Bad Economic Vibe Means More Securities Litigation?

In flush times, the balm from the boom economy covers a multitude of sins. But when the economy sours, even transactions that once appeared favorable can turn bad. When they do, lawsuits can, and usually do, arise. Two recently filed securities class action lawsuits illustrate this point and also suggest that adverse economic circumstances may fuel even further litigation.

 

The first of these two recent lawsuits involves FCStone Group. FCStone is “an integrated commodity risk management company providing risk management consulting and transaction execution services to commercial commodity intermediaries, end users and producers.” Basically, it helps those involved in commodities business to manage their exposure to commodities price fluctuations.

 

Plaintiffs filed a purported securities class action lawsuit against FC Stone and certain of its directors and offices in the Western District of Missouri on July 15, 2008. The plaintiffs’ counsel’s July 16, 2008 press release describing the lawsuit can be found here and the complaint can be found here.

 

According to the complaint, the lawsuit relates to “a misdescription of an important hedge instrument purchased by the Company.” According to the complaint, the hedge transaction provided net income to the company for the first two fiscal quarters of 2008, ending on February 29, 2008. The press release describing the lawsuit states:

In an conference call on April 10, 2008, the Company concealed the true nature of the Hedge, by failing to reveal that should there develop a significant spread between the U.S. based Fed Funds interest rate (the “Feds Funds Rate”) and the London Inter-Bank Rate (“LIBOR”), the Hedge would decline in notional value. Based on what the market was told, the investing public viewed the hedge as simply one to protect the Company from falling interest rates, and not one which was crucially dependent upon the spread between the Fed Funds Rate and LIBOR not widening.

The complaint alleges that in the company’s 2008 third fiscal quarter, a spread arose between the Fed Funds Rate and LIBOR and the company’s gains for the first two fiscal quarters were eliminated. The press release describing the lawsuit states:

On July 10, 2008, FCStone shocked the market by announcing third quarter earnings per share of 28 cents versus the expected 47 cents. Much of the deviation was due to the decline and sale of the Hedge. In addition, the Company announced previously unmentioned and significant bad debt expenses due to volatility in the cotton markets which had occurred in March. Nothing was said about this volatility and its adverse effects on the April 10, 2008 conference call. Upon revelation of this adverse news FCStone shares dropped over 41% wiping out over $300 million in shareholder value.

The second of the two lawsuits was filed in the Southern District of New York on July 17, 2008 based on the failure of Hexion Specialty Chemicals to follow through on its planned acquisition of Huntsman Corporation.

 

The Huntsman lawsuit arises out of the agreement announced on July 12, 2007 (here), that Hexion would acquire the company in a transaction valued at $10.6 billion. According to the original press release, Hexion is a portfolio company of Apollo Management. . The sale was approved by Huntsman’s shareholders on October 16, 2007 (here). On January 26, 2008, Hexion exercised its rights to extend the termination date of the merger agreement (here), to obtain regulatory approvals, and further extended the date in April 2008 (here). In its May 14, 2008 earnings release (here), Hexion provided a “transaction update” in which it noted that the parties had agreed, pursuant to the Merger Agreement, to allow additional time in order to obtain necessary regulatory approvals.

 

However, on June 18, 2008, Hexion issued a press release stating that the “transaction is no longer viable” and announcing that it had initiated a lawsuit in Delaware Chancery Court to declare its rights under the merger agreement. Huntsman later announced that it had counterclaimed to enforce the merger agreement in the Delaware lawsuit (here) and separately announced (here) that it had filed its own lawsuit against Apollo and two of its partners for fraud in inducing Huntsman to terminate its prior merger agreement with a separate merger partner, by presenting the Hexion merger proposal.  

 

On July 17, 2008, plaintiffs’ lawyers, purporting to represent a class of Huntsman shareholders, filed a lawsuit in the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York against Hexion, its CEO and one of its directors. A copy of the plaintiff’s counsel’s July 17, 2008 press release announcing the filing can be found here and a copy of the complaint can be found here.

 

According to the press release,

On May 14, 2008, Hexion disclosed that it agreed to allow additional time to obtain the regulatory approvals. Unbeknownst to the public, defendants had determined to abort the merger and took steps to abrogate the Merger Agreement. Defendants retained the services of Duff & Phelps to render an opinion that the combined entity lacked financial viability. On June 18, 2008, Duff sent a letter to the Board of Directors of Hexion opining that the combined company’s assets would not exceed its liabilities, that it would not have the ability to pay its total debts and liabilities as they become due and that it would have an unreasonably small amount of capital. On that same date, defendants filed a complaint in the Delaware Court of Chancery, seeking abrogation of the Merger Agreement. The reaction in the marketplace was devastating to the price of Huntsman’s common stock. On June 19, 2008, the first day of trading after the June 18, 2008 actions by Hexion, the market price of Huntsman common stock fell approximately $8, or 40%, from $20.86 to close at $12.84, on enormous volume of approximately 43 million shares.

The complaint purports to be filed on behalf of the class of persons who purchased Huntsman shares between May 14 and June 18, 2008.

 

According to the complaint, Hexion started to try to back away from the agreement because the defendants “were disturbed by Huntsman’s financial results for the three quarters after the signing of the Merger Agreement as well as the state of the economic market and the global credit crunch.”

 

Interestingly, though the plaintiffs’ class consists of Huntsman shareholders, their lawsuit is filed against Hexion and two of its senior officials. The complaint does not allege secondary liability, but rather it alleges that the defendants violated their primary obligations under Section 10(b). Specifically, the plaintiffs allege that

Defendants failed to disclose the material facts that they had decided to abort the merger if possible and had taken affirmative steps to determine whether they could abort the merger and abrogate the Merger Agreement and retained the services of Duff to render an opinion that the combined entity lacked financial viability and Wachtell to draft and filed a complaint. These material misstatements and omissions had the cause and effect of creating in the market an unrealistically positive assessment that the merger would close by July 4, 2008 … causing the Huntsman’s common stock to be overvalued and artificially inflated during the Class Period.

The attempt by Huntsman shareholders to hold Hexion and its officials liable under the federal securities laws raises some unusual issues and will be interesting to watch. The unusual occurrence of a securities lawsuit brought by another company’s shareholders also potentially raises an interesting theoretical issue depending on the definition of “Securities Claim” in Hexion’s D&O insurance policy. There are two usual variants of this definition, one of which defines the term by reference to the kind of claims (that is, claims under specifies securities law), and one that defines the term by reference to the kind of claimant (that is, by reference to claims by holders of securities of the company).

 

I have no direct knowledge of Hexion’s insurance program, but because so-called entity coverage under D&O policies is typically limited to “Securities Claims,” the definition of that term in the Hexion policy could determine whether or not the company itself has coverage for the claims brought against them by the Huntsman shareholders. The availability of coverage for the claims against the entity could well depend on which variant of the definition of the term “Securities Claim” appears in the Hexion policy. To the extent the term is restrict to claims brought by holders of Hexion’s own securities, coverage potentially might not be available for the company itself for the Huntsman shareholders’ lawsuit.

 

Perhaps the circumstances involved in these two cases might have arisen even in more stable economic times, but the troubled transactions underlying the lawsuits seem symptomatic of the currently turbulent economy. Indeed, the Huntsman shareholders lawsuit specifically alleges that among the reasons why Hexion sought to back away from the merger were “the state of the economic market and the global credit crunch.”  In both of these instances, transactions that initially appeared favorable appeared unfavorable as circumstances changed.

 

The challenging circumstances that undermined these transactions are hardly unique to these two companies.  In all likelihood, in the weeks and months ahead, other companies will be finding that transactions entered in more clement circumstances now appear troubled. As more companies stumble on these troubled transactions, further lawsuits undoubtedly will emerge.

 

One final note. These is nothing about these lawsuits that make them subprime related, and it is only in the broadest sense that they lawsuits might be categorized as credit crisis related. If nothing else, these lawsuits at the outer edge of the current litigation wave demonstrate the complicated definitional problems involved with trying to track subprime and credit crisis related lawsuits. In the end, I have decided not to “count” these lawsuits in my running tally of subprime and credit crisis related litigation (which can be accessed here), because they seem to relate to much larger economic issues (such as interest rates and the adverse business climate). Reasonable minds may differ on this categorization.

 

Tellabs Not a Filing “Deterrent”: When the U.S. Supreme Court issued its June 2007 opinion in the Tellabs case, it was widely hailed as a significant defense victory. My own view at the time (refer here) is that the outcome was at most a draw, and in the end is unlikely to have a significant impact.

 

A July 2008 memorandum from the Jones Day law firm entitled “Tellabs Proves to Be No Deterrent to Securities Class Action Filings” (here) suggests that commentators predicting that Tellabs would have “little impact on future securities class action filings” were “the better prognosticators.”

 

The memorandum notes that in federal circuits (such as the First, Fourth, Sixth and Ninth) that actually had more demanding pleading standards than the one articulated by the Supreme Court in Tellabs, “cases are actually more likely to survive a motion to dismiss after Tellabs than before.” The memorandum goes on to note that “even in formerly less demanding circuits, Tellabs did not set the pleading bar at a level that deters filings.”

 

The memorandum concludes by stating that “Tellabs plainly has not operated to deter securities class action filings. To the contrary, the data confirms [sic] that filing opportunities remain wide open for plaintiffs.”

 

Special thanks to a loyal reader for supplying a copy of the Jones Day memorandum.

FCPA Enforcement and Civil Litigation: A Mid-Year View

The latest issue of InSights, entitled “The Foreign Corrupt Practices Act: A 70’s Revival?” (here), presents an overview of a frequent topic on this blog – the growing significance of FPCA enforcement activity. Not only is the heightened activity a regulatory and operational concern for all companies with overseas operations, but it also presents a growing source of potential liability in the form of follow-on civil litigation.

 

Many of the themes discussed in the InSights article are underscored in a July 7, 2008 Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher memorandum entitled “2008 Mid-Year FCPA Update” (here). The memo reports that the “frenetic pace” of FCPA enforcement activity “has carried through the first half of 2008.” Year to date prosecutions are up “substantially” from “last year’s record-setting totals.” Indeed, the memo notes that in the first half of 2008, there were more FCPA prosecutions than in any prior full year except 2007.

 

Among the many topics addressed in the Gibson Dunn memo is a theme I have frequently sounded on this blog and that I reviewed at length in the InSights article, which is the threat of civil litigation following along in the wake of an FCPA enforcement action. The Gibson Dunn memo characterizes the level of this litigation activity as an “outburst,” adding that “our recurring advice to clients and friends has been to expect and prepare for ‘tag along’ civil litigation when a new governmental FCPA investigation becomes public.”

 

In addition to the specific FCPA-related securities class action lawsuits I note in the InSights article, the Gibson Dunn memo also cites the recent settlement in the FARO Technologies securities litigation. According to the company’s press release (here), the company’s D&O insurers paid $6.875 million to settle securities law claims alleging, among other things, that the company or its representatives had made payments in connection with the company’s Asian sales in possible violation of the FCPA. The company apparently was also named as nominal defendant in a related shareholders’ derivative lawsuit.

 

As an aside, and in addition to the FCPA-related litigation described in the Gibson Dunn memorandum, a loyal reader advised me of yet another FCPA securities class action lawsuit settlement of which I was previously unaware, involving Titan Corporation. (Background regarding the lawsuit can be found here.) The plaintiffs in that case alleged that Titan Corporation, in order for its planned merger to go forward, had failed to disclose that foreign consultants had made improper payments to foreign officials in violation of the FCPA, and that the company had improperly accounted for funds used in those payments. The case settled in 2005 for $61.5 million.

 

In addition to the FCPA-related shareholder lawsuits, the Gibson Dunn memo also notes a “new diversity of FCPA-inspired civil litigation theories.” The memo specifically notes the arrival of civil litigation brought by foreign governments alleging that U.S. companies had corrupted the government’s own officials. The memo specifically references the Alcoa action, which I discussed in a prior post, here.

 

The memo also refer to an action brought in June 2008 by the Republic of Iraq against Chevron and ninety other companies, alleging that the defendants conspired with Saddam Hussein’s regime to corrupt the Oil-for-Food program by diverting as much as $10 billion to Hussein’s government. Iraq claims that the defendants violated RICO, as well as other fraud and money laundering statutes.

 

These FCPA-related cases and others are proceeding even though there is no private right of action under the FCPA itself. However, the Gibson Dunn memo notes that on June 4, 2008, Rep. Ed. Perlmutter (D. Colo.) introduced the “Foreign Business Bribery Prohibition Act of 2008” (H.R. 6188), which would provide for a limited private right of action under the FCPA. However, potential litigation targets are limited to “foreign concerns,” so the class of potential defendants is restricted to foreign persons unaffiliated with U.S. stock exchanges. While the Bill itself is still before the relevant Congressional committees, it represents yet another part of the increasing focus on corrupt activity as well as the increasing risk of civil litigation arising out of  that process.

 

The Gibson Dunn memo concludes that the trend of “continually increasing enforcement is here to stay for the near future.” As the FCPA enforcement activity continues to grow, an increasing number of companies will find themselves involved in FCPA-related civil litigation. Even though the FCPA enforcement fines and penalties generally would not be covered under the D&O policy, the policy could be called upon to respond to the costs of defending against an FCPA enforcement action. In any event, any follow-on civil litigation would also trigger the company’s D&O coverage, subject to all of the policy’s terms and conditions.

 

The growing importance of this litigation activity makes this an increasingly important issue to be considered in connection with the policy placement process. The specific issues involved are discussed at greater length in the InSights article.

Mid-Year 2008: Securities Lawsuit Filings Remain Up

Securities lawsuit filings remained elevated during the first half of 2008. The 105 new securities lawsuit filings during the first six months of 2008 were more than 50% higher than the number of new securities lawsuit filings (69) in the first six months of 2007. (Please refer to the note below regarding my lawsuit filing “count”, which may differ from some other published tallies).

 

The 204 new securities lawsuit filings during the 12-month period from July 1, 2007 to June 30, 2008 is 15% higher than the 176 filings for the full year 2007 and also represents a 65% increase compared to the 123 filings during the 12-month period from July 1, 2006 through June 30, 2007. The 204 new securities lawsuit filings during the 12-month period ending on June 30, 2008 is the highest 12-month total since the period July 2004 through June 2005, during which 228 lawsuits were filed.

 

The 105 lawsuits filed during the first half of 2008 projects to a year-end total of 210 securities lawsuit filings, meaning that the filing rate is above the post-PSLRA filing average. According to Cornerstone Research, here, the annual average number of securities class action lawsuits during the period from 1996 to 2006 was 194.

 

A year end total of 210 filings would also represent the highest annual total since 2004, when 237 securities lawsuits were filed. (Because my YTD lawsuit count omits a number of lawsuits, for reasons discussed below, my YTD tally and my year-end projection may be lower the numbers that may appear in other published sources.)

 

The most significant factor in the elevated securities filing activity is the number of new lawsuits associated with the subprime and credit crisis. 58 of the first half filings (about 55%) of the first half securities lawsuit filings are subprime or credit crisis related. As reflected on my running tally of the securities class action lawsuits, which may be accessed here, the total number of subprime and credit crisis related lawsuits, including those filed in 2007 as well as those filed in 2008, now stands at 98. (Please refer to the note below regarding the recent revisions to my subprime and credit crisis-related lawsuit tally.)

 

Only 46 of the 105 first-half securities lawsuit filings were not subprime or credit crisis-related, meaning that the subprime related litigation unquestionably was a driving factor in the elevated securities lawsuit filing levels (although one might also speculate that other filings are down because the plaintiffs’ securities’ bar is preoccupied with the still emerging subprime litigation).

 

The subprime and credit crisis filings show no sign of abating. Of the 58 subprime lawsuits filed in the first half of 2008, 29 – exactly half-- were filed in the second quarter, including eleven in June alone. This continued steady filing level suggests that the subprime and credit crisis-related litigation wave will continue during the second half of 2008.

 

An analysis of the first half filings by Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) code confirms the foregoing conclusions. Although the companies sued in the first half of 2008 represented 56 different SIC Code categories, fully 62 of the lawsuits (or about 59% of the first half filings) were filed against companies in the 6000 SIC Code series (Finance, Insurance and Real Estate). The two most prominent SIC Code categories were SIC Code 6021 (National Commercial Banks), which had 17 lawsuits, and SIC Code 6211 (Security Broker Dealers), which had 14 lawsuits. No other single SIC Code category outside the 6000 SIC Code series had more than three lawsuits. (Please refer to the note below regarding SIC Code categorization.)

 

These statistics underscore an important point about the subprime and credit crisis related litigation. That is, with a couple of arguable exceptions, the subprime and credit crisis related litigation wave really has not spread beyond the financial sector. Although I have long speculated (most recently here) that the credit crisis litigation might hit nonfinancial companies, by and large that has not yet happened, at least not to any significant degree.

 

One consequence of the predominance of the subprime and credit crisis related litigation is that many of the first half lawsuits involved nontraditional plaintiffs and defendants. The traditional or conventional securities lawsuit to which I refer here involves a securities class action lawsuit brought by public company shareholders against the company and its directors and officers. This traditional type of securities lawsuit may sometimes include other third party defendants such as the company’s auditors or the company’s offering underwriters.

 

But many of the first half lawsuits involve plaintiffs other than public company shareholders. For example, among the first half filings were 17 auction rate securities lawsuits, in which the plaintiffs were not public company shareholders, but rather auction rate securities investors who were suing the broker dealers or financial institutions that sold them the instruments. (The securities issuers were not usually targeted in these lawsuits.) Refer here for my prior discussion of the auction rate securities lawsuits.

 

Similarly, the multiple securities lawsuits brought by mortgage-backed securities investors against the financial institutions that created the instruments also do not involve traditional shareholder plaintiffs. In addition, as I discussed here, the plaintiffs lawyers have chosen to bring many of these lawsuits against the securitizers in state court, to be be removed subsequently by the defendants to federal court. So the first half 2008 filing total is also noteworthy for its inclusion of a number of state-court initiated lawsuits.

 

The credit crisis litigation wave has also hit a number of nontraditional defendants. Rather than targeting just public company defendants, the plaintiffs in many of these lawsuits targeted, for example, hedge funds (refer here) and mutual funds (refer here). The presence of these nontraditional defendants sometimes pose some tough questions at the margins about whether or not a specific lawsuit should be included in the lawsuit count, as discussed further below.

 

It is probably worth noting that in addition to the lawsuits from the current credit crisis-related litigation wave, the first half filings also included two options backdating-related securities lawsuits filings.

 

Companies domiciled outside the United States were sued in 19 of the first half new securities lawsuit filings, representing 12 different countries, including four each from Canada and from Switzerland.

 

The lawsuits filed against domestic companies included corporate defendants from 27 different states, with the largest number from New York (22 lawsuits) and California (11 lawsuits).

 

The lawsuits were filed in 26 different U.S. district courts, but by far the largest number were filed in the Southern District of New York, where 43 (or about 41%) of the 105 lawsuits were filed. Other courts with a significant number of filings included the District of Massachusetts (11 lawsuits), the Northern District of Illinois (8 lawsuits), the Central District of California (5 lawsuits) and the Northern District of California (5 lawsuits).

 

A Note about “Counting” Lawsuits: As noted above, the presence of nontraditional plaintiffs and defendants, as well as the emergence of state court and other nontraditional filings, raises many hard questions about what to include in the lawsuit count. These factors by themselves create significant potential for different lawsuit counts.

 

In addition, the pattern of much of this litigation also poses some “counting” challenges. A couple of examples will illustrate the problem

 

Lehman Brothers (or at least one of its officers) was first sued in February 2008 in the Northern District of Illinois. That lawsuit was voluntarily dismissed. A second Northern District of Illinois lawsuit involving Lehman Brothers was filed in April 2008. Then a separate lawsuit was filed in the Southern District of New York in June 2008. I have only counted this litigation once, as has, for example, the Stanford Law School Securities Class Action Clearinghouse (as shown here).

 

By contrast, Falcon Strategies, a Citigroup-affiliated hedge fund, was sued in a securities lawsuit in April 2008, in federal court in Florida. That lawsuit was later voluntarily dismissed. (Refer here). Then the fund was sued in May 2008 in federal court in New York in a tender offer-related securities lawsuit (refer here) I could see counting this litigation once, but the Stanford website has counted each lawsuit separately and so have I.

 

But while I am in accord with the Stanford website to that extent, I could not agree with the Stanford site on some other specifics. For example, one of the lawsuits on their list is the Safeco litigation (refer here). The Safeco lawsuit is a merger objection suit. I have never counted these kinds of lawsuits in my tallies; were this lawsuit to be included, a whole raft of other merger objection litigation would also arguably have to be included. In my opinion, this lawsuit should not be counted in the securities lawsuit tally, but reasonable minds clearly could differ.

 

Similarly, the 2008 lawsuit involving Heartland Resources (about which refer here) contains allegations that the defendants improperly failed to register certain limited partnership interests. Alleged violations of the obligation to register securities seem to me to be fundamentally different than a lawsuit for securities law damages based on alleged misrepresentations or omissions relating to publicly traded securities. Reasonable minds could differ on this issue as well, but to my mind this kind of lawsuit should not “count.” This analysis applies not just to the Heartland Resources lawsuit, but also to the lawsuits involving Maximum Financial Group (refer here) and WCI Communities (refer here).

 

I have illustrated this analysis in detail here first to show how tricky this whole "counting" exercise is, and second to explain why there may be differences between my tallies and some others that may be published, including for example any lawsuit count based on the Stanford website. That does not mean that I think mine is right and the others are wrong – as I have stressed throughout, reasonable minds could differ on many of the specifics. The most important thing is that the various analyses are directionally consistent, which undoubtedly is and will be the case. The marginal differences are relatively unimportant.

 

A Note about SIC Code Categorization: As discussed above, the first half 2008 lawsuits include some filed against nonconventional defendants, including some, like hedge funds and mutual funds, that have not been assigned to an SIC Code category. In addition, many of the lawsuits included a host of related entity defendants.

 

Where the list of defendants includes a public company, I have used the public company’s SIC Code, even if it is not the primary defendant. Similarly, where a fund defendant is affiliated with a public company, I have used the public company’s SIC Code.

 

Nevertheless, there were a total of three of the lawsuits filed in the first half where I was unable to assign any SIC Code. These cases primarily involve mutual fund defendants.

 

A Note about the Subprime Lawsuit Tally: Regular readers know that I have been maintaining a running tally of the subprime and credit crisis-related securities lawsuits (which may accessed here). Readers that have been monitoring the list closely over time may have been somewhat surprised by the credit crisis lawsuit numbers I have used in this mid-year analysis. These numbers may appear suddenly larger than more recent tallies.

 

The reason for this adjustment is that as part of this mid-year review, I undertook a comprehensive audit of my lawsuit lists, and, in particular I conducted a cross-comparison with the Stanford website and a number of other sources.

 

As a result of this process, I added several items to my list of subprime securities lawsuits. Some of these additions were required because I had simply omitted certain items (where, for example, I was aware of the lawsuit but had simply neglected to add it to the list). Some of the additions were the result of recategorization, some simply new additions. All of these additions are highlighted in red in my updated list, which can be accessed here.

 

Break in the Action: The D&O Diary will slowing down in the next few days and will resume its normal publication schedule during the week of July 7.

Cornerstone Releases Year-End 2007 Securities Litigation Report

As the latest of the year-end 2007 securities lawsuit reports (including my own, here), Cornerstone Research has released (here) its 2007 report on securities class action filings. Cornerstone's January 3, 2008 press release describing the report can be found here. The numbers in the Cornerstone report differ from those in the previously released year-end report of NERA Economic Consulting (here), but the numbers are directionally consistent. The Cornerstone report does make some additional observations about the 2007 securities lawsuit filings, and also adds some interesting analysis.

The Cornerstone report notes the following findings:

1. Cornerstone reports that there were 166 securities class action lawsuit filings in 2007, which represents a 43% increase over the 116 filings in 2006. The 2007 yearly total is, however, 14 percent below the average for the ten-year period ending in December 2006.
2. Stock market volatility is important in explaining the number of filings. The increase in filings in the second half of 2007 coincided with an increase in volatility in the U.S. stock market from the historically low levels that prevailed in 2006 and the first half of 2007.
3. Securities lawsuit filings as a percentage of the total number of publicly traded companies increased in 2007. 2.19% of publicly traded companies were sued in securities lawsuits in 207, compared to only 1.57% in 2006, and by contrast to the 2.27% ten-year average from 1997-2006.
4. For cases filed in 2007, the drop in market capitalization both from the beginning to the end of the class period and from the class period high to the end of the class period increased, largely driven by several large case filings in the fourth quarter of 2007.
5. Of the 2,646 cases in Cornerstone's database, 81 percent have been resolved. Of the resolved cases, 41 percent were dismissed and 59 percent settled. For the cases filed from 1996 to 2001, almost all of which have been resolved, the median time to resolution is 33 months. The median time to dismissal is 25 months, and the median time to settlement is 36 months. Cases with larger shareholder losses are likely to take longer to resolve.
6. The Finance sector had the largest amount of litigation activity, with 47 Finance cases in 2007, driven by the subprime crisis.
7. The top three Circuits in terms of the number of 2007 filings were the Second Circuit, with 58 filings; the Ninth Circuit, with 39 filings; and the Eleventh Circuit, with 18 filings.
8. Cornerstone counted 32 cases attributable to the subprime crisis (by contrast to my own count of 34 cases, here). The report notes that the subprime filings reflect a shift in emphasis from allegations related to traditional income statement line items to allegations related to balance sheet components.

In attempting to discern the significance of the 2007 filing levels, the Cornerstone report revisits the analytic framework Cornerstone first postulated in its mid-year 2007 report (here). The mid-year report raised two alternative theories for the lull in litigation activity from mid-2005 to mid-2007, the "less fraud" hypothesis and the "lower volatility" hypothesis. The "less fraud" theory, associated with Stanford Law Professor Joseph Grundfest, involved the theory that as a result of corporate reforms, there is less fraud and hence less litigation. (Professor Grundfest went further and speculated that perhaps, as a result of the reforms, there had been a "permanent shift" to a lower litigation level.) The "lower volatility" theory noted that the period of lower litigation activity coincided with historically low stock market volatility, and speculated that litigation activity might return to historical norms if volatility returned.

The year-end Cornerstone report expressly attributes the increased litigation activity in the second-half of 2007 to the heightened level of stock market volatility during that period. Nevertheless, the report also states that "the 'less fraud' theory suggests a significant and permanent shift in the class action landscape" that is "not inconsistent with the recent increase in filing." The report finds this possibility because of the significant amount of 2007 litigation activity that was directly associated with the subprime crisis, which the Cornerstone report describes as "a likely 'one time' event," that "may not be indicative of future filing activity."

To support this analysis, the report suggests that there is an identifiable "core litigation rate," which is a statistical construct based on historical filings from which "one time events" like "backdating, subprime cases [and] IPO Allocation filings are excluded." Using this construct, the report finds that "litigation activity remains well below historical norms." Professor Grundfest describes this "core litigation rate" as "the litigation rate observed net of one-time systemic shocks."

I cannot disagree with the report's overall conclusion that more data is needed before the "less fraud" hypothesis can be conclusively rejected. Indeed, only time will tell. But for a number of reasons, I disagree with the Cornerstone Report's analysis of the 2007 filings, and in particular with the report's conclusions about the significance of the 2007 filing activity.

First, the Cornerstone report treats the 2007 subprime litigation activity as if it consists of a single, uniform phenomenon, limited in scope and duration. But my own view is that even though the subprime meltdown is still relatively recent, the litigation activity has already evolved into a highly diverse set of circumstances, lawsuits and litigants. As I detail at greater length here, the subprime litigation wave already involves a wide variety of kinds of companies and allegations. Moreover, it is likely to continue to evolve in the months ahead. To isolate the subprime cases as if they represent a narrow or contained phenomenon minimizes the potential of the ongoing subprime litigation wave to drive litigation activity for months and perhaps years to come, and disregards the very real possibility that the wave will expand to encompass a far wider variety of litigants and allegations.

Second, even if the subprime litigation wave can fairly be characterized as a "one-time" event, that is hardly sufficient to marginalize its continuing significance. The fact is the world of D & O liability has experienced a steady progression of "one time events" in recent years -- the bursting of the Internet bubble, the telecom crash, the IPO Allocation cases, the corporate scandals, the options backdating cases, and now the subprime crisis. Indeed, the joke among D & O insurance industry professionals at the recent PLUS International Conference was that subprime is "just a one time event" - the joke being that in the D & O industry, there is a one time event every year, and that results are driven by the constant recurrence of supposed "one time events." When one time events become the norm, they are not extraneous, they are the very essence of the risk exposure.

The reality is that the claims experience in the D & O arena is characterized by a succession of one time events. Indeed, no D & O insurance manager who wished to retain his credibility with senior insurance company management would attempt to try to marginalize the subprime litigation wave by describing it as a one time event, simply because there have been too many supposed one time events in recent years for the phrase to retain any meaning. D & O claims are and for years have been driven by these kinds of events. There perhaps may be a statistical construct by which to postulate a "core litigation rate," but the construct would be disregarded by insurance professionals as lacking credibility and unlikely to provide adequate predictive power to describe likely future events. The practical reality is that it must be assumed that there will always be one time events - not as unusual occurrences, but in the ordinary course.

Finally, as I have documented elsewhere (here and here), subprime litigation is only one of a number of important factors driving the recently increased litigation activity. Even without the subprime cases, the uptick in litigation activity is significant.

To be sure, only time will tell whether the increased litigation activity in the second-half of 2007 is indicative of future activity levels. But as I previously stated (here), I think there is already a sufficient basis upon which to declare that the two-year lull in securities lawsuit filings is over, and to state that there does not appear to have been a "permanent shift" to lower securities lawsuit filing levels.

A Closer Look at the 2007 Securities Lawsuits

The first of the 2007 year-end securities class action reports has already appeared (refer here), with others soon to follow. As I have noted elsewhere (most recently here), the most important securities trend during 2007 was the return of lawsuit filing activity to historical levels, after a two-year lull. But there were numerous other important securities lawsuit trends in 2007, as discussed below.

First, a word about data. My observations about the 2007 securities lawsuits are based on my own tally of the 172 securities lawsuits, which I derived from publicly available data plus information from readers. My tally differs from the numbers that appeared in NERA Economic Consulting's 2007 year-end report (here). NERA counted 198 securities lawsuits through mid-December, and projected 207 lawsuits by year-end. The projected number was not borne out, but NERA's actual year-end number around 200 is materially higher than my own count of 172. NERA undoubtedly has superior data; readers should be aware that I have used my own data for purposes of this post.

The year-end tally of 172 new securities class action lawsuits includes 103 new securities lawsuits that were first filed in the second-half of 2007. This half-year total is virtually identical to the six-month average of 101 that Cornerstone Research noted in its mid-year 2007 securities litigation report (here) for the period from the second half of 1996 through the first half of 2005. In addition, the year-end total of 172 lawsuits represents an increase of 56 cases over the 2006 year-end total of 116, an increase of 48 per cent.

The companies named in securities lawsuits in 2007 represent 80 different Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) Code categories. In a year in which subprime lawsuits were such a significant factor (refer here for my analysis of the 2007 subprime lawsuits), it is hardly surprising that one of the SIC Code categories with the highest number of new lawsuits is SIC Code 6798 (Real Estate Investment Trusts), which had 14 new lawsuits. But SIC Code 2834 (Pharmaceutical Preparations) also had 14 new lawsuits, which is entirely consistent with my frequent observation that while subprime lawsuits are an important part of the 2007 securities lawsuit trends, the subprime lawsuits represent only one of several important trends.

Other SIC Code categories that had significant activity unrelated to the subprime mess include SIC Code category 3674 (Semiconductors), which had seven lawsuits; SIC Code category 3663 (Radio and Telephone Equipment), which had six lawsuits; SIC Code category 7372 (Prepackaged Software), which had five lawsuits; and SIC Code category 4899 (Communications Services) which also had five lawsuits.
26 of the 172 securities lawsuits that were filed in 2007 involved companies domiciled outside the United States. These 26 companies are based in 12 different countries, including China (seven companies); Switzerland (three companies); Bermuda, Canada, France, Hong Kong, Israel and the U.K (each of which had two companies each); and Germany, South Korea, Sweden and Taiwan (each of which had one company each). My detailed analsysis of the securities lawsuits involving Chinese companies can be found here.

Many of the 2007 securities lawsuits involved allegations of misrepresentations in connection with the defendant company's IPO within twelve months of the lawsuit. 29 of the 172 new lawsuits involved IPO allegations. Interestingly, 20 of the 29 lawsuits against IPO companies were filed in the second-half of 2007, which suggests that an increase in the number of cases involving IPO companies was an important part of the increased level of securities litigation activity in the second-half of 2007. In addition, nine of the 29 IPO company lawsuits involved foreign-domiciled companies, so the level of IPO-related activity and the level of foreign-domiciled company activity appears to be correlated to a certain extent.

The 2007 securities lawsuits were filed in 52 different federal district courts. By far the largest numbers of lawsuits were filed in the Southern District of New York, where a whopping 52 of the 172 lawsuits (or about 30%) were filed. The court with the next highest total, the Central District of California, had only 18. Indeed, if the lawsuits filed in the Central, Southern and Northern Districts of California are combined, the total of 32 cases is still far short of the S.D.N.Y. total.

The high number of filings in the S.D.N.Y. is in part attributable to the number of financial services companies that have been sued in Manhattan as a result of the subprime mess. But another important factor in the number of S.D.N.Y. lawsuits is the significant number of lawsuits against foreign domiciled companies. 21 of the 26 foreign-domiciled companies sued in securities lawsuits in 2007 were sued in the S.D.N.Y.

Other courts that had a significant number of securities lawsuits in 2007 include the Southern District of Florida (10); Eastern District of Pennsylvania (6); Northern District of Texas (5); and the Western District of Washington (5).

I have noted elsewhere (here) the significance of the number of 2007 securities lawsuits. Another important attribute of the 2007 securities lawsuits is their diversity. More specifically, the increase in 2007 securities litigation activity clearly was driven by a number of factors, not just the litigation activity surrounding the subprime meltdown. Indeed, even if the 34 subprime-related lawsuits (listed here) were withdrawn from the 2007 total, the resulting 138 lawsuits would still represent a material increase over the 116 lawsuits that were filed in 2006. The fact that there were significant numbers of cases aggregated in categories completely isolated from subprime-related issues demonstrates that the story of the renewed securities litigation activity involves far more than just the subprime meltdown.

Finally, one of the other many factors contributing to the renewed level of securities lawsuit activity in 2007 is the outbreak of lawsuits arising from busted buyouts, which I discuss at greater lenghth here.