional collateral, reassured Paramax that the mark-to-market risk on the underlying securities was low because UBS used “subjective valuations” designed to reduce the impact of market fluctuations.

As detailed further in the Times article, there are a number of interesting things about this transaction. From my perspective, the most noteworthy aspect is that UBS considered a special purpose entity with only $4.6 million in capital to be an appropriate source of default insurance for instruments with a face value of $1.31 billion. UBS’s contractual right to demand additional collateral from the hedge fund, which itself had capital of only $200 million (which presumably was deployed in other ways and accordingly unavailable in its entirety as additional collateral), seems a woefully inadequate explanation for this transaction.

The Naked Capitalism blog (here) notes that “UBS was clearly well aware of Paramax’s limits, so the next question is: was UBS solely responsible for pulling a fast one on the CDO buyers or is Paramax a co-conspirator?”

This litigation between UBS and Paramax resembles the CDO Plus litigation I discussed in my prior post (here) about swaps. In those cases as well, a thinly capitalized hedge fund was unable to meet demands for additional collateral and wound up in litigation with the large commercial banks that had purchased CDS protection from the fund. As consequences from the credit crisis continue to roll through the financial marketplace, CDS counterparties are likely to face further collateral demands, which can only fuel further litigation.

But the counterparties themselves are not the only potential litigants. Behind the CDS purchaser are the investors who made investments in the belief that the investment interests were “insured” against default. As it emerges that this insurance depended upon facially inadequate counterparties, investors may join the fray. As the Naked Capitalism blog post linked above notes, “since over 30% of the credit default swaps were written by hedge funds, many of whom were probably as incapable as Paramax of performing in the event of default, it’s not unreasonable to assume that some of these CDS lawsuits will lay the groundwork for investor litigation.”

Another aspect of the role of CDS in the financial marketplace is leading to yet another variety of CDS-related litigation. That is, because there is no requirement that a CDS buyer hold the underlying instruments, swaps are often used as a means to speculate on interest spreads. That means that these instruments can serve an investment purpose separate apart from their insurance purpose.

The problem for companies that have used swaps for investment purposes is that as a result of the credit turmoil, the market for these instruments in an uproar, and the instruments’ valuation has become uncertain. Indeed, as recent circumstances have shown, these valuation issues are present whether a company holds the swap as an investor or as an insurer. Several of the most significant recent financial institution asset write-downs have involved these CDS valuation uncertainties; for example, a substantial part of the recent write-downs of Swiss Re and of American International Group related to CDS valuation issues. Significantly, in both instances, shareholders litigation ensued following the write-downs. (Refer here regarding the Swiss Re litigation and refer here regarding the AIG litigation). It seems highly improbable that there will not be further shareholder litigation over these CDS valuation issues.

As reflected in the June 6, 2008 Wall Street Journal (here), the recent signs are that the turmoil in the financial marketplace is far from over , as a result of which the pressure on CDS will remain, and there likely will be further litigation. Even if only a tiny percentage of CDS transactions beget litigation, the problem could be huge. According to the International Swaps and Derivatives Association (here), the aggregate notional value of credit defaults swaps outstanding at the end of 2007 was $62 trillion, an amount which arguably exceeds the value of bank deposits worldwide. It is nearly three times the value of the U.S. stock markets.

With numbers that astronomical, even a small sliver represents a mammoth problem. With nominal values of $62 trillion, issues concerning valuation present a potentially frightening prospect for companies, their investors, and their insurers. As Time Magazine said in its recent article entitled “Credit Default Swaps: The Next Crisis?” (here), “a meltdown in the CDS market has potentially even wider ramifications nationwide than the subprime crisis.”

Susan Mangiero has an interesting post (here) on her Pension Risk Matters blog about these issues.

The “Pebble in the Pool” article I linked to above presents a very good overview of the subprime-related litigation generally and is worth reviewing on its own for those purposes.

Another Subprime-Related Lawsuit Against Mutual Fund: On June 5, 2008, plaintiffs’ attorneys initiated a securities class action lawsuit in the United States District Court for the District of Massachusetts under the Securities Act of 1933 on behalf of purchasers of the Fidelity Ultra-Short Bond Fund who purchased their fund shares within three years of the lawsuit’s filing.

According to the complaint (which can be found here), the defendants in the lawsuit include Fidelity Management & Research Company, which is the investment advisor to the Fidelity mutual funds, and related entities, and also include the 21 individual trustees of the Ultra-Short Bond Fund.

According to the plaintiffs’ lawyers’ June 5, 2008 press release describing the complaint (which can be found here), the plaintiffs allege that the defendants solicited investors to purchase fund shares by making statements that described the fund as a fund that “(i) “Seeks a high level of current income consistent with the preservation of capital”; (ii) “allocates its assets across different market sectors and maturities”; (iii) has a “similar overall interest rate risk to the Lehman Brothers® 6 Month Swap Index”; and (iv) is geared toward the “preservation of capital.”  

The complaint alleges that these statements were false because “defendants did not adequately disclose the risks associated with investing in the Fund, including, for example, that the Fund was: (i) failing to compete with the Lehman Brothers® 6 Month Swap Index; and (ii) so heavily invested in high-risk mortgage-backed securities.”

I have added this case to my running tally of subprime-related litigation, which can be found here. With the addition of this lawsuit, the tally now stands at 86 subprime-related securities class action lawsuits, of which 46 have been filed in 2008.

I note that by my count, this new lawsuit represents the fourth subprime-related lawsuit against a mutual fund or mutual fund family. The other include Calamos Global Dynamic Income Fund (about which refer here), Regions Morgan Keegan Funds (refer here), and the Schwab Yield Plus Fund (refer here).

"Subprime" Litigation? More Like "Credit Crisis" Litigation

A lawsuit filed late last week against First Marblehead Corporation underscores that the current lawsuit onslaught so often referred to as the “subprime” litigation wave is, and really has been for awhile, about so much more than just subprime. Although we are probably stuck with the “subprime” label as a shorthand way to describe these developments, the label encompasses a credit crisis that goes far beyond subprime lending.

First Marblehead is a Massachusetts-based company in the business of underwriting, packaging and securitizing student loans. Operating out of First Marblehead’s offices is a nonprofit organization called The Education Resources Institute (“TERI”) that provides guarantees of student loans that First Marblehead originates. On April 10, 2008, plaintiffs’ lawyers filed a securities class action lawsuit in the United States District Court for the District of Massachusetts against First Marblehead and certain of its directors and officers. A copy of the plaintiffs’ counsel’s April 10 press release can be found here. A copy of the complaint can be found here.

The complaint alleges that during the class period of August 10, 2006 to April 7, 2008, the defendants made material misrepresentations “concerning the performance and quality of First Marblehead’s securitizations, its ability to perform additional securitizations, TERI’s ability to adequately guarantee [First Marblehead’s] student loans, and the Company’s financial results and its ongoing operations.” The complaint alleges that the company “misrepresented the level of default rates in its portfolio,” and “disregarded that TERI was underreserved and unable to adequately insure” the company’s loans. According to the complaint, TERI filed for bankruptcy protection on April 7, 2008, and the company’s stock plunged.

The First Marblehead lawsuit has nothing directly to do with subprime lending itself. Indeed, the occurrence of credit-related litigation essentially unrelated to subprime lending is really nothing new – First Marblehead is not even the student loan company to be sued in a securities class action lawsuit as part of the current litigation wave, given the lawsuit filed in January 2008 against SLM Corporation (“Sallie Mae”), about which refer here.

The student lending cases, like the auction rate securities litigation, are about the secondary and tertiary consequences in the credit marketplace following on the consequences first triggered by the subprime lending meltdown. But the spread of litigation to other types of credit and other kinds of companies underscores the dark possibilities for a crisis that began in the residential real estate lending sector to spread across the entire economy and activate a much broader array of litigation.

It is probably worth noting that the turmoil that has hit the student lending sector is not limited just to the student loan organizations themselves; companies that invested in student loan-backed securities are also experiencing financial and accounting difficulties as a result of their investment in these securities. For example, in a situation that encompasses both the student loan problems and the breakdown of the auction rate securities marketplace, Winnebago, in its March 20, 2008 fiscal second quarter earnings release (here), disclosed that it owned $54.2 million of auction rate securities collateralized by student loans. As a result of the auction rate securities market failure, the company deemed these securities as not currently liquid, and reclassified them on the company’s balance sheet as long-term investments. In its April 9, 2008 10-Q (here), the company recorded a temporary impairment charge to these securities of $3.4 million.

The fact that the student loan turmoil would affect a company as unrelated to the sector as Winnebago demonstrates how far afield the effects of the current crisis have and may yet spread. The essential point here is that as long as observers continue to describe and think about the current developments as merely subprime-related, they will not only fail to appreciate the extent of what has already happened, but also likely underestimate the possibilities of what may lie ahead.

Another Auction Rate Securities Lawsuit: And speaking of auction rate securities, on April 11, 2008, plaintiffs’ lawyers filed yet another lawsuit on behalf of auction rate securities investors against the companies that sold them the investments. As reflected in the plaintiffs’ lawyers’ press release (here), the latest lawsuit involves Oppenheimer Holdings. The Oppenheimer lawsuit is the twelfth of these auction rate securities lawsuits to be filed.

Run the Numbers: Like everyone else, I too am trapped by the now-established convention of referring to the current credit-related lawsuit onslaught as the “subprime” litigation wave, and as a reflection of that convention, I have added the First Marblehead and Oppenheimer lawsuits to my running tally of the “subprime”-related litigation, which can be accessed here. With the addition of these two new lawsuits, the current tally now stands at 70, of which 30 have been filed in 2008. As noted, 12 of these lawsuits involve class action auction rate securities litigation.

Subprime Litigation: The Grandaddy of Them All?: Although the crisis commonly referred to as the “subprime” meltdown is relatively recent, subprime loans have been around for a while. Indeed, problems with subprime loans are also nothing new. Even though the current wave of subprime-related litigation did not get started until February 2007, there were subprime-related lawsuits before that. These earlier lawsuits may provide some interesting perspective on the current round of litigation.

As described in an April 9, 2008 Wall Street Journal article entitled “Subprime Lender’s Failure Sparks Lawsuit against Wall Street Banks” (here), American Business Financial Services was in the subprime loan origination business. It funded its operations through the securitization of loans, but, in addition, it also raised operating cash by selling notes through direct sales to individual investors.

According to the allegations in subsequent litigation, ABFS underestimated the number of its loans that would be paid off early as a result of refinancing, reducing the company’s cash flow, and ultimately leading to the company’s bankruptcy. The noteholders, of which there may have been as many as 22,000, lost millions.

The Journal article describes the Pennsylvania state court lawsuit that the bankruptcy trustee has filed against the Wall Street banks that sponsored ABFS’s securitizations, as well as against the company’s former directors and officers. But this trustee lawsuit follows two earlier lawsuits, one brought by the company’s shareholders and one brought on behalf of the company’s noteholders.

The ABFS shareholder securities litigation, background about which can be found here, was initiated in January 2004, following the company’s disclosure that the Department of Justice was investigating the company’s loan transactions and securitization agreements. The plaintiff shareholders alleged that the company and certain of its directors and officers misrepresented the company’s financial condition by artificially altering the company’s loan default ratio, to understate the level of the company’s troubled loans. In a June 2, 2005 memorandum opinion and order (here), the court granted the defendants’ motion to dismiss, on the ground that the plaintiffs did not adequately allege that the statements at issue materially misleading, nor did the plaintiffs’ allegations create a “strong inference” that the defendants acted with scienter.

The noteholder litigation, by contrast is going forward, albeit in a narrowed state. The background regarding the ABFS noteholder litigation can be found here. The noteholders also claimed that the defendants misrepresented the company’s financial condition. In two orders (here and here), the court dismissed the plaintiffs’ allegations concerning the company’s loan delinquency rates, as well as the plaintiffs’ solicitation claims under Section 12. A much-narrowed case is going forward.

The course of these earlier lawsuits casts an interesting light on the current wave of lawsuits. The ABFS shareholder lawsuit dismissal is a reminder that even a lawsuit involving a bankrupt company that is the subject of a DoJ investigation, and in connection with which shareholders lost substantially all their investment, still has to survive the formidable pleading requirements to which securities lawsuits are subject. Even the noteholders, whose plight may be particularly sympathetic, have seen their petition for redress of grievances substantially narrowed.

The fate of these earlier lawsuits is a reminder that merely because lawsuits are filed, even lawsuits filed in the context of significant financial losses and regulatory investigations, does not mean that the lawsuits will succeed. It may be important to keep in mind as the current wave of lawsuits continues to accumulate that these lawsuits will face the same formidable pleading barriers as did the ABFS lawsuits, and some of these lawsuits, like the ABFS lawsuits, will not survive or will only survive on a greatly narrowed basis.

Tellabs in the Ninth Circuit: Readers interested in following the implementation of the Supreme Court’s Tellabs decision in the lower courts will want to review the April 10, 2008 decision (here) in the Skechers USA securities litigation, in which the Ninth Circuit affirmed the district court’s dismissal of the lawsuit, in reliance on Tellabs.

However, the complications that may yet attend the implementation of the Tellabs decision in the lower courts is also suggested by the dissenting opinion in the Skechers appeal (here), in which the dissenting judge, applying the same Tellabs standard to the same facts, reached the opposite conclusion, finding that the district court’s dismissal ought to be reversed.

In the end however, while the Ninth Circuit’s majority and dissenting opinions in the Skechers case are interesting, they ultimately are of little value to the larger question of how Tellabs may be implemented in the lower courts, because the majority opinion is designated as “Not for Publication,” as a result of which it may not be cited. I have previously (here) decried the truly regrettable practice of courts designating opinions as not for publication or citation. Our entire system of jurisprudence relies on the usefulness of prior decisions to help resolve future cases, and it is fundamentally inconsistent with this arrangement for courts to try to remove decisions from this time-honored tradition and process.

Special thanks to a special friend of The D&O Diary for copies of the Ninth Circuit opinions.

Subprime Notes and Updates

New York Subprime Lawsuit Between Two Foreign Banks: As I noted in prior posts (most recently here), mortgage-backed securities investors have already initiated several lawsuits against the investment banks and others that created the securities, some lawsuits filed as individual actions and some as class actions. A mortgage-backed securities investor’s individual lawsuit initiated this week in New York Supreme Court (Manhattan) presents some new twists on this evolving litigation category.

According to the company’s press release (here), on February 25, 2008, German state-owned bank HSH Nordbank AG sued UBS and UBS Securities LLC. The lawsuit relates to one of HSH’s constituent bank’s $500 million investment in 2002 in collateralized debt obligation (CDO) securities known as North Street 2002-4 that were created and managed by the Swiss bank. In its complaint, HSH described itself as a “regional German bank with little familiarity with international structured finance.” As described in a February 25, 2008 Wall Street Journal article (here), the HSH relation with UBS was “more complicated” because in addition to its investment in the CDO, HSH also provided UBS with insurance protection in the form of credit default swaps.  

As reflected in news coverage describing the complaint (here and here), HSH claims that UBS’s now-shuttered internal hedge fund division, Dillon Read Capital Management, selected inferior collateral and used the CDO as a dumping ground for troubled mortgage-backed securities as a way to profit from the credit default swap.

The complaint alleges that during 2007 Dillon Read made substitutions to the “reference pool” of securities linked to the CDO, bringing in securities lined to the ABX index of subprime mortgage instruments, thereby allegedly increasing the CDOs exposure to subprime mortgages “at a time when the outlook on subprime mortgages was already negative.”

HSHS claims that the structure, and in particular its position on the credit default swap, allowed UBS to realize profits of up to $275 million at HSH’s expense. As also reflected in the bank’s February 24 press release (here), HSH alleged that “UBS exploited the structure for its own ends, at HSH’s expense,” and that “UBS evidently regarded North Street 4 not as an investment platform but as an opportunity to defraud HSH.”

HSH alleges that UBS “knowingly and deliberately created a compromised structure.” HSH accuses UBS of breach of contract, fraud, negligent misrepresentation, and breach of fiduciary duty.” HSH is demanding at least $275 million in restitution plus punitive damages.

There are several interesting things about this new lawsuit. The first is that it involved a New York state court lawsuit between two foreign-domiciled companies. This may be due in part to the role played by the now defunct UBS affiliate Dillon Read. But an even likelier explanation is the prospect of the remedies available under U.S. laws, which undoubtedly influenced HSH to pursue its claims in what would otherwise seem to be an inconvenient forum. It is, in any event, singular to find two foreign companies squaring off in a U.S courthouse.

The availability of alternative dispute resolution forums in which the case might also have gone forward may be seen from the fact that UBS itself has already filed a counterclaim against HSH, but (as reflected here), in London rather than in New York. According to news reports, the counterclaim itself has not been made available publicly.

Perhaps the most interesting thing about the HSH lawsuit is the core allegation. The prior lawsuits against the securitizers have essentially been disclosure-based lawsuits, in effect that the securitizers did not provide full or accurate information about the securities they initiated or about the assets underlying the securities. HSH’s complaint also contains these kinds of allegations, but the core of its complaint is not mere misrepresentation, but rather that UBS fraudulently manipulated the transaction structure to its own profit and to the investors’ detriment. These kinds of allegations clearly raise the stakes, and make this case most interesting to watch.

Finally, this is the first subprime-related case of which I am aware between counterparties on credit default swaps. Given the massive volume of credit default swap activity, there is an enormous potential for credit default swap counterparty litigation.

More Auction Rate Securities Write-Downs: In a prior post (here), I discussed the $275 million write-down that Bristol-Myers Squibb took related to its investment in auction rate securities. At the time, I wondered whether other companies would face similar write-downs, with particular interest in the possible impact on companies outside the financial sector.

At least two other nonfinancial companies have now taken their own subprime-backed asset write-downs, in examples that underscore that impact that the breakdown of the auction rate securities market is having on the value of those securities. These write-downs also highlight the fact that the impact of the subprime meltdown extends far beyond the financial sector.

On February 27, 2008, MetroPCS announced (here) in connection with its fourth quarter earnings release that it had recorded a fourth quarter charge of $83 million in unrealized loss on its $134 investment in auction rate securities. Including the company’s $15 million third-quarter write-down, the year-end value of its $134 investment was at $36 million. As I discussed in a prior post (here), MetroPCS has filed a lawsuit against Merrill Lynch in connection with the company’s investment in the auction rate securities. A copy of the complaint can be found here. It is worth noting that company’s reported fourth quarter loss of $47 million included the $83 million impairment charge.

And on February 21, 2008, SBA Communications reported (here) an impairment charge of $15.6 million on three auction rate securities the company held as short term investments. The company’s net loss for the quarter was $24.2 million including the asset impairment charge.

A February 27, 2007 CFO.com article discussing the MetroPCS write-down can be found here. A February 22, 2008 CFO.com article discussing the SBA Communications write-down can be found here.

Got Those Valuation Blues Again, Mama: A February 24, 2008 post on the Re:Balance blog (here) takes a look at the accounting and valuation issues arising out of the subprime crisis, and suggests that the mortgage asset-backed securities valuation problems that are currently emerging are not merely an attribute of the current disrupted market conditions but were inherent in the terms of the instruments at the time they were created.

Jim Peterson, the blog’s author, writes “the more candor and rigor are brought into this year’s audit process, the more stark will be the ultimate concession that the valuation models on which subprime was built were creatures of myth and unreality.” Peterson, who is the accounting columnist for the International Herald Tribune, adds that “the quality of accounting is an effect, not a cause – the level of its virtue and integrity is observable as a mirror held up to commercial society.”